Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@bowtiepolitics @jonathankappler @Nate_cohn When do you think we'll get full reliable data on party/race breakdown of NC's Sunday in-person? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ElectProject @kkondik I'm kind of anti-predicting states based on early vote...esp. b/c just a fraction of overall expected vote is in. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hillary Clinton is benefiting from record enthusiasm among Latino voters. But she also has an African-American turn… https://t.co/BsWNsRoThV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Meet the Clinton coalition: more Latinos & college-educated whites, fewer African-Americans & millennials. https://t.co/Y6zw6jFcLh — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@electionsmith what was it overall? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @BowTiePolitics: Possible concern for Dems in NC absentee ballots: Black voters only 21% of all ballots so far 2012 total: 27% http… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In NC, couldn't the changing party reg breakdown since '12 account for some of Dems' underperformance? https://t.co/JtX3MB1BmB — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ZacMcCrary: Sounds like both HRC and Trump are focused on energizing Democratic voters. https://t.co/rqAJh1RmBz — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Exactly, this too. https://t.co/wdM7NWfNKH — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yup. Dem nightmare scenario #5 still unlikely but gaining ground. https://t.co/YDrPZIlNe3 https://t.co/CufsB3ggN5 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Could McMullin win Utah w/o winning a county? Seems like he might come in 2nd to HRC in Salt Lake/Summit & 2nd to DJT everywhere else. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @TimJHanrahan: Is surge in registered voters in Texas bad news for Trump? More on the weirdly close polls there: https://t.co/34ahClUIvr… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Taniel: However, there is no scenario where a McMullin win in UT helps Clinton. The most it can do is push election to a GOP House. htt… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Recent events could make strategic voting on the part of UT's Clinton supporters a pretty meaningful prospect. https://t.co/tAoaZ8rVNc — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Back to square one: forget FL/OH. Trump needs NC/PA to win. They're the most critical states in the 2016 election. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This isn't the FL early vote data a lot of Dems had hoped for. https://t.co/BYg5Tj7qLi — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Through the first week, pretty clear there are big TX enthusiasm increases vs. '12 among Latinos and college-educat… https://t.co/dQuqTfRaD4 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Top TX early vote jumps vs. '12, Day 5: 1. Travis +101% 2. Williamson +82% 3. El Paso +77% 4. Collin +65% 5. Cameron +71% 6. Dallas +52% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Iowa election types: can one of her votes be invalidated, or too late? What's voting method at these sites? https://t.co/pjfF3udMS1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

VA's highest reg gains vs. '12: 1. Harrisonburg (D) +17% 2. Loudoun (D) +14% 3. Richmond (D) +14% 4. New Kent (R) +11% 5. Radford (D) +10% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Meanwhile, VA's largest AA-majority jurisdiction, Portsmouth, is only at 33% of its '12 absentee vote total - the lowest in the state. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

VA's most heavily Latino jurisdiction, Manassas Park, is already at 81% of its '12 absentee vote total - the highest in the state. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL: the two counties w/ highest Hispanic share, Miami-Dade & Osceola, are also well above state avg at 75% & 74% respectively. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In other words, all 8 FL counties w/ the highest share of votes cast vs. all '12 early votes are very favorable counties for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL early voting turnout not bad for Trump (2/2): 5. Baker (R) 89% of '12 total 6. Brevard (R) 81% 7. Collier (R) 79% 8. Santa Rosa (R) 75% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL early voting turnout #s not bad for Trump (1/2): 1. Lee (R) 116% of '12 total 2. Manatee (R) 108% 3. Sumter (R) 96% 4. Hernando (R) 96% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Top GOP-trending FL counties vs. '12, by party registration: 1. Holmes 2. Dixie 3. Gulf 4. Washington 5. Union — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Top Dem-trending FL counties vs. '12, by party registration: 1. Osceola 2. Orange 3. Miami-Dade 4. Seminole 5. Broward — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL's top jumps in total registrants vs. '12: 1. Sumter (R) +25% 2. Walton (R) +22% 3. Osceola (D) +20% 4. Nassau (R) +19% 5. Polk (R) +16% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL's top net jumps in Hispanic registrants vs. '12: 1. Miami-Dade +75k 2. Broward +44k 3. Orange +40k 4. Hillsborough +37k 5. Osceola +23k — PolitiTweet.org