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Showing page 367 of 504.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@Nate_Cohn @ForecasterEnten Very cool. We're not too far off from each other. I'd guess Gillespie does a sliver bet… https://t.co/RrofT3bHy2 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Forget Henrico. According to our model, the best VA bellwethers tonight are Chesapeake, Hopewell, Caroline, Radford. https://t.co/y1svIV7ee2 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In full disclosure, I revised/refined these slightly this afternoon after figuring out a better way to model Northam's home base bonus. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
ICYMI: My estimate of the vote targets Northam/Gillespie need to beat in each locality to win #VAGOV tonight. https://t.co/y1svIV7ee2 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I grew up in NJ, now live/vote in VA. Don't tell me this is an "off-year" election. This is the best day of the 4-year cycle. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
For R's, the old VA model is out. You don't need to win Loudoun/PWC, you need to run up huge rural margins (probabl… https://t.co/JphXe0qRwH — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Smith @tomlovespaula
@Redistrict How can Gillespie win without London, Prince William, and Chesapeake?
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: It's live: NYT results, precinct map and live model of Virginia. https://t.co/NAzqTImIzF — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Reports of Rep. Frank LoBiondo (R) retirement in #NJ02. Big deal: would move a Solid R seat three columns over to Toss Up @CookPolitical. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Maybe bellwethers in the past. But Gillespie doesn't need to win any of these localities to win statewide tonight. https://t.co/1NSl8Q2428 — PolitiTweet.org
Reid Wilson @PoliticsReid
VA bellwethers: PWC, Radford City, Loudoun, Harrisonburg, Albemarle, Henrico, Sussex, Northampton.… https://t.co/IJs2katYpZ
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @mitchellreports: Coming up on #AMR: @MichaelSteele @Redistrict @USAmbNATO Wendy Sherman @KenDilanianNBC @ChrisJansing Jeff Weaver &more… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@JMilesColeman @WellYouSeeNorm @ForecasterEnten @Nate_Cohn Exactly...there actually wasn't too much of a favorite s… https://t.co/CS0EPsjjK1 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Here's my model of what Northam/Gillespie need in each locality to win #VAGOV: https://t.co/y1svIV7ee2 cc: @ForecasterEnten @Nate_Cohn — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@Nate_Cohn My break-even VA model (coming soon) agrees w/ that. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @KSoltisAnderson: The Margie Margin Is Real! https://t.co/xaFjY9P32T — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@VA11independent theoretically, someone could vote for a write-in — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NBCNews The difference between a good night & great night for Dems is whether they pick up seats OUTSIDE NoVa: Ric… https://t.co/mJ5lmWlTJd — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NBCNews Whereas the gubernatorial race is more personality-driven, HoD races driven more by voter attitudes toward… https://t.co/QxqLTcC4Gz — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NBCNews Bottom line: if Democrats pick up more than 10 seats in the House of Delegates, it could be a sign they're… https://t.co/mhz4aKj38m — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New piece is up at @NBCNews: Why Virginia Statehouse races could hold key to the 2018 midterms. https://t.co/F76m6s6xki — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Final thought: what if a few confused colonial interpreters in Alexandria & Williamsburg put John Adams (R) over the top in the AG race? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's not up by as much in heavily AA cities like Hampton/Portsmouth/Danville. But it's also not up by as much in rural/GOP localities. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
One positive sign for Northam is that election interest is up vs. '13 in Dem/Latino localities like Manassas/PWC. https://t.co/LkLwnUAJzM — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If Gillespie can match his '14 Sen %s in Northern VA and Cuccinelli's '13 Gov %s in rural VA, he'll be governor. Off-year VA ≠ prez. VA. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In my view, that means Northam must count on overperformance in Tidewater (home base) & higher Dem engagement across board thanks to Trump. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's also difficult to see Northam doing much better than Clinton in rural VA given confederate monuments drama/muddled pipeline position. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
There's real support for Gillespie in Northern VA that didn't exist for Cuccinelli or Trump. Being a DC insider not a liability in Fairfax. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RCP avg/result in off-year VA: '09: McDonnell (R) +13.4/+17.5 '13: McAuliffe (D) +6.7/+2.5 '14: Warner (D) +9.7/+0.8 Northam (D): +2.8/?? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dems have good reason to be nervous about #VAGOV tomorrow. The race is much closer than VA's Dem lean & Trump's unpopularity would suggest. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Sure thing 908 884 9280 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@JMilesColeman Shhh...you discovered our secret work!! — PolitiTweet.org
