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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This approach is one of many partisan-blind solutions. Another: @boooolson's compactness optimization algorithm.… https://t.co/M842inPEZ2 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's not that hard: redistricting is a problem computers can now solve. Draw the shortest line(s) needed to achieve equipopulous districts.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@mattyglesias Because, why not? I'm open to ideas. This just strikes me as the most straightforward approach & far… https://t.co/QAWxua1UTa — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's not that hard: redistricting is a problem computers can now solve. Draw the shortest line(s) needed to achieve equipopulous districts. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@Nate_Cohn @PoliticsWolf As Nate said, wouldn't argue there's anything concretely wrong w/ any of your maps. There… https://t.co/K2zOtvf9m7 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
My belief: partisanship shouldn't play a role in redistricting, period. https://t.co/qqcQ2oOhLh — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@mattyglesias How so? Given today's levels of polarization in many states, you'd have to actively gerrymander to ac… https://t.co/JHBfAyTtTw — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@xenocryptsite Sure. Look at Jowei Chen's work running 1000s of computer-simulated maps and take the median GOP seat share vs. vote share. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@PoliticsWolf The point being, this is all subjective. I can just as easily propose maps that are "fair" to my eye… https://t.co/FQM5nYW0GC — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@PoliticsWolf I totally get that. I'm just questioning whether those line changes would've been sufficient to alter '12 results there. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@PoliticsWolf I'd argue plenty of the outcomes in those maps are shaky. For example, how are #PA03 #WI01 or #WI07 blue? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In other words, Ds need 24 seats to take back House. In a world without gerrymandering, they'd need ~12. But they'd still need ~52% of vote. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Rs won 4% more seats than votes for House in '12, '14 & '16. In my estimates, neutral/random maps bring that gap down to 2% - about half. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The reality of both parties' geographical distribution means neutral/algorithmic maps would result in an inflated GOP seat share vs. votes. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I'm open to persuasion on the "efficiency gap." But main drawback: it has a hard time measuring what's gerrymandering vs. what's clustering. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's misleading to run vote % vs. seat % data and call it a gerrymandering analysis. Dems' over-concentration has dramatically worsened too. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This @APNews deep dive covers a lot of ground, but seriously underplays role of Dem clustering in GOP advantage. https://t.co/ORQtfQsabp — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @CookPolitical: Before speculating about what a Dem loss in #GA06 means for Pelosi’s future, read @amyewalter latest: https://t.co/LHf9o… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Cruz, Lee, Johnson & Paul will sink GOP healthcare bill? At this point I'm more confident RNC delegate rules will deny Trump the nomination. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @mollyesque: This is the "I was into special elections before they signed to a major label" of political nerd tweets. https://t.co/SFG02… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Trump is already raising Dems all the $ they could want. But Pelosi and "San Francisco values" are still the best foil Rs could hope for. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's just extremely difficult for Ds to argue benefits of Nancy Pelosi's fundraising skills still outweigh cost of her presence in GOP ads. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @PoliticoKevin: "I think you’d have to be an idiot to think we could win the House with Pelosi at the top." - Rep. Filemon Vela. https:/… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dear despondent Ossoff fans: just wait until next November, when Dems put 100 GOP seats in play & win 48% in *all* of them. (just kidding?) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Random: if GOP hangs onto its VA House of Delegates majority - but gets wiped out in Northern VA - biggest casualty could be @wmata funding. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Rating change: former Rep. Brad Ashford (D) comeback bid vs. Rep. Don Bacon (R) moves #NE02 from Lean R to Toss Up. https://t.co/QdZHLHCiJx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical House Ratings: #GA06 Handel (R) starts 2018 general election at Lean R. https://t.co/QdZHLHCiJx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NateSilver538 I don't disagree w/ that. If anything, both parties should be taking a broader swath of districts seriously. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dems cleared 46% of 2-party vote in each of #KS04, #MTAL, #GA06 & #SC05. This indicates a *broad* House playing field, not a limited one. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Not so sure about this. If Dems had put more $$ into #SC05, you can guarantee NRCC/CLF would too, raising turnout &… https://t.co/xRkGu0EIGb — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
By the way, Democrats were dumb not to put more resources into South Carolina 5, which elected a Dem to the House as recently as 2008.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @TimFernholz: Yup. https://t.co/Zc6QyP376Z https://t.co/3FH9rP0FBe — PolitiTweet.org