Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@icoggins1 '08 irrelevant by now. My advice: start w/ '12, then build in a slight boost for Clinton/Trump in places they excelled in primary — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@icoggins1 Your model doesn't bear much resemblance to well-established past hard tallies & this year's polling not dramatically different. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

.@benchmarkpol My friendly suggestion would be to start w/ Obama/Romney hard votes & then adjust for polling differences vs '12 demogs. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I'm saying VA map much more polarized. Hillary likely to do better in FFX/ARL/ALX/RIC, worse in VB/Chesterfield/etc. https://t.co/ffS7XoTxd1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

.@benchmarkpol Exactly - Never let an endless supply of actual election results get in the way of a terribly flawed model. But hey, numbers! — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

.@benchmarkpol If your model shows Hillary will only do 2% better in Fairfax than VB & Chesterfield, you don't know Virginia. Period. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@benchmarkpol This doesn't tell me anything about whether Trump is doing better than Romney among high-income college grads. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@benchmarkpol Ok. I will hold you to this statement when we see VA localities perform just like '12 except even more polarized. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

.@benchmarkpol You think Trump's numbers are better than Romney's among high-income college grads? What polls are you looking at? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

.@benchmarkpol In any close race, Trump would be lucky to do much better than Ken Cuccinelli's 22% in Arlington & 36% in Fairfax. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@benchmarkpol Show me the tabs, but I'll take recent election results over a tiny sample size poll result any day. You should know better. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

.@benchmarkpol You guys have Hillary at 60% in Arlington, 54% in Fairfax & 63% in Richmond. Have you ever set foot in those localities? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@benchmarkpol You guys are doing some good & interesting work but your numbers by locality make zero sense. VA is far more polarized. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I'm sorry but these VA "benchmarks" are truly awful - they show zero familiarity w/ recent voting patterns here. https://t.co/QSnWZ3HDle — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hmm...what name is curiously absent from the RNC's press release announcing new Director of Hispanic Communications? https://t.co/tkus0IazdV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Important observations from @nathanlgonzales: https://t.co/DUcCL9GCTj — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rubio is in fantasyland if he thinks he still has a future w/ this kind of GOP prez primary electorate, esp if he stays in Senate. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @nathanlgonzales: Relevancy is important but four more years of votes ain't great either. https://t.co/m7B2xOIW5p — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @POLITICO_Steve: If by "Clinton strategy," you mean news orgs counting both pledged and unpledged-but-on-the-record delegates. https://t… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: The system isn't rigged against Sanders. He's losing because more Democrats want Clinton to be their nominee. https://t.… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Latest from @amyewalter: "Focus on the Fundamentals." Last paragraph captures my feeling entirely. https://t.co/PUMX6SNXjL @cookPolitical — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Taniel Yes. In '12, whites without college degrees were only 36% of electorate b/c college-educated turnout much higher. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A woman who believes the UN is a secret Illuminati plot came within 2% of helping set TX curriculum. Likely to become more common, not less. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In future, decline of trad media could make it easier for fringe conspiracy theorists to win political positions. https://t.co/GN0oscXf9K — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ConsultReid: Long-term trend of political homogenization of society. https://t.co/KKoRliBu2K — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Specifically, white men without a college degree were 32% of all voters in 1980. This November, they'll be ~16%: https://t.co/hSqwYwp4Yw — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump's problem: this November, whites who lack college degrees will be ~33% of all voters. In 1980, they were 71%: https://t.co/hSqwYwp4Yw — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Shorter WaPo: Let's not mention polling showing big Clinton lead in CA and talk up potential for "epic loss:" https://t.co/4UP0u60qjv — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: this should worry HRC camp most in NBC poll: 53% want POTUS who can 'bring major changes' vs 43% who want 'steady approach' — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Also, Obama was born in Kenya and Cruz's dad worked with Lee Harvey Oswald on the JFK assassination https://t.co/lQyiw0IrxT — PolitiTweet.org