Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Paradox of prez race right now: Dem elites united, but Dem voters divided. Opposite is true of GOP: elites divided, but voters united. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Very curious about Issa's % vs. Iraq vet Doug Applegate (D) on Tuesday in #CA49. Given Dem POTUS primary, could be low to begin with. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Could #CA07 Rep. Ami Bera (D) be saved by trend line? At this pt in '12, GOP had 1k voter reg edge there. Today, Dems have 17k lead. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yet, interesting that @DCCC doesn't seem to be targeting Issa despite rapidly changing CA demogs & potential for anti-Trump surge. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trouble for #CA49 Rep. Darrell Issa? At this pt in '12, GOP had 43%-28% voter reg edge. Today, shrunk to 39%-31%: https://t.co/H7RaNKkKzB — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Danger for #CA25 Rep. Steve Knight (R): at this pt in '12, GOP had 17k voter reg edge. Now, Dems have 3k edge. Wow. https://t.co/H7RaNKkKzB — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Haha https://t.co/UvAYCCnbyI — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Think anti-science BS is exclusive to the right? Meet a 25-year old D in #CA02 who says soap/hair dye causes cancer: https://t.co/n5I70kAHEj — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Probably accurate - and this should scare Dems. https://t.co/5QxAlcNWdJ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Re-reading the '13 GOP autopsy. Trump is literally doing everything Reince, Fleischer et al said the GOP shouldn't do (1/3) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Political_Data awesome. dwasserman at cookpolitical dot com — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Political_Data Any sense of D/R/DTS/demographic shift since '12 among registered voters in #CA10 #CA21 #CA24 #CA25 #CA49? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not to mention, FL's Hispanic share of eligible voters on pace to rise from 16.9% in 2012 to 18.9% in 2016. https://t.co/KTRYGEFbQW — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Latino anti-Trump surge a huge problem for #CA10 Denham (R) #CA21 Valadao (R) & #CA25 Knight (R) https://t.co/nF8GrD8J0Z — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right, because building a wall will prevent 27.7 million eligible Latino citizens from voting...good luck w/ that. https://t.co/vQiTEb1sa5 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Memo to Trump campaign: eligible Latino U.S. voters projected to rise 17% from 23.3M in '12 to 27.3M in '16 https://t.co/FpZ4iIrSq6 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JohnJHarwood: EXTRAORDINARY: Trump calls "Mexican heritage" of federal judge in Trump U case "inherent conflict of interest" bc "I'm b… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Judging by the even numbers of Dems/GOPers cheering my observation, don't see how it could be anything other. https://t.co/IgDJmrpz9c — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

6/2/16 - Speaker Paul Ryan endorses nominee who wants to ban Muslims from the country. The hostile takeover of the GOP is now complete. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: Trump isn’t doing better than Romney among white, non-college voters (the group that is his strongest constituency) http… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

But the real danger (and I'll get into in another piece) could be a drop-off in black turnout w/o Obama on ballot. https://t.co/wCNcETARn6 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In counties where Perot won >30%, turnout was down 9.6% b/t '92 & '12. In <10% counties, turnout went up 1.1%. https://t.co/zfXKJp5I41 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As @SeanTrende has documented well, "missing" whites correlate strongly w/ places Perot won his best %s in 1992. https://t.co/c1sgUpOCJG — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

1) "Missing White Voters" are a real thing. 2) But they tend not to live in swing states. https://t.co/c1sgUpOCJG https://t.co/zdQHc00zxw — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

[new article] "Missing" White Voters Could Help Trump, But Less So Where He Needs It https://t.co/zfXKJp5I41 @FiveThirtyEight @CookPolitical — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@benchmarkpol @Nate_Cohn lol is this the OANN of forecaster raters? You guys can afford to tone down the self-admiration a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@benchmarkpol @Nate_Cohn @PapaBowflex @ScottyRad It has really not done as fantastic as you say & your VA numbers need major attention. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Shorter @Benchmarkpol: "Let me tell you, we're beating @Nate_cohn so badly we're going to get so sick of winning." https://t.co/qbAc6nWawY — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@icoggins1 Using early xtabs to model counties is like using a paper plane to measure aerodynamics of a 747. Asking too much of too little. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@icoggins1 For example, Trump likely to outpace Romney in Buchanan/Dickenson. But quite likely to underperform Romney in ARL/FFX. — PolitiTweet.org