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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New at @CookPolitical: Check out our rundowns of all 18 Republican open seats in the House. https://t.co/wZTP9Ei4PE ($) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @jonathanchait: @Redistrict ICYMI, a longer version of this argument: https://t.co/EmH3KecoSi https://t.co/H1EahQzWta — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In summer, GOP insiders would've reacted w/ horror at prospect of Cruz nomination. Trump's effect = making Cruz seem borderline acceptable. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @RonBrownstein: A farewell to @nationaljournal magazine-and to the Washington it chronicled. This week's column. https://t.co/bIpfLEAIXf — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @amyewalter: We can't know who'll be GOP nominee until we have answers to 4 Qs. Trump's tweets this AM suggest answer to #4. https://t.c… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Of course, ticket-splitting is down sharply from 70s & 80s. But in GOP's favor, also far fewer swing districts now: https://t.co/bzZIN2iN1a — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In '72 and '84, Dems' share of House vote went UP vs. previous prez cycle despite landslide loss at top of ticket: https://t.co/bzZIN2iN1a — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Would Trump lead to a down-ballot apocalypse for GOP? We looked at '64, '72 & '84 landslides & found scant evidence: https://t.co/bzZIN2iN1a — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
.@jmartNYT much respect to @JamesPindell but not sure how you can predict Trump win in NH when 18% of voters are "Definitely Decided." — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The last paragraph of this @nathanlgonzales piece perfectly captures the GOP/Latino outreach dynamic of 2016: https://t.co/38sSS4acqX — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @nathanlgonzales: My first turn on @FiveThirtyEight's Swing-O-Matic w/ an appearance by @Redistrict. My look at the Hispanic vote https:… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @amyewalter: Dems already underdogs to win control of House, SCOTUS ruling could be a HUGE blow https://t.co/h7QzMsEDVL — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@Redistrict Er, 2016 Swing-O-Matic...same idea. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
ICYMI, check out our new interactive, the 2016 Swing-O-Meter. Hours of fun for political numbers nerds... https://t.co/DynW5Og6y0 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A return to pre-Obama black turnout/support %s would leave Dems almost no room for error in FL, MI, OH, PA, VA. : https://t.co/YfSvyOWpvl — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Non-College Whites are by far GOP's best group (62% in '12), but their share of electorate shrinks 3% every 4 years: https://t.co/QaU5XzzXxv — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Also big thanks to 2016 demographic experts @amyewalter, @CookPolitical team & @RonBrownstein for inspiration for the Swing-O-Matic — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @PatrickRuffini: omg. https://t.co/h48tt7VDPB — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Here's our simulation of what would happen if you dragged Latino & Asian/other turnout to 0% (no other changes): https://t.co/06HQTi6vWo — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Amazing: even if Latino AND Asian/other turnout dropped to ZERO, Democrats would win the Electoral College 283-255 (while losing PV by 2.1%) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This is, in effect, how Republicans could win just 30% of Latinos but still win a healthy Electoral College victory: https://t.co/5xm4PjI7PM — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If all five demographics moved 3 points towards GOP vs. '12, R's would flip 8 states & win 315 Electoral Votes: https://t.co/5xm4PjI7PM — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Here's my accompanying take: "How Demographics Will Shape the 2016 Election" https://t.co/QaU5XzzXxv @FiveThirtyEight @CookPolitical — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I know, Swing-o-Matic sounds like it's a Ronco infomercial, but we wanted to pay tribute to BBC's Swingometer: https://t.co/n4salm4mdn — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
How will demographics swing 2016? Choose your own adventure w/ our SWING-O-MATIC: https://t.co/QaU5XzzXxv @CookPolitical @FiveThirtyEight — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This 2016 demographic interactive has been in works since March, but wouldn't be possible w/o smarts of @bycoffe, @micahcohen, @atmccann — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Drumroll, please...introducing the 2016 SWING-O-MATIC: https://t.co/n4salm4mdn @FiveThirtyEight @CookPolitical — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @EmmaVAngerer: Striking #redistricting animation from @bpolitics shows how the courts are shaking up 2016: https://t.co/JONSPb7Taj https… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @PatrickRuffini: This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. This. https… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Good wisdom as usual from @nathanlgonzales in @rollcall: "Imperfect Candidates Get Elected" https://t.co/fUpO675CFA — PolitiTweet.org