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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @aedwardslevy: As @Redistrict has also noted in the past, one of the things about an education gap opening across the parties is that no… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

What happened last night? All four of these things. #ALSEN https://t.co/CZi4o7NETz — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To win #ALSEN (@CookPolitical PVI R+14), Jones needs: 1) Ridiculous Dem margins in Birmingham/Montgomery 2) Strong… https://t.co/iCfJFdsYG3

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Moore certainly an extreme & unique case, but #ALSEN reconfirms daunting '18 problem for GOP: Trump base not showin… https://t.co/75X30D2qZx — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As usual, it seems highly likely you have absolutely no idea what you're talking about. https://t.co/3Aefa1eFSa — PolitiTweet.org

Bill Mitchell @mitchellvii

Democrats are notoriously bad at turning out in midterms (which this basically was) but somehow in AL they turned o… https://t.co/E3Szh9cDp0

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biggest shifts, Clinton '16 to Jones '17: 1. Lee (Auburn): 38/59 (+21%) 2. Shelby: 24/43 (+19%) 3. Tuscaloosa: 40/… https://t.co/CCUU7LjPRp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Bill Armistead (Moore camp) notes state recount provision is 0.5%. Current Jones margin: 1.5%. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Jones’s biggest margins tonight came in the counties where turnout was closest to last year’s… https://t.co/OL7RgD6hnT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Shelby County, AL (Birmingham suburbs): 2016: Trump 73,020, Clinton 22,977 2017: Moore 36,424, Jones 27,251 #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump voters in rural white counties didn't move much towards Jones, but they utterly failed to turn out for Moore. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It turns out there are still limits to partisanship. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No question: Urban Alabama & the Black Belt came through for Doug Jones. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Damning statement from SLF's Steven Law: “This is a brutal reminder that candidate quality matters regardless of wh… https://t.co/3AFgwzFAgG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: AP calls the race for Jones. I'm still waiting on more Jefferson, but Jones very likely to prevail. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

All of Tuscaloosa in, Jones wins there by 16%. We estimated he needed to win by 5%. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Jones prevails, as looks increasingly likely, a major reason would be that the black share of Alabama vote is wa… https://t.co/ihKhmlvpbI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Selma in. 75% Jones. Tied ballgame. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Looking really good for Jones, but we still don't know enough about the nature of what's out in Birmingham to say a… https://t.co/aWdydZcVeG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Good areas remaining for Jones: Montgomery Jefferson Dallas Mobile (?) Tuscaloosa (?) Good areas remaining for Mo… https://t.co/aHY6CRCn40 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Still no Selma. Not *that* many votes, but will be great for Jones. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Amazing: turnout is at 72%-77% of '16 presidential race in heavily black counties, but just 55%-60% in rural white… https://t.co/Csu15jT0Tj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This thing is headed for a photo finish. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For example, Covington Co. (76% Moore) fully reported and only at 57% of 2016 turnout. That's a very pro-Jones turnout differential. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another strong Jones turnout in the Black Belt: Bullock Co., where turnout is 72% of presidential. Not seeing compa… https://t.co/vJWqcWkHEe — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Folks: these Jefferson numbers are going to narrow. We don't know how good it really is for Jones. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We still don't have a full county reporting in major metro Alabama. Big unknowns: Shelby, Baldwin, Mobile, Montgomery. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The county-by-county margins point towards a really tight race. The turnout, however, points ever-so-slightly to Jones. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Turnout is down relative to what I expected just about everywhere counting's done, but that's especially true in heavy Moore areas. #ALSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yep. https://t.co/vyBof5qVXO — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Folks, our model thinks that the GOP may have a big turnout problem. The three, white, GOP counties have fallen far… https://t.co/umdN1DbdUc

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow. Look at turnout in Perry Co. (Black Belt). It's at 76% of 2016 turnout and Jones is winning by 59%. Meanwhile,… https://t.co/LcaHn1Gjn3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Moore doing better than we expected in his base, and Jones doing better than we expected in his base. What else is… https://t.co/BkjuAblR3L — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2017 Hibernated