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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To my eye, the outstanding precincts on the Dem side very slightly favor Hillary - Polk & Dubuque. Bernie has some of Story & Scott left. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Reality check: Iowa tie = a Hillary win. For Bernie to be "on track" for Dem nod, he'd need to win IA two-to-one. https://t.co/ETUvvnVsrG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: .@Redistrict I didn't meet a single Trump supporter when I was in Sioux County. (He is currently at 11%) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Question for @Nate_Cohn: when you were reporting from Sioux County, any hints Rubio would win 20% more support there than Trump? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now taking bets: which will go down in history as a more memorable tantrum, Howard Dean 2004 or Donald Trump 2016? #IAcaucus — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Ted Cruz has won #IAcaucus, but real race now is 2nd place. To my eye, Rubio still has enough turf left to potentially overtake Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If @MarcoRubio ends up within 5% of the #IAcaucus winner, that has to be considered a big, potentially NH-altering victory for him. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One good sign for Hillary: largest concentration of non-white Dems is Des Moines (Polk), which is just 66% reporting vs. 74% statewide. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Tonight's biggest losers on GOP side: polls & CW. Bigger turnout supposedly YUGE for @realDonaldTrump. Looking pretty good for @TedCruz. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @StuPolitics: How is Trump going to explain this? #DonaldIsLosing https://t.co/3ehlhXuTz1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rubio's performance in Iowa https://t.co/TkMSrw2GPC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now pretty safe to say that Ted Cruz has won the Iowa Caucuses. Trump the favorite for 2nd place, but strong Rubio showing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At this point, it may be that Rubio has a better shot of edging out Trump for 2nd than Trump has of edging out Cruz for 1st. Amazing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: At the moment, the balance of evidence points is consistent with both a very high turnout and a narrow Cruz victory. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Surprise, surprise! Ted Cruz on track to win Iowa caucuses. Not a done deal, but Q is: where does Trump make up deficit? Not obvious. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Ted Cruz has an excellent chance to win this thing tonight. So far, looks like a #pollingfail — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rubio showing some muscle as bigger precincts begin reporting. Uptick to 21% statewide fueled by new leads in Davenport, Dubuque, Iowa City. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Bernie's biggest lead is in Iowa City, 15% over Hillary. But that's perhaps not as huge as expected, and lots of Hillary-friendly Polk left. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hillary's lead looks small, but gonna be tough for Bernie to make up 3% deficit. There aren't any Bernie "blowout" areas so far. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The big ?? counties: on the GOP side, Dallas (Des Moines burbs) and Dubuque still outstanding. On Dem side, lots of urban Iowa left. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Looks like we could be headed for much closer finishes on both GOP and Dem sides than the entrance polls suggested. Grab some popcorn. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: This is s brutal stat https://t.co/wNyl4GUsA8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Surprise: Rubio so far winning not only Sioux but O'Brien, both in Bob VanderPlaats land. But, struggling in his best expected areas. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One ominous sign for Rubio: so far he's not hitting 20% in places that should be great for him: Scott, Polk, Johnson. Still early. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The first results are in from famously evangelical/conservative Sioux County. And the GOP leader so far by 6 votes is...Rubio? Hmm... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rubio had better hope these early results are from tiny, rural precincts. So far he's in mid-teens%. Perhaps big caucus sites better for him — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

First few precincts from Lyon Co. (NW IA) give Cruz 41% of vote for 20% each to Trump and Carson. Cruz probably hoped to do even better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Key counties for Cruz: Sioux, Mahaska, Warren. Key for Rubio: Polk, Dallas, Scott. Key for Trump: ??? Let's find out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As @HotlineJosh points out, disappointing for Cruz is that he's tied with Trump among college grads at 22%. Needs to do better to win. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One of the most promising signs in the entrance poll for Rubio is college graduates: 28% Rubio, 25% Trump, 20% Cruz. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2016 Hibernated