Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Based on everything I'm seeing, I'd guess Gianforte ends up winning this thing in the 5%-10% range. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yeah, that's not good for Quist either... #MTAL https://t.co/YqKldjUrPr — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And there really aren't enough votes left out in Yellowstone for Quist to even get the county very close. #MTAL https://t.co/A398DS0TNn — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Do we have live precinct results? Yes, we do have live precinct results https://t.co/GiwXbcw9gH https://t.co/o9Jg9YsTwN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

138/681 precincts reporting: Quist (D) 84,573 47% Gianforte (R) 83,808 47% But almost none of MT's most rural/GOP counties in. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Quist up 62%-29% in Deer Lodge, where Bullock won 70%-26%. Not looking like a good night for Dems here. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Quist really has to keep things a lot closer in Billings to have a chance. So far, he's way under Bullock's numbers. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, Quist isn't running close to where he needs to be to beat Gianforte, but he'd better hope E-Day votes more favorable. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Gianforte leads 56%-37% in Yellowstone County (Billings) w/ 48k votes there tallied. Man, that's a big hole for Quist to dig out of... #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

On Absentee vs. Election Day Voters https://t.co/ig82Nlynv9 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Let's try not to jump to too many conclusions until we have *full counties* reporting. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @greggiroux: UPDATED Montana election cheat sheet: https://t.co/jr2szRfhK2 Voters/absentees/2012-16 races by county & 2016 prez/gov by… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Five Areas Of Montana To Watch Tonight https://t.co/F7jYYJu2Sm — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Bad news about Montana: The count could take a while. D primary wasn't called until 2AM (Sanders+7) Gov '16 wasn't called un… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Excited to be live-poetry slamming the #MTAL special w/ @ForecasterEnten & @NateSilver538 over at https://t.co/ZY3Th64q33 starting 9pm ET. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @alexis_levinson: At polling place in Bozeman, haven't found anyone yet who changed their mind bc of last night's events. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: In 2010, R's CRUSHED D's in anti-Obamacare ads. This year, D's slighlty outspending R's in attacking GOP health bill https:… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

But if these voters represent even 3% of the electorate, could be enough for Quist. Bigger question: how many GOPers staying home? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

From the obligatory #MTAL polling place interviews, sounds like reporters having a tough time finding 11th hour Gianforte->Quist defectors. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Quist voter tells Bozeman Daily Chronicle: “I’m going to body slam my vote for [Quist] into the ballot." #MTAL https://t.co/ByVugmwH0r — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Surprise: many on losing side believe things they fervently wish were true but aren't. Just like 8 years ago. https://t.co/V9KKmsbRnD — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In Montana, the Dem accusation that "NJ billionaire" Gianforte blocked stream access on his property was/is a BIG deal for voters. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And it's not just the assault - it's the clumsy/far-fetched denial and refusal to quickly apologize for losing cool under stress. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Neither GOP nor indies have favorable attitudes towards media - esp. a UK paper - but assault plays into an existing Gianforte narrative. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pre-assault, GOP consultants emphasized that Gianforte's image started #MTAL at 1-to-1, and a big part of that was perceived arrogance. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's a lot easier to brush something like this off if you had a favorable impression of the candidate. But '16 badly damaged Gianforte. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's why "Tough guy plays well in Wild West" may not hold in this case: voters already didn't like Gianforte, going back to '16. #MTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Quist wins #MTAL tonight, I'd expect his coalition to be a bit more urban/less rural than Bullock's given federal nature of race. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SteveDaines: My statement: https://t.co/0lysRZFtkA — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @nathanlgonzales: A great primer for tonight on how well Quist needs to do in key places in order to pull this out. #MTAL https://t.co/K… — PolitiTweet.org