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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Lesson from Huntsman '12: if your best town in NH primary is Hanover (Dartmouth) w/ 39%, you're probably not going to be the GOP nominee. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's possible Trump will do well in Gingrich's best '12 towns: Bedford, Hooksett, Claremont, Manchester, Goffstown, Merrimack, Londonderry — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Meanwhile, Kasich needs big %s in Huntsman's best towns in '12: Hanover, Keene, Concord, New London, Durham, Bow, Portsmouth, Exeter. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Cruz needs to do well in NH towns where Santorum took over 12% in '12: New Ipswich, Rindge, Rochester, Barrington, Weare, Claremont — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Meanwhile, Obama's 5 biggest '08 margins in NH were: Hanover, Keene, Durham, Concord, Portsmouth. Expecting Bernie blowouts there tonight. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In 2008, Hillary's entire 7,589 vote NH margin was generated by just 5 working-class towns: Manchester, Nashua, Salem, Rochester & Berlin. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @UpshotNYT: John Kasich's problem: liberals like him. https://t.co/y6oVLtuMD9 https://t.co/dlZVQxe6I7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Excited to be a guest contributor to @FiveThirtyEight's live blog coverage of the NH Primary results tonight, starting 6:30pm #FITN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @greggiroux: Results of the 2008 Democratic #NHPrimary in the 30 localities that cast the most votes (54% of statewide vote): https://t.… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Also, I'll guess that Trump doesn't end up winning by double digits. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My pure shot-in-the-dark guess on NH order of finish: 1) Trump 2) Kasich 3) Rubio 4) Cruz 5) Bush. What do you say? #FITN. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @DraperRobert: New Hampshire is a piece of granite cake--my @NYTmag piece on the non-Trump aspirants here: https://t.co/umFiNyDrdj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump's vote ceiling appears to be around 30%, Cruz's may be similar, and NH may slow consolidation of the rest. Recipe for March chaos. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The big winner if NH produces no clear 2nd place finish? The prospect of no one reaching 1,237 delegates when primaries end in June. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: NERD TOURISM BOOM: Sometimes, it feels like the hardest thing for a presidential candidate to find in NH is a voter ht… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Millsfield too small a sample, obviously. BUT, could 11th hour Rubio/Kasich/Bush traffic jam enable Cruz to sneak into surprise 2nd? #FITN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Millsfield, NH gave Ron Paul 53% of 15 votes in '12 & just gave Ted Cruz 50% of 18 votes. North country Paulites flipping to Cruz? #FITN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Democrats: in 3rd place with 2 votes is Mark Greenstein, a CT lawyer and "liberty-leaning" conservaDem: https://t.co/PwE8Ykz9Pz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: we have a 3-WAY TIE in NH, as Trump, Cruz & Kasich each record 9 votes in midnight voting. #FITN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @DecisionDeskHQ: Harts Location D- Sanders 12 Clinton 7 Greenstein 2 R- kasich 5 trump 4 christie 2 bush 1 carson 1 rubio 1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Just like that, Ted Cruz takes the lead in NH, as he claims the Bob Vander Plaats-controlled hamlet of Millsfield 9-3 over Trump. #FITN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @reidepstein: BREAKING: The results from Millsfield https://t.co/9HazumOpsO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking in #DixvilleNotch #FITN: Kasich 3, Trump 2, Sanders 4, Clinton 0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Really excited to see the results of a tiny, borderilne countercyclical, negative pop growth town — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @DixvilleVote: All 8 present voters are lined up and ready to go. 15 minutes. https://t.co/LxnmtEMVqw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @pbump: The fight over Dixville Notch. https://t.co/igxbyvPfne — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Eagerly awaiting the once-every-four-years moment when my Twitter profile pic comes back en vogue #electionnerd #dixvillenotch #FITN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Long-term narrative of Marco's glitch will be written by NH's #FITN voters. Holding onto 2nd place = vindication, 3rd or 4th = he blew it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Good @AshleyRParker article on why NH is such a different animal than Iowa: it's all about the Undeclareds https://t.co/jVw9Rq88PD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Is it just me or is Cruz vastly undervalued at PredictWise? 13% odds to 41% for Rubio and 31% for Trump, 12% Jeb. https://t.co/mNzGLpimm1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2016 Hibernated