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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Alabama voted for Trump by 27.7%, the R nominee was an alleged pedophile, Trump wasn't on the ballot and the Dem still only won by 1.7%. — PolitiTweet.org
Mario Latilleon @latilleon
@Redistrict You could have said the same about the Alabama senate seat in 2016.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
But you know what *is* winnable for Dems in 2020 w/ the right kind of candidate - especially a woman w/ an appealing personal story and zero ties to an unpopular Congress? A country that voted for Clinton by 2.1%. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Folks, there is just no amount of $$$ that is going to elect a Dem to federal office next fall in in a place that voted for Trump by 30%.* *except maybe Collin Peterson in #MN07 but that’s about it — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Nationally, Dem voters/donors love McGrath’s profile (and those of many other ‘18 women whose personal stories dwarf those of the ‘20 prez candidates). Kentucky voters as a whole...not so much. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@jonathanchait District: Trump +15% State: Trump +30% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Having covered her impressive ‘18 performance in a red district, I mean this in all seriousness: Amy McGrath would actually have a better chance at the presidency in ‘20 than #KYSEN. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Reality check: Amy McGrath ran for House in 2018 (a terrific Dem year) and lost by 3% in #KY06, which went for Trump by 15% in 2016. Now she’s running w/ basically the same message in a state that went for Trump by *30%.* Folks... — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New at @CookPolitical: Rep. Justin Amash's departure from the GOP moves #MI03 from Solid Republican to Toss Up. Still many unknowns in the race. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @JakeSherman: there are some real-life impacts to @justinamash leaving the GOP. — he’ll probably be kicked out of the House Republican… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This. If you’re a DC journalist complaining about gate 35X, you better be headed to/coming back from a godforsaken place where you’ll legit be reporting on people’s actual, non-first-world problems. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
To be clear, I do not necessarily endorse the complaints. In fact, I think the threshold ought to be pretty high fo… https://t.co/a4vy4CHDYY
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@ForecasterEnten It’s sort of breathtaking this is my first time for lunch here... https://t.co/0gC5RAs420 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
For the most part, yes — PolitiTweet.org
Brian Brianson @evolgress
@Redistrict So you're saying the less political experience the better?
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@paddyfoundy Just like only being elected in ‘04 was such as huge liability for Obama in ‘08... — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
There are many Dems (esp. women) who would have far less serious general election liabilities. Many of them were just elected in ‘18. — PolitiTweet.org
Chris Hayes @chrislhayes
@Redistrict I mean, is there a single human alive who would not have serious general election liabilities?
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Well said. https://t.co/mknyuAKSXt — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Wonder where Biden stood on this? https://t.co/tiN3wtl3HZ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The correct lesson from 2016: the former helped Clinton win the popular vote by 2.9 million. But the latter cost her the Electoral College. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dems at risk of learning absolute wrong lesson from 2016. The prospect of being the first female president is a g… https://t.co/MuUdCElyue
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
*don’t want to hear — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Btw (and this is something most Dems want to hear): Biden, Warren & Harris would *all* have very serious liabilities in a general election. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dems at risk of learning absolute wrong lesson from 2016. The prospect of being the first female president is a g… https://t.co/MuUdCElyue
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The 2020 Dem nominee vs. Trump will be a: — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Another hint from 2018: Dem women pretty consistently overperformed their polls in House/other primaries. Which explains why if you asked me today whether the Dem nominee will be a woman or a man, it’s actually a pretty close call. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
What 2018 primaries told us: Dem primary voters believe the best way to send a message to Trump is to send a woman. Looks like that was a good reason to be skeptical of March/April polls showing 5-6 dudes combining for ~64% of the 2020 primary vote. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
“But the presidency is different!” we hear. Which is also what pundits said in ~2015 to rationalize why voters would elect flame-throwing R outsiders to Congress but never Donald Trump to the White House. It turns out voters usually keep wanting what they want. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It’s no accident Hillary Clinton failed to connect but Dem women running as political outsiders absolutely crushed it in House & other 2018 races - including in tons of states/districts Clinton lost. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dems at risk of learning absolute wrong lesson from 2016. The prospect of being the first female president is a general election *asset.* The worst *liability* you can have: an image as a political insider/elite. https://t.co/4WmchpF0nx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Although the risks of an undercount resulting from a Trump "chilling effect" are still real, this is a huge win for Dems & minority advocacy groups. — PolitiTweet.org
Daniel Jacobson @Dan_F_Jacobson
HUGE CENSUS NEWS — the Government just advised that the decision has been made to print the the census questionnair… https://t.co/NtZi26Q75H
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @rickhasen: #ELB: Breaking News: Government Caves, Will Print Census Form without the Citizenship Question https://t.co/SWxaLHa1ao Never… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If Harris can sustain her upward movement w/ African-American Dems over the next few months, it would def be the most important development in the race so far. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'll say it... At the moment, Harris is putting together an Obama/Clinton like coalition of white college grads + African-Americans...
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you believe your vote should count equally to everyone else's, you're better off in a system w/ proportional representation than single-member districts (just a plain observation; not trying to advance a case either way). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Sure, this is more about over-concentration of the Dem vote than gentrification per se, but migration of liberal white college grads to urban centers (been to Durham or Columbus lately?) has unquestionably exacerbated blue vote wasting. — PolitiTweet.org
