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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I think I've seen this runoff before: 2021 Warnock/Loeffler map (left) 2022 Warnock/Walker map (right) https://t.co/6i27ii9xb6 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @DougJBalloon: Dave Wasserman says that Raphael Warnock has defeated Herschel Walker. But in this Pickens County Waffle House, they areā¦ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
To my eye, Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) is on track to prevail by 2-4 pts. By the standard of the 2021 runoffs, that's a Democratic blowout. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Disclaimer: the personal judgments offered by this account regarding election results are not official race "calls" and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Cook Political Report or any other entity. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I've seen enough: Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) defeats Herschel Walker (R) in the #GASEN runoff, giving Democrats a 51-49 majority in the Senate. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Bibb Co. (Macon): Warnock +23.9 in November, Warnock +25.3 tonight. A good result for Warnock (D) there. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Muscogee Co. (Columbus): Warnock +25.9 in November, Warnock +29.2 today. Warnock (D) easily hits his target number there. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Clarke Co. (Athens): Warnock +44.2 in November, Warnock +47.5 tonight. Warnock (D) easily above his target numbers there. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Paulding Co. (NW Atlanta suburbs): Walker +24.4 in November, Walker +23.7 tonight. A good result for Warnock (D) there. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
As is often the case w/ runoffs, tonight is even more polarized by red/blue turf than the initial round: both parties are doing well in the areas where they concentrated their turnout efforts. On balance, you'd rather be Warnock. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Pickens Co. (rural north): Walker +63.1 in November, Walker +67.0 today. The best Walker (R) result so far tonight, but he's going to need similar gains in the northern ATL suburbs. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Richmond Co. (Augusta): Warnock +37.7 in November, Warnock +40.5 today. A terrific result for Warnock (D) in Georgia's third biggest city. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dougherty Co. (Albany): Warnock +40.8 in November, Warnock +42.7 today. A great result for Warnock (D) there. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Whitfield Co. (Dalton, substantially Hispanic): Walker +46.4 in November, Walker +48.3 today. Another good result for Walker (R) in North Georgia, but probably not enough to offset what we're seeing elsewhere. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Camden Co. (coastal): Walker +33.2 in November, Walker +31.8 today. Another good result for Warnock (D). #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The northern ATL suburbs get a lot of ink, but just as was the case in '20-'21, the best signs for Dems tonight (relative to November) are in the southern ATL suburbs. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Baldwin Co. (Milledgeville) added a few more votes, and appears complete now. It's even more good news for Warnock (D): Walker +0.5 in November, Warnock +1.1 today. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Habersham Co. (rural north): Walker +62.9 in November, Walker +64.8 today. Walker (R) continues to hit his numbers in rural North Georgia, but he's not getting what he needs in more urban/diverse areas. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
First majority Black county in metro Atlanta is in: Rockdale Co. (Conyers), and it's a great result for Warnock (D). Warnock +48.2 in November, Warnock +51.0 today. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Lee Co. (north of Albany): Walker +42.5 in November, Walker +42.1 tonight. Short of what he needs there. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Perhaps the strongest county so far for Walker: Gordon Co. in the rural north. Walker +61.7 in November, Walker +64.5 today. Still, more the exception than rule. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Thomas Co. (Thomasville): Walker +23.5 in November, Walker +22.0 today. A few points short of what he needs there. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
A pattern emerging: Walker (R) is hitting/getting close to the numbers he needs in the reddest, most rural counties. But he's falling a good bit short of the numbers he needs in small/midsized cities. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Tift Co. (Tifton): Walker +38.9 in November, Walker +36.9 today. Yet another great result for Warnock (D). #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Glynn Co. (Brunswick): Walker +26.9 in November, Walker +24.7 today. A terrific result for Warnock (D). #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Baldwin Co. (Milledgeville): Walker +0.5 in November, Warnock +0.2 today. A red to blue flip, unless there are a handful more pro-Walker votes left to count. Another great sign for Warnock (D). #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
At this point, turnout in metro Atlanta would need to be unusually rough for Warnock (D) to lose. It'll be a close margin, but he's in the driver's seat now. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Oconee Co. (outside Athens): Walker +34.5 in November, Walker +34.5 today. Not good enough for Walker (R) there. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Webster Co: Walker +20.8 in November, Walker +18.9 today. Tiny county, but a good result for Warnock (D). #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Turner Co.: Walker +24.0 in November, Walker +25.0 today. Walker (R) barely hits his target there, but doing so in the slight minority of complete counties. #GASEN — PolitiTweet.org