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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New from me at @CookPolitical: the latest on key map developments in AR, FL, MD, MT and OK. https://t.co/gQh7gvUnCE https://t.co/8XryFZftUS — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New from me at @CookPolitical: https://t.co/KrlzQ0xGxX https://t.co/wRT808liju — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Critical Taste Theory is killing the Dems — PolitiTweet.org
Food Insider @FoodInsider
Millennials try Cracker Barrel for the first time https://t.co/qhSOJHk2Mz
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A lot of Dems prematurely dancing on Rep. Devin Nunes (R)'s political grave in light of #CA22 being flipped from Trump +5 to Biden +9 seat in this draft. Reality check: Nunes could easily take his $$ north to run for the Trump +10 seat anchored by Modesto. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Bottom line: there are roughly even numbers of Ds/Rs in these categories. It's easy to see how the current 42D-11R breakdown could give way to 39D-13R in a good GOP year ('22?), but maybe 47D-5R in a great Dem year. And don't forget: this draft will change, perhaps a lot. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Finally, the three biggest "winners" in this draft: #CA07 Bera (D) - Biden +14 to +20 #CA21 Valadao (R) - Biden +11 to +7 #CA39 Kim (R) - Biden +10 to +6 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Next, other "losers" who would be at heightened risk: #CA04 McClintock (R) - Trump +10 to +5 #CA25 Garcia (R) - Biden +10 to +13 #CA42 Calvert (R) - Trump +7 to Tied #CA45 Porter (D) - Biden +11 to +4 #CA49 Levin (D) - Biden +13 to +9 #CA53 Jacobs (D) - Biden +36 to +8 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
First, the five biggest "losers" in this draft (which will change before 12/27): #CA10 Harder (D) - Biden +3 to Trump +10 #CA22 Nunes (R) - Trump +5 to Biden +9 #CA40 Roybal-Allard (D) - seat eliminated #CA48 Steel (R) - Biden +2 to +9 #CA50 Issa (R) - Trump +8 to Biden +1 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NEW: the first official draft map from California's commission is here, and it's both a major shakeup and a mixed bag for the parties. Early read: it could perform quite well for Rs in 2022, but offer longer-term upside for Dems. Read on... https://t.co/ZOllyJzpnv https://t.co/kP02BMXCq2 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Wow…weird choice by Cawthorn. #NC11 — PolitiTweet.org
Dallas Woodhouse @DallasWoodhouse
Breaking News from @CarolinaJournal @JohnLockeNC : @CawthornforNC is changing districts and running in NC-13. He… https://t.co/x5gySJ1oh6
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The only possible explanation, if this map doesn't undergo drastic changes: Republicans are afraid of an adverse "Fair Districts" ruling from the FL Supreme Court and want to ensure their own incumbents' safety first. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dems would have a real shot at 16R-12D under this FL GOP draft, an *improvement* vs. 16R-11D right now. But again, the key word here is draft. — PolitiTweet.org
🎄Florida Data Geek🎄 @MappingFL
Plan 8002 for Florida Congress Narrowly Trump at 16 districts. But could easily fall to 15 if Dade swings back.… https://t.co/klzilmFKRa
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
What's more, the map keeps #FL07 Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D) and #FL13 Rep. Charlie Crist (D) in Biden seats, even though Rs could turn them into double-digit Trump districts. I'd be very surprised if Tallahassee Rs settle for this. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
These maps would put #FL15 Rep. Scott Franklin (R) in the new safe R #FL28, but turn #FL15 into a *Biden* seat in the east Tampa suburbs - effectively creating a new Dem seat. I can't imagine this is going to be the ultimate GOP plan in FL. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NEW: FL's Senate Rs release four draft congressional maps. Bizarre: these maps shore up #FL27 Rep. Maria Salazar (R), but otherwise are barely gerrymanders. By my count these maps break down 16-12 Trump-Biden, vs. 15-12 today. Is this a head fake? https://t.co/R7zIhnXOSn — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @databyler: Alright. I've got a new piece on WHY people still think Trump won, deny Biden's victory, etc. a full *year* and audits later… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Expecting a FL GOP congressional draft today, and it could aim for as wide as 19R-9D (current delegation: 16R-11D). — PolitiTweet.org
🎄Florida Data Geek🎄 @MappingFL
Ok FL's first Congressional draft is tomorrow (presumably only the state senate's idea). Final predictions -… https://t.co/AB4iJrP61B
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Terrific catching up with ageless @cspan founder Brian Lamb this morning after today’s show. Thanks for all you’ve done to nurture and grow this great public service. https://t.co/tRDtUqKwRG — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @cspanwj: WED| Cook Political Report (@CookPolitical) House editor David Wasserman (@Redistrict) discusses what the Virginia and New Jer… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Just calculated that the most aggressive gerrymander of these four "concept" maps by MD Dems (bottom left) makes Rep. Andy Harris (R)'s #MD01 only Biden +8, even weaker than I thought. — PolitiTweet.org
The Redistrict Network @RedistrictNet
#NEW: The MD Legislative Redistricting Advisory Commission has released four draft congressional maps. Advocates a… https://t.co/8oW5LE9Vkg
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New from me at @CookPolitical: analysis of key redistricting developments in NV, NH, NY, OH & UT. https://t.co/jjYgU5Y28p https://t.co/nAohezDFPD — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Sorry, draft #3, not #2. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The most aggressive draft (#2) would flip Harris’s #MD01 from Trump +20 to Biden +10 - about as blue as Virginia. That’s pretty surprising, considering MD Dems could easily make it Biden +15 or more and have shown little restraint gerrymandering the state in the past. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New: Maryland Dems unveil four draft congressional maps, including two that would essentially leave Rep. Andy Harris (R) safe and two weak gerrymanders that could still give him a path to reelection. https://t.co/HyQRxyrfFq https://t.co/PZ6LjOuIIS — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This 3D-1R plan is a calculated risk for Dems: if the political environment is as bad for them as it was in VA last week, Nevada could end up w/ a 4R-0D delegation. But by that point, Dems will have already lost House control by a mile. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NEW: Nevada Dems propose unpacking Rep. Dina Titus's (D) Las Vegas #NV01 to shore up suburban Reps. Susie Lee (D) #NV03 and Steven Horsford (D) #NV04. New map (right) would give them all Biden +7-9 seats (h/t @zach_solomon1, @RalstonReports, @Umichvoter). https://t.co/qIk7dxP2xx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
But the reality is, as long as California (52 seats) uses a nonpartisan redistricting process, Republicans will enjoy a major gerrymandering advantage largely b/c they control the next two largest states, Texas and Florida (66 seats). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If every state were to take a chainsaw to their congressional maps, blind to incumbents & election data (like California 👇), the House would have less of a pro-GOP skew and there would be far more competitive seats. — PolitiTweet.org
sara sadhwani @sarasadhwani
Yesterday we took a chainsaw to our congressional maps. After 12 hours+ of work we have a basic architecture that r… https://t.co/h1nZaSAPoJ
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New from me at @CookPolitical: https://t.co/qNfiwMFpcd https://t.co/6cupJOVaQ5 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @JakeSherman: NEW in @PunchbowlNews AM — House GOP leadership is bracing for a movement to strip lawmakers who voted for infrastrucutre… — PolitiTweet.org
