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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you absolutely forced me, I'd probably still say Ossoff falls just shy of 50%, but need to see lots more Election Day vote. #GA06 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
To revise my benchmarks slightly: overall, Ossoff probably needs 60% in DeKalb, 50% in Fulton & 44% in Cobb to win #GA06 outright. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Amazed by how many not-that-political friends who never brought up the 2016 election in conversation suddenly asking me about #GA06. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Ossoff at 48.6% of the Election Day vote w/ 9/210 precincts reporting so far. But 6/9 precincts are DeKalb, his best area. #GA06 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Turnout looking robust in #GA06 so far. I was always skeptical a district that produced 210k votes in '14 would see much lower given stakes. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Latest #GA06 results w/ 56k ballots counted (almost all early): Ossoff (D) 61% Handel (R) 15% Moody (R) 9% Gray (R) 7% Hill (R) 6% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Based on a turnout of 150k, Ossoff would need about 44% of the Election Day vote to win #GA06 outright. That's harder than it sounds. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
+1 https://t.co/EbAdtSpwER — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Remember: early votes were always *supposed* to look "very promising" for Ossoff. #GA06 https://t.co/239bkul52Z — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Ossoff won 62% of the in-person absentee vote...is that really *that* much better than we expected? It's good for h… https://t.co/gpSW5SCpG8 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: Turnout is near midterm levels in these DeKalb precincts, which is going to raise the burden even higher on the GOP in Cobb — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Remember: only 50,216 votes are tallied right now, and it's Ossoff's best batches. Still could be more than 100k left to count. #GA06 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breaking: #GA06-wide, Ossoff (D) has won 62% of the in-person absentee vote. Most estimated he needed 61%-64% to have a shot at 50%. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breaking: Ossoff (D) wins 61% of Fulton's in-person absentees. Again, it's almost *precisely* what he needs to be on track for 50%. #GA06 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @allymutnick: Re-upping this as results come in. #GA06 is the 8th-fastest Dem-trending district in the country, per @Redistrict https://… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Updated #GA06 results w/ DeKalb & Cobb in-person absentees: Ossoff (D) 63% Handel (R) 11% Hill (R) 9% Moody 8% https://t.co/bdKiWGMQFZ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breaking: Ossoff (D) wins 57% of Cobb's in-person absentees. Again, that's roughly what he needs to hit 50%, but very close... #GA06 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Impressive showings for Ossoff out of DeKalb so far. That's his strongest county & turnout robust. Now let's see Co… https://t.co/m0qJkzyeiD — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @conorsen: BREAKING: Ashford Dunwoody Rd in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 47.9% of 1121 votes cast. Downtick from Hillary’s 51.8% https://… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: It'll be interesting to see outside of DeKalb, but at least here Ossoff is getting more than what he needs https://t.co/1prX… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Believe it or not, tonight could be a fairly boring affair in tomorrow's news if Ossoff falls short of 50%. #GA06 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
First #GA06 results out of DeKalb (in-person absentees): Ossoff 71% Handel 11% Moody 9% Gray 4% But, Ossoff still underdog to hit 50%. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
However, note that these are DeKalb's *in-person* absentees, which are likelier to favor Ossoff than mail-in absent… https://t.co/t2Te2gvlNE — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FIRST RESULTS: Ossoff (D) at 71% of DeKalb's early vote so far. That's about what he would need for 50%, but again, super early. #GA06. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
One #GA06 GOP candidate I interviewed told me he thought turnout in today's primary would be around 50k. That candidate is not going to win. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
#GA06 has 445k registered voters, 331k voted in November. How many will vote in the special primary? Higher turnout prob better for GOP. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dem donors' narrow obsession w/ #GA06 reminds me a little of Clinton camp's obsession w/ certain states to exclusion of ME/MI/PA/WI etc. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In fact, of the 241 CDs that elected an R last fall, only two have trended faster towards Dems than #GA06. https://t.co/ia95N3uynS — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Fun fact: #GA06 was the 8th-fastest Dem-trending CD in the country between '12 & '16. Makes it a bit of an outlier in larger House context. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
40% would bode very poorly for Ossoff in June. Most heartbreaking for Dems would be if Ossoff hits 48% & other 4 De… https://t.co/0ntjyvR6Pe — PolitiTweet.org