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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Trump May Win South Carolina, But Will He Sweep All 50 Delegates? https://t.co/0j9SfhLTgF — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The well-educated 1st CD (Charleston/Beaufort) was only CD Romney carried in '12 & prevented Gingrich sweep. Could Rubio carry it tonight? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Reminder: SC is only winner-take-all state before 3/15, but it's WTA by CD. If Trump wins by more than 10%, he prob takes all 50 delegates. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Ted Cruz has a huge math problem. If he wins ZERO delegates in SC tonight, where can he make up for it? https://t.co/UT3TFWyeSh — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Unless Bernie holds Hillary's margin under 10% in South Carolina, the Dem race could be effectively over in less than two weeks. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Reality check: Bernie needed 19 of NV's 35 pledged delegates to be "on pace" for nomination. Hillary may claim 20. https://t.co/1alkRgxy9z — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's possible Hillary will end up winning 20 of NV's 35 pledged delegates. That'd be a very disappointing result for Bernie. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Question for delegate nerds: Is there any chance Hillary hits 59% in #NV04 (14% black)? If so, she'd win there 4-2 instead of 3-3. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Sanders would likely win more dels if Reno's #NV02 had an odd # of dels. Instead, Vegas's #NV01 has odd #. So, random luck favors Clinton. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @RebeccaKKatz: Delegates per CD: CD 1 (Vegas) - 5 CD 2 (Reno, Elko) - 6 CD 3 (Vegas burbs) - 6 CD 4 (NLV, rural) - 6 #NVDemsCaucus — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
So far, so good for Hillary. She's winning Las Vegas's Clark Co. 55%-45%, and only 16% reporting there vs. 51% of rest of Nevada. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Bernie Needs A Nevada Win More Than Hillary https://t.co/dtc94nz7sa — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @ByronTau: In Sen. Reid's very small precinct, the vote is 2 undecided, 3 Bernie, 22 Hillary. Sanders fails to meet the viability thresh… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @greggiroux: North Carolina Redistricting: my overlap analysis (chart) of how new districts are composed from current ones https://t.co/… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Reminder: here's why a virtual tie in NV would = a Hillary win, even if media wouldn't spin it that way. https://t.co/1alkRgxy9z — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
.@jbview It's not that. It's that Kasich & Bush prevent Rubio from hitting 20%/15% thresholds on 3/1 https://t.co/MQNam54XW2 cc: @Nate_Cohn — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's difficult to overstate how significantly Trump's nomination odds would increase if Kasich & Bush don't leave race after SC/NV. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @aedwardslevy: AP style tip: If you're using any of these phrases in your Nevada caucus coverage, try deleting your story instead https:… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New at @CookPolitical: our quick takes on the top 28 primaries against House incumbents to watch (20 R, 8 D): https://t.co/glqTOdhjDH ($) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If Cruz's odds are suddenly looking dimmer, odds of contested GOP convention are probably higher than ever: https://t.co/UT3TFWyeSh — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Only way out of this box for Cruz? Win over 50% in TX primary on 3/1 and claim almost all of state's 159 delegates. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Basically, Cruz is probably doomed. https://t.co/UT3TFWyeSh — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you exclude IA/NH/SC, 18% of GOP dels from heavy evangelical states are WTA, vs. 49% in less evangelical states. https://t.co/06C0spbPAm — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In states where evangelicals are 30%+ of pop, only 22% of GOP delegates are Winner-Take-All. In other states, 47%: https://t.co/06C0spbPAm — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Ted Cruz has a huge math problem that many have overlooked. https://t.co/UT3TFWyeSh @FiveThirtyEight @CookPolitical — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Pet peeve: people (in this case a seasoned pollster) calling a standard campaign poll a "push poll." This wasn't. https://t.co/kfmuCp9DYP — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Proposed new NC map would preserve 10-3 GOP split, but could lead to primaries vs. Reps. Alma Adams (D) #NC12 & George Holding (R) #NC13 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Check out @amyewalter's latest: "What to Watch In Nevada and South Carolina This Weekend" https://t.co/Ap9ICEBcej @CookPolitical — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@ForecasterEnten Agreed — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
By our math, Sanders would need to win about 55 more delegates than Clinton on 3/1 to be "on track" for nomination: https://t.co/1alkRgfXi1 — PolitiTweet.org
