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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breaking: Rep. John Kline (R) to retire in 2016. @CookPolitical moving #MN02 rating from Likely Republican to Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In other words, if asked to predict which of KY's 120 counties would host this type of standoff, Rowan wouldn't have been my 1st guess. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Two facts that surprise many: 1) Clerk Kim Davis is a Democrat & 2) Rowan Co., KY voted for Obama in 2008: http://t.co/jjwOz0nO1b — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@RalstonReports @CookPolitical We count #NV04 as a seat where Dems have multiple top-tier challengers. #NV03 not so much, yet. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical: What's more, of 14 districts where Ds have top-tier challengers, they have tough primaries in 9. http://t.co/DpfsjSzwm7 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical: of the 50 most Dem districts held by Rs, Dems have top-tier challengers in just 14 so far. http://t.co/DpfsjSzwm7 ($) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical: our latest analysis of competitive House races is available to subscribers ($) http://t.co/Ijsde05P9j — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical: Check out our latest 2016 House ratings http://t.co/QdZHLHCiJx. 13 Toss Ups (10R, 3 D) http://t.co/gkWQWlOrXc — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Granted, this is just one proposal & many hearings will be held before new map is finalized. Hat tip to @HotlineScott for flagging. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breaking: FL Legis. staff proposes new map that would likely flip #FL02 Graham (D), #FL10 Webster (R), #FL13 (R) http://t.co/O7lbC6e4Aw — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Late to this, but very good analysis of the likely 2014/2016 Electorate's White Decline by @ElectProject http://t.co/ZsbzovdTJG — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Unfortunately for Dems, 2/3 of congressional/state leg seats are in suburban/rural America, and they're losing both: http://t.co/pAkU0A2Exl — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New dataviz @FiveThirtyEight: The Widening Urban-Nonurban Gap, 1988-2012: http://t.co/xe0ySy9ZTQ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In 1992, Bill Clinton took 59% in Urban America & 51% in Rural. In 2012, Obama took 64% in Urban & 44% Rural: http://t.co/pAkU0A2Exl — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This is 1st decade in postwar era that Urban counties have led Suburban/Rurals in growth. What it means for politics: http://t.co/pAkU0A2Exl — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @rollcall: Are you a redistricting nerd? Don't miss @IvanLevingston's story on the Software that Draws the Political Landscape: http://t… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New article @FiveThirtyEight: "Urban Resurgence Is A Double-Edged Sword for Democrats" http://t.co/pAkU0A2Exl — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
However, if you told me today that the 2016 GOP nominee would win 35% of Latino voters, I'd put a big bet on that candidate winning the WH. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
That's why there probably is no "magic threshold" of support a GOP candidate needs among Latino voters to win: http://t.co/lMsalsxWul — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In fact, even if ZERO Latinos had voted in 2012, Obama would have won the Electoral College with 283 votes (while losing popular vote). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In addition, Electoral College is biased against Latinos. They made up 10% of national '12 vote, but averaged just 6.9% in key swing states. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Basic math: if the GOP nominee simply did 3% better than Romney with ALL groups (30% w/ Latinos vs. 27%, for example), he/she would win. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Strongly disagree with this @LatinoDecisions memo's assertion that GOP needs 47% of Latinos to win WH in 2016. http://t.co/0D3PEZ7H6J — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Great primer on the structural reasons behind Dem & GOP advantages at different levels of government by @loujacobson: http://t.co/ruUjm8rG2g — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Move of #FL02 to Toss Up reflects uncertainty of legal situation. If Tallahassee moves to #FL05, then #FL02 will likely move to Solid R. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
But, long way to go before new maps are finalized. Jolly (R) Sen run could make #FL13 Lean D. And, will #FL02 Graham (D) run at all in '16? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
As a result of FL #redistricting ruling, @CookPolitical has moved both #FL02 Graham (D) & #FL13 Jolly (R) to Toss Up: http://t.co/QdZHLHCiJx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical: For Dems, FL Supreme Court decision could be a case of "Be careful what you wish for:" http://t.co/4iiXuP6I8G — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @amyewalter: Demographics aren't destiny - turnout is http://t.co/pZKYzrcfYG — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@jonathanchait Charlie and I co-wrote the 2nd article and I'm glad he saw fit to highlight my work. Correct byline: http://t.co/rz3gBluc50 — PolitiTweet.org
