Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Taking a step back: In contests held so far, just 5.1% of all eligible voters have cast votes for Donald Trump. 5.9% for Hillary Clinton. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Cruz pulls off an upset in MO & comes close in IL, odds of contested convention would rise dramatically. OH less of an indicator. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Trump wins ALL 26 IL/MO CDs & 121 delegates, he's probably unstoppable even w/ OH loss. If Cruz wins at least a third, good sign for him. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

IL/MO may tell us more than FL/OH tonight. Here's why: Cruz won't win FL/OH, but # of IL/MO CDs won will test long haul viability vs. Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

What would you guess is Kasich/Trump breakdown of this subset? https://t.co/RGFtbeZqcj — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact check: technically false. If Kasich were to win all 1,264 remaining delegates, he'd be at 1,327 delegates. https://t.co/SpKLjGNz0M — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Trump’s coalition of GOP voters is different yet very similar to previous GOP nominees https://t.co/lcnzOmBAxb — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

That's a very fair point. Tho even independent of rules, total Trump/Cruz % much higher in red states than blue. https://t.co/8MJF9XRINO — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, Ted Cruz & Donald Trump have won 87% of all delegates from red states, just 60% from blue. Calendar starts getting much bluer 3/15. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Exactly. While press obsesses over Rubio in FL and Kasich in OH, Cruz's 3/15 focus has been strategic & smart. https://t.co/sAid7A3Vka — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Perhaps just as telling as FL & OH tomorrow: how many of IL & MO's 26 congressional districts does Cruz steal from Trump? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @FiveThirtyEight: Don't sleep on Illinois and Missouri — they could help make Trump unstoppable: https://t.co/a561ntI7Ov https://t.co/JV… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Think it's a close call, but I don't completely discount @SamWangPhD's theory that losing OH could help Trump win: https://t.co/hdafa5Omhu — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @AlecMacGillis: The most fascinating conversations I've had with Trump supporters in Ohio are with the ones who voted for Obama. Yes, th… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump+Cruz have combined for over 50% of the vote all but 3 of 24 GOP contests so far: New Hampshire, Vermont & DC. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rubio & Kasich hold 68% of the congressional/gubernatorial endorsements among active GOP candidates. Have won a combined 28% of vote so far. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Diff b/t Kasich & Rubio: Kasich had to pound pavement in advance of '14 reelect, Rubio didn't. FL '10 GOP primary voters angry & betrayed. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A simpler breakdown: if dels split evenly tmw, Bernie would need 55.5% of remaining to tie Clinton - even though he's won just 41.6% so far. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, Sanders needs to win 54.1% of remaining pledged delegates to tie Clinton. If delegates split evenly tmw, he'll need 55.5%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dem delegate totals in Blue states: Bernie 327, Hillary 301. Red states: Hillary 466, Bernie 221. Red America totally saving her campaign. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At their current pace, both Trump & Clinton are on pace to win over 50% of delegates, but not until June 7th: https://t.co/cgHGGev1jh — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

if Trump wins IL solidly, he could claim most CD delegates. IF NOT, he could lose a few Chicago CD's to Kasich & Downstate CD's to Cruz. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pet peeve: IL & MO often dismissed as "proportional" GOP states. Not true: could functionally become winner-take-all a la SC. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL & OH getting all the attention tomorrow but IL & MO deserve more. A strong Cruz finish in MO would mean the most: https://t.co/rIXPs5RCve — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @BrendanNyhan: Shockingly few public figures and elites are defending the norms of public debate and restraint from violence that Trump … — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @HotlineJosh: If you haven't read this @SeanTrende piece about authenticity & the upsurge of populism, you're missing out https://t.co/c… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow. Can't believe she actually said this...sounds like a candidate trying to lose OH, PA, VA in the fall. https://t.co/ZkKILFIOiQ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Thank goodness we have Ben Ginsberg to explain the GOP delegate math nuances we'll all need to get acquainted with: https://t.co/tW5Wb0BsPz — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Ted Cruz's current 14% odds at PredictWise are way too low, IMHO. https://t.co/7D6UAINndz — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @michaelluo: Really insightful @AshleyRParker piece. Good example of why it's still important to have reporters on the bus. https://t.co… — PolitiTweet.org