Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At issue: it's theoretically possible to draw a 23D-3R gerrymander w/ 23 double-digit Biden seats (example, left). But it would require Dem Reps. Paul Tonko #NY20, Joe Morelle #NY25 and Brian Higgins #NY26 to give up some existing blue turf (current map, right). https://t.co/4YOrk1azSV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW: Dem leaders in Albany are set to release maps in the next 72 hours, but there's still tension between Marc Elias/Sean Patrick Maloney - who are pushing for a hyper-aggressive 23D-3R gerrymander - and Upstate Dem incumbents who'd like more minor changes to their districts. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Dems have problems in a lot of these seats this fall, the House is long gone. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Ultimately, Republicans believe they'll come up w/ the votes to override Gov. Laura Kelly's (D) veto. But they have virtually no margin for error, and there's still a threat of a lawsuit at the KS Supreme Court on the grounds it dilutes minority votes in Wyandotte Co. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Kansas Rs are scrambling to pass a 4R-0D gerrymander that targets #KS03 Rep. Sharice Davids (D). There are 86 Rs in the state House, and need 84 votes to override a veto. But one R voted "No" the first time, and - per a source - another is hospitalized w/ severe COVID. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A good read on how Dems triumphed in NJ redistricting: “I got the sense that they really wanted us to win,” said a Democrat who was part of the Cherry Hill meetings. “The only reason I’m not mad is because we won.” https://t.co/HcMCtCtAzq — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: Our newsletter just landed in subscribers' inboxes featuring: • @amyewalter on surviving a wave election • House rating… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New from me at @CookPolitical: analysis of the latest big redistricting developments in FL, KS, NY, OH & PA. https://t.co/4GCS4570r3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Several Dems I've spoken with are concerned about a repeat of Illinois, where Dems in Springfield reworked their gerrymander at the last minute but drew it sloppily, leaving several points of Dem performance unrealized in key seats like #IL13 and #IL17. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The proceedings in Albany over the next few days will be a major test of DC Dems' clout. According to multiple sources, NY Dems' map (which could be released as soon as tonight) could be less aggressive and more incumbent-friendly than the Maloney memo's 23D-3R blueprint. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Gov. Henry McMaster (R) makes South Carolina the 28th state to adopt a new congressional map, locking in the state's 6R-1D split. But it may not be over: expect a VRA suit on the basis the GOP map overly packs Black voters into #SC06. https://t.co/JSg4Cu0J1B — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's my *very* rough sketch of the non-NYC districts (but including the Staten Island/Manhattan #NY11) proposed in the Maloney memo. The aim would be a 23D-3R gerrymander (up from 19D-8R now), though #NY22 could be competitive in a red year and #NY01 in a blue year. https://t.co/1ic2VBc2aJ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The only safe Republicans in Dems' dream NY map: - #NY21 Elise Stefanik (R) - #NY27 Chris Jacobs (R), who could jump to #NY23 - #NY02 Andrew Garbarino (R), who could jump to #NY01, though that Suffolk seat could be competitive in a Dem-leaning year — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

More highlights of the Maloney plan submitted via public comment to NY's redistricting site: - #NY16 Bowman (D) goes from Bronx to rural Dutchess - #NY17 Jones (D) goes to the Catskills - #NY19 Delgado (D) goes to Ithaca/Binghamton - #NY25 Morelle (D) picks up Buffalo suburbs https://t.co/Uc372mloGl — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Highlights of the 23D-3R plan recommended by commenter "Sean Patrick:" - Staten Island #NY11 drawn in w/ Lower Manhattan - New maj-min #NY02 on Long Island - #NY27 Jacobs (R) merged w/ #NY23 Reed (R) - #NY22 Tenney (R) put in a D-leaning seat - #NY03 crosses Long Island Sound — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

BREAKING: national Dems are using a "communities of interest" argument to urge their Albany counterparts to adopt an aggressive 23D-3R gerrymander that could wipe out five of NY's eight GOP seats. https://t.co/XobNDsugKf https://t.co/K46GUBj9ip — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Highlights of the 23D-3R plan recommended by commenter "Sean Patrick:" - Staten Island #NY11 drawn in w/ Lower Manhattan - New maj-min #NY02 on Long Island - #NY27 Jacobs (R) merged w/ #NY23 Reed (R) - #NY22 Tenney (R) put in a D-leaning seat - #NY03 crosses Long Island Sound — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

BREAKING: national Dems are using a "communities of interest" argument to urge their Albany counterparts to adopt an aggressive 23D-3R gerrymander that could wipe out five of NY's eight GOP seats. submhttps://nyirc.gov/storage/comments/ZuUbUBU9dxrIjHQNQJKf3gvRoj7VRuHVdMmsuvig.pdf https://t.co/ob5U3OgSjC — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Keep in mind, I said *might.* Several Rs who'd be needed to override Kelly's veto didn't vote or voted "present" the first time around. So the map's future here still very uncertain. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Keep in mind, I said *might.* Several Rs who'd be needed to override Kelly's veto didn't vote or weren't present the first time around. So the map's future here still very uncertain. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It looks like Kansas Republicans might have the votes to override Gov. Laura Kelly's (D) expected veto and pass a map that puts #KS03 Rep. Sharice Davids (D) in jeopardy. But would the more moderate KS Supreme Court uphold this gerrymander? We'll see. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NY Dems moving faster than expected to take over the process. We'll soon find out how aggressive they're willing to gerrymander. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @RedistrictNet: #NEW: NYS Senate Majority Leader Andrea Stewart-Cpusins and Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie have issued a statement saying… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breyer becomes the 30th House Dem to retire...wait, this isn’t another House retirement? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Many of these submitted drafts would eliminate a GOP seat in central PA but leave several Dem-held seats (#PA07, #PA08, #PA17) more vulnerable to GOP takeover. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: my take on a federal panel unanimously blocking Alabama's GOP map - a surprise victory for civil rights groups & Dems, though future at SCOTUS is uncertain. https://t.co/QpWLvaIcRH — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Also new at @CookPolitical: our analysis & chart of possible primary "risk factors" for House GOP incumbents. https://t.co/eNAGZ0YDzn — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New at @CookPolitical: these 25 Republican primaries will determine just how "MAGA" vs. "traditionalist" next year's House GOP conference will be. https://t.co/DLGlWXOQq7 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Never a great position for an incumbent to be five weeks before a tough primary. If Jessica Cisneros (D) wins (or if Cuellar wins and FBI troubles persist), this Biden +7 seat could be in play in the fall. #TX28 https://t.co/5vGD9oCJ9L — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No surprise here, after new GOP map came out flipping #TN05 from Biden +24 to Trump +11. Cooper becomes the 29th House Dem to forgo reelection. — PolitiTweet.org