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Showing page 405 of 504.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In '12, only 311k Nevadans voted on Election Day. Let's be generous and say it's 400k this time. Trump would need to win them by 10%. 7/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In this scenario, the early vote tally would be Clinton 379,929 to Trump 340,787, meaning Trump would start out Election Day 39k down. 6/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
And, let's say NV's Other registrants split 45%-45%, which is probably generous to Trump given their higher young/non-white share. 5/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Now let's say Clinton/Trump each win their own party's registrants 90%-5%-5% - prob best case scenario for Trump given national trend... 4/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NV statewide, Dems have built a 323k to 277k early vote lead, about as big as '12. 166k Others have voted early as well. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Let's do the math. Dems added another ~12k to their Clark lead yesterday, their biggest day yet. Thru early voting period, lead is 73k. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
ICYMI while you were asleep, there was a Friday night massacre of Trump's NV prospects...at a Hispanic supermarket.… https://t.co/keStx5iDNE — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FL: out of 5.7 million ballots returned so far, Dems take 8k lead (were down 3k yesterday). https://t.co/XfccrMbHPg — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @RalstonReports: Dems win Clark by 11,000-plus, will be ahead overall there by 72K-plus, more than 2012. May be game over in NV for GOP. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Very cool stuff here. https://t.co/UyhNVV68P6 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
There are clearly now several states where following demographics > following polls. But you'll never dissuade some… https://t.co/dMyqm2uRwB — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Might now be fair to ask what overall chances of winning @FiveThirtyEight would assign if model arbitrarily moved N… https://t.co/Ucvk4mAZRP — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
For those not following, there is a Friday night massacre of Trump's NV prospects underway... https://t.co/g0dIRCxH0Q — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
That's because the new voter reg data is even worse for GOP in Santa Barbara/#CA24. https://t.co/vgWIAhqWZV — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Top TX early vote increases vs. '12, thru Day 11: 1. Travis (D) +66% 2. El Paso (D) +62% 3. Williamson (R) +59% 4. Cameron (D) +51% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This was kind of predictable as one of Hillary's weaker nights in the sample rolled off. Things seem to have stabil… https://t.co/E42Hp9VQ4g — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In GOP Rep. Jeff Denham's #CA10, Dems have expanded voter reg lead from 3k in '12 to 9k in '16. He may be slightly better off, but watch. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In GOP Rep. David Valadao's #CA21, Dems have expanded their voter reg lead from 30k in '12 to 39k in '16. In Latino wave, he could lose. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In GOP Rep. Steve Knight's #CA25, Dems have turned a 15k voter deficit in '12 into an 11k voter edge in '16. A big reason he could lose. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In GOP Rep. Darrell Issa's #CA49, Dems have cut GOP voter registration lead from 48.3k in '12 to 25.5k now. Big reason why he's in danger. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Horrific new voter registration data for GOP in CA: since '12, Ds have added 754,000 voters, Rs have lost 308,000. https://t.co/rk1AuUCYIU — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In polarized America, this kind of thing becomes more common/excused on both sides as norms fray. https://t.co/6Y1HnjDTde — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: Clinton's path to the presidency is intact, but not secure https://t.co/h9l20DF4BT — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @kkondik: Slip sliding away for Bayh. Tip of the cap to @HotlineJosh who saw this coming from day one https://t.co/3lXB729ne3 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @ZacMcCrary: Martha Roby promoted on straight-ticket GOP mailer which includes the presidential nominee for whom she will not vote https… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Taking a quick break from the election to celebrate a more joyous occasion. #flythew https://t.co/YQGoOxwj5D — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NV now looking like state where the hard early vote evidence most clearly contradicts Trump's narrow polling edge i… https://t.co/DecrKLxKO7 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This is the key paragraph from @NateSilver538's take on breach in Clinton's firewall: https://t.co/rOCIaDzyAb — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Top TX early vote jumps vs. this point in '12, Day 10: 1. Travis (D) +72% 2. El Paso (D) +64% 3. Williamson (R) +64% 4. Cameron (D) +52% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
VA: 14 localities have already surpassed their '12 absentee totals: Manassas/Park, Fairfax/City, PWC. But 7 of other 9 are in SWVA. — PolitiTweet.org
