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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Broward County, FL: white registrants fell 42k vs. '12, Hispanics rose 44k, blacks rose 21k, others rose 17k. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Miami-Dade Co. *alone* added more Hispanic voters (75,847) since '12 than Obama's statewide margin of victory (74,307). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In '04, Osceola Co. (Kissimmee) registrants were 57% white & voted for GWB. Now registrants are just 39% white, 45% Hispanic. HRC rout. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FL's largest drops in white % of registrants vs. '12: 1. Osceola (-6%) 2. Broward (-5%) 3. Hendry (-5%) 4. Palm Beach (-4%) 5. Polk (-4%) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
2016: the first presidential election ever in which a majority of Orange County, FL (Orlando)'s registered voters are non-white. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Since '12, FL has added a net 325,485 white voters & 603,842 non-white voters. Keep in mind, Obama's FL margin was 74,309 in '12. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
At bookclosing, FL has added a net 929,327 voters since '12. Non-whites have accounted for 65% of that growth (39% H, 11% AA, 15% Other). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: Florida's registered voters, now final: 2016: White 64.2, Hispanic 15.7, Black 13.4 2012: White 66.5, Hispanic 13.9, Black… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @cam_joseph: Go home 2016, you’re drunk. https://t.co/ej94b7oOPI — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
One consistent aspect of the hyper-polarized 2016 election: we've constantly overrated the impact of every "bombshell" on the polls. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
However, none of the counts updated for today or ballots currently in the mail. True total likely closer to 20% of total electorate. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
About 17.9 million Americans have already voted, per @ElectProject. That's ~13% of expected electorate. https://t.co/I5R3peTZ98 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @KirstenPowers: Now starts the Dems who said he was unimpeachable explaining how he's a hack + Republicans who said he was a hack saying… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This meshes well w/ our county upsides model: https://t.co/bqqK1aTQTO cc: @aedwardslevy https://t.co/s5i7yPtDAz — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@electionsmith For comparison's sake, what was racial composition of 2012 electorate? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Required reading by @JoshuaGreen: Inside the Trump Bunker, With 12 Days to Go https://t.co/pfkM5BJyiH — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Btw, the only locality in VA w/ higher growth in early vote vs. '12 is heavily D Lexington, home of W&L. Now at 72%… https://t.co/rYD6te2KzS — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@ElectProject I think you've got your VA numbers switched around - total advance ballots looks like it should be 241,175, not 381,683 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Has potential to further complicate already fraught race for #KS03 Rep. Kevin Yoder (R), who's in our Lean R column… https://t.co/4ubvhubWP0 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
One weird Midwestern quirk is that DJT polling worse in #KS03 than #NE02 even though KC burbs generally more Republican than Omaha. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Still, -27 pretty good for a Dem prez nominee in GA. Could easily carry Gwinnett Co. at that level. https://t.co/GViyVwfBDN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @LatinoDecisions: Early vote spotlight on 3 Hidalgo Co. TX voting locations shows Latino early vote numbers up by about 60% compared to… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
VA: early vote is at only 36% of '12 total in Newport News, 37% in Norfolk, 37% in Petersburg, 28% in Portsmouth. Low AA enthusiasm. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Early vote pattern beginning to emerge nationally: higher enthusiasm among liberal whites & Latinos vs. '12, lower enthusiasm among AAs. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
VA: notably, heavily Latino city of Manassas Park is already at 69% of its '12 absentee votes cast, far outpacing the state average. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
VA: so far, absentee votes cast are already 59% of '12 totals in Arlington/Fairfax/Prince William. Only 45% of '12 totals everywhere else. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
TX early voting increases vs. '12, Day 3: 1. Travis (D) +117% 2. Williamson (R) +89% 3. El Paso (D) +83% 4. Collin (R) +71% +50% overall — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Most Democratic House district still held by a Republican, per @CookPolitical PVI (D+8) https://t.co/J1O9Sjo3xC — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @CookPolitical: New House ratings: https://t.co/5BmqK8mw5y #FL18 - Toss Up to Lean R #MI08 - Likely R to Lean R #NJ03 - Solid R to Li… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical alert: Dems on track to pick up 10-20 House seats, an uptick but still short of 30 for majority. https://t.co/AcfhMgRYbZ — PolitiTweet.org
