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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: The polls are about to close in GA-6. Expect Ossoff to fare well in the early vote. Our estimate is Clinton won those voters… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
IMPORTANT as you track: this likely means Ossoff (D) needs at least 72% of the *early* vote in DeKalb, 61% in Fulto… https://t.co/G0kl6F7zMs — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Rule of thumb: to be on track to hit 50% and *avoid* a runoff, Ossoff probably needs around 62% in DeKalb, 51% in Fulton, 45% in Cobb. #GA06 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
To preface tonight: in my 12+ years covering House races, I've never seen one overhyped quite like #GA06. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Polls close in 7 minutes in #GA06. @CookPolitical rates the race a Toss Up, but tonight my rating might be "Lean Runoff." — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Amazingly, this is not as frustrating as the WV elections site, which sometimes gives you totals by county for only… https://t.co/iptsMqVE4E — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Excited to join @cspanwj momentarily to discuss the new @CookPolitical PVI and 2018 House races...call in to talk your favorite race! — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: Right now, we're headed for a KS-04 election night redux in GA-6. Ossoff might be up >20 in the E.V. (Assumes Ossoff at 46 i… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
However, whereas pressure was on GOP in #KS04, pressure is on Dems in #GA06. If they can't win CDs Trump won by 1.5%, they can't win House. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Was Brownback a huge factor in GOP's #KS04 underperformance? Totally. But do Dems need same 20% underperformance to… https://t.co/1p04CFoQLT — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Last Nov., President Trump won #KS04 by 27.0%. Tonight, Estes (R) won special by 6.8%. Next up on 4/18: #GA06, where Trump won by 1.5%. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
That's not how the @CookPolitical PVI works. R+15 means 15% more R than nat'l average. So Estes ran about 10% behin… https://t.co/AwGTS5fKL8 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Keep in mind, #KS04 is the 74th most GOP district in the U.S. out of 435, via @CookPolitical PVI https://t.co/w2SkFe3frz — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Estes lead up to 2,212 (3%) w/ most precincts reporting. Close but no cigar for Dems. #KS04 https://t.co/Ntha7hpdYm — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @nathanlgonzales: Maybe James Thompson is the next Paul Hackett and not Jon Ossoff. #KS04 https://t.co/fSP79waw3h — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Important detail that suggests Estes is the favorite to pull this out by a small margin. #KS04 https://t.co/Q6MyhHu4N1 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @cFidd: SEDGWICK IS THE NEW WAUKESHA https://t.co/ZdJRJfbspz — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Right, bc only a tiny fraction of Pawnee is in #KS04 https://t.co/YN04PgFAWd — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @StuPolitics: Some people say that 3 million to 5 million illegal ballots are being cast in the Kansas special election. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Estes looking like slight favorite w/ more Election Day precincts reporting...but #KS04 likely to stay in single digit range til the end. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @mcimaps: Another Sedgwick dump... 66/257 precincts in... 57-41 Thompson... he can't fall much more than than #KS04 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @SeanTrende: With Edwards all in, Estes at 78%, Trump was 79%. But just a few hundred votes. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @JewelynCosgrove: Why yes, I am watching the #KS04 returns. LIKE A GOOD POLITICAL NERD DOES. I swear I'm cool and have friends. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Rural Comanche Co. all in, Estes at 74% but turnout there only 44% of what it was in November '16. What about Wichita? Hmm... #KS04 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @allymutnick: Reminder: @RonEstesKS had no primary election & was handpicked by 126 GOP delegates over former Trump aide @albobcobb & @r… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The last time a Dem carried #KS04 (Sebelius '06), she won Sedgwick by 6k and ran even everywhere else. Thompson needs bigger Sedgwick lead. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Estes' rural margins looking decent and we'll need to see a lot more Election Day vote, but this thing is close (Trump won #KS04 by 27%) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
UPSET brewing in #KS04?? Thompson (D) looking very viable in early Sedgwick/Harvey counties results. Hold onto your hats... — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Isn't only part of Pawnee in #KS04? By our count Trump won that slice of Pawnee 118-23. Estes only won 44-18. https://t.co/mQ6fsRZ81s — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Estes generating respectable leads in rurals (not far behind Trump), Thompson will need monster lead out of Sedgwick (Wichita) to win. #KS04 — PolitiTweet.org
