Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The craziest Orange County scenario would be Reps. Michelle Steel (R) and Katie Porter (D) *and* ex-Rep. Harley Rouda (D) facing off for the new coastal #CA47. All three live in this Biden +11 seat (though I think Steel could move north to #CA45 and Rouda could follow). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Don’t hold your breath for the VA map to change in any big way. For one, Dems’ last-ditch effort to get a better map (below) urges the court to draw a #VA07 that unites Charlottesville/Albemarle with “suburban Richmond County” which…doesn’t exist. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, 23 of 221 House Dems (10%) are not seeking reelection in 2022. The final number of Dem exits will be: — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The CA commission is on the verge of merging the seats of Reps. Lucille Roybal-Allard (D) and Alan Lowenthal (D). They're both 80. And now, they're both retiring. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Welcome to peak redistricting week (a ton on the line in AZ, CA, MI, NJ, et al. ICYMI, latest analysis of state-by-state developments is up for @CookPolitical subscribers. https://t.co/VtwTcmgumb — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@benrudin Yeah, the incumbents are listed incorrectly there. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Potential casualty: #NJ07 Rep. Tom Malinowski (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In true NJ fashion, the commission is saying it'll vote on maps on Wednesday, but there's no public draft. IMO raises the chance there's a bipartisan 9D-3R "deal map" that wouldn't need a tie-breaking vote. https://t.co/keBUF1M35H — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not unexpected, and Murphy becomes the 22nd Dem not seeking reelection in 2022 (vs. 11 Republicans). #FL07 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The most obvious, overriding aim of this map: create more Latino majority districts. Even though CA is losing a seat for the first time since statehood, there are 18/52 seats w/ 50%+ Latino voting age populations in this draft, up *five* from the 13/53 on the current map. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The biggest shakeup among safe Dem seats is in the Santa Clara Valley, where Reps. Anna Eshoo (D) and Jimmy Panetta (D) are being merged into one wealthy Silicon Valley/Monterey seat to create a new Latino majority seat in San Jose/Watsonville/Salinas. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biggest losers on this draft map: #CA04 McClintock (R) - Trump +10 to +2 #CA21 Valadao (R) - Biden +11 to +13 #CA25 Garcia (R) - Biden +10 to +12 #CA42 Calvert (R) - Trump +7 to +1 #CA48 Steel (R) - Biden +2 to +6 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biggest winners on this draft map: #CA07 Bera (D) - Biden +14 to +18 #CA10 Harder (D) - Biden +3 to +11 #CA39 Kim (R) - Biden +10 to +2 #CA45 Porter (D) - Biden +11 (unchanged) #CA50 Issa (R) - Trump +8 to +12 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW: California's near-final draft map looks terrific for Dems. All 42 Dem incumbents (except retiring Rep. Alan Lowenthal (D), whose Long Beach seat is folded in w/ LA Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard (D)'s), get strong seats. Meanwhile, *five* of 11 GOP seats get more vulnerable. https://t.co/EUAtN2SRsI — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @wildstein: 🚨🚨🚨 BREAKING: Rep. Albio Sires will not seek re-election to Congress in 2022. Robert J. Menendez, the son of U.S. Senator B… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: She may also be a Dem running in a new, much more Democratic-friendly CD (ie, where she’d have to win a competitive D prima… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Youngkin’s actual margin of victory: 63,688 votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @BitecoferStan: https://t.co/lNhc9OeKKa — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

"It’s clear to me that Republicans will test the electoral process once again, considering there were virtually no repercussions the last time they did it." A clear-eyed assessment by @nathanlgonzales everyone in the public affairs community should read. https://t.co/GknPE4yt7t — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @PACouncil: Nathan Gonzales of @InsideElections predicts that Republicans will likely test the electoral process once again, and corpora… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @KSoltisAnderson: As Omicron makes COVID-19 spread much, much more rapidly, Americans are increasingly "worn out" by our response to the… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Overall, Dems have to be pleased with the way maps are taking shape in the commission states of AZ (a bit unexpected) and MI. By contrast, just about every stakeholder is wondering wtf the CA commission is drawing. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New Mexico becomes the 20th state to approve a new congressional map, and it's probably the most optimal Dem gerrymander yet (maybe a tie w/ Oregon). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Rs end up winning 3/4 or even 4/4 seats on Nevada's Dem-drawn map, it'll be cited as an epic dummymander. But tbh, I think it's the play Rs would have made in Las Vegas had roles been reversed. High risk/reward. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Ok, now the CA commission has jumped the shark. Meet the new "ribbon of shame," running from the border of SF down to San Luis Obispo (h/t @udrawthelines). https://t.co/iegdD8RDB8 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

After watching the CA commission spend precious hours wrestling over tiny corners of the state at the expense of debating revisions in other larger areas, I think there's a pretty good case for creating separate CD/LD commissions, like Colorado does. Too big a state/task. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A mistake I'm seeing a lot of major TV/other outlets make in framing this exhaustive @AP review: failing to note that most of the 473 instances of suspicious votes were *caught* by officials and extra ballots weren't counted. The system works. https://t.co/KKd6fEkkT3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To be clear, although Neuberg has sided w/ the Dems on this vote (btw, she sided w/ GOP on legislative maps), it's neither a dream Dem map nor a dream GOP map. It *is* a mild improvement for Rs over the current map. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @RalstonReports: “I totally got fucked by the Legislature on my district,” (@repdinatitus) said. “I’m sorry to say it like that, but I d… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Because the chair, Erika Neuberg, remains insistent that the deep-red Prescott area be added to the northern AZ district (#AZ02 in this draft), Rep. Tom O'Halleran (D) is likely still doomed However, Dems would have upside in Maricopa, esp. vs. Rep. David Schweikert (R). — PolitiTweet.org