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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Overlooked on Dem side: if Hillary Clinton wins by more than ~100 delegates on 3/1, the race will effectively be over just 2 weeks from now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Diff b/t R & D math: if Clinton leads big on 3/1, it's OVER (all proportional). If Trump leads big 3/1, Rubio could still win thanks to WTA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Given huge generation gap between Clinton/Sanders, think we should be extra cautious about these Dem surveys: https://t.co/hqODIp6FYj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Taniel True. Difference in '16, imho, is that Trump's coalition is broader than Gingrich's, and there's no clear Romney who'll sweep #SC01 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Trump wins SC by 10%+, he's probably winning all 7 CDs & all 50 delegates. How does Cruz spin a shutout in a heavily evangelical state? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @geoffreyvs: Trump might have a support ceiling BUT he has broad support geographically, unlike other Rs. Crowded field hugely benefits … — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: now THAT is an impressive bender https://t.co/SeohbRGHQo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Ted Cruz's math problem: he prob needs 47 of SC's 50 delegates to win nomination. Right now, odds are he wins ZERO. https://t.co/iiidCiGtoe — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@EvanLison Good question. This is a decent primer: https://t.co/CNn7DMkn3o — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ConsultReid: A contested convention would be a huge opportunity that rival candidates would immediately squander: https://t.co/WBlNx0sG… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 13, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JStoryRhino @marlins360 That's not my understanding... https://t.co/2v1NeVe798 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Trump maintains large SC lead thru 2/20, odds very good he'd win all 50 SC delegates, putting him at 114% of his benchmark for 1,237. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @aedwardslevy: ALWAYS REMEMBER https://t.co/vjLwp71PX6 https://t.co/d9egJelqSU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

[new article] Hillary Clinton's path: win the voters she lost in 2008 https://t.co/NVq9TlcJlB @FiveThirtyEight — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Sanders won exactly the 15 delegates @CookPolitical estimated he needed in NH, but fell 7 short of IA target of 28: https://t.co/1alkRgxy9z — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Today's standings in the Dem delegate chase, per our @CookPolitical targets: https://t.co/1alkRgxy9z https://t.co/nnsCVGK0ty — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Today's standings in the GOP delegate chase, per our @CookPolitical targets: https://t.co/iiidCiGtoe https://t.co/m2tzBwOiVY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems: Clinton leads w/ 128% of her delegate target, Sanders 84%. Clinton "on track" for nomination: https://t.co/1alkRgxy9z @CookPolitical — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

However, no R on pace for 1,237 delegates. Longer this persists, higher the odds of contested conv.: https://t.co/iiidCiGtoe @CookPolitical — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CookPolitical Delegate Scorecard: Trump leads GOP race at 81% of his delegate goal, Cruz 69%, Rubio 50%: https://t.co/iiidCiGtoe — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

How Valuable is Your Primary Vote? Check out this awesome new calculator by @chriswilsondc: https://t.co/JJi8yTWtWL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 12, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: An excellent look at NH & road ahead from the Dean of Politics Mr. @CharlieCookDC https://t.co/duw1NpzqDC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 11, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In NH towns w/ median income over $100k, Hillary took 45.1%. In $50k-$100k towns, she took 38.2%. In towns less than $50k, just 31.7%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This @FHQ scoop on GOP automatic delegates is a big deal. The fewer unbound party officials, the better for Trump: https://t.co/0AgFJ4OVhc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Amazing - Rubio just stole a NH delegate from Trump b/c of a weird rounding rule. 10.6% rounds to 11% = 2.53 delegates = 3 delegates. Wow. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @FHQ: Rubio got a 3rd NH delegate bc NH rounds the percentage of the vote 1st and then calculates the delegate share from that. #rulesma… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2016 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Taniel Do you know why Rubio ends up w/ 3 and not 2? 10.6% x 23 delegates = 2.43, rounds down, right? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rubio's new imperative: finish ahead of Bush & Kasich in SC & NV. Otherwise, in danger of missing 15%-20% delegate thresholds on 3/1. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

"Rubio was big loser last night, but still has most realistic path forward of the establishment pack," argues @amyewalter at @CookPolitical — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2016 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Must-read @amyewalter take on last night's results: "New Hampshire: When the Heart Beat the Head" https://t.co/YUxibh5qXF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2016 Hibernated