Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA41, Rep. Ken Calvert (R) and Will Rollins (D) advance to the general election. @CookPolitical November rating: Likely R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA13, Adam Gray (D) and John Duarte (R) advance to the general election. @CookPolitical November rating: Lean D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA03, Kermit Jones (D) and Kevin Kiley (R) advance to the general election. @CookPolitical November rating: Likely R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There are only 8,500 votes reported so far in #CA22, but pro-impeachment Rep. David Valadao (R) only leads Chris Mathys (R) 27%-20% for the second runoff slot. He's the CA Republican to watch right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA40, Rep. Young Kim (R) is on track to securing a runoff spot, as she leads pro-MAGA Greg Raths (R) 32%-20% in early returns. Asif Mahmood (D) currently at 48%. If it holds, @CookPolitical will move the race from Lean R back to Likely R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Rep. Mike Garcia (R) and Christy Smith (D) advance to the general election in #CA27. @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It appears a reporting error in Rankin Co. was just corrected, and it was a big error. As a result, Michael Cassidy (R) is back on top of Rep. Michael Guest (R) 48%-47%. Once again, runoff likely in #MS03. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

First results just dropped in #CA22 top-two primary, and Rudy Salas (D) leads pro-impeachment Rep. David Valadao (R) 40%-25%. But bigger news is that two other Rs are drawing 35% in Kings Co., Valadao's home base. Need to see more counties here... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's set: #MS04 Rep. Steven Palazzo (R) has been forced into a 6/28 runoff against Jackson Co. Sheriff Mike Ezell (R). Palazzo currently leads 32%-25%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow: with a monster vote haul in his Rankin Co. home base, #MS03 Rep. Michael Guest (R) surges into a 51%-44% lead over Michael Cassidy (R). But with a quarter of the expected vote still out, a runoff still not out of the question. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's early, but Trump-endorsed former Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke (R) only leading former state Sen. Al Olszewski (R) 44%-38% in #MT01 GOP primary. Zinke still favorite to win, but unimpressive showing. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With plenty of votes still outstanding in his Jackson Co. home base, Mike Ezell (R) looks well-positioned to make a runoff against Rep. Steven Palazzo (R), who's under a House ethics investigation. #MS04 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rating change alert: following Zach Nunn's decisive win in the GOP primary, @CookPolitical will be moving #IA03 Rep. Cindy Axne (D) from Toss Up to Lean R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: the largest suburban county, Rankin, just reported its first votes and Guest (R) wins them 60%-38%. If that pattern holds, a runoff would be very likely. #MS03 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A lifeline for incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R) in #MS03: he's winning Madison Co. in the Jackson suburbs 53%-43%. If that pattern holds, he'd have a better chance at forcing a runoff. But overall, looking good for pro-MAGA Michael Cassidy (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: there are 35 House Republicans who voted to establish the Jan. 6 commission. Of those, nine have resigned/are retiring. One (#WV01 McKinley) has already lost his primary. And, eight more are at serious risk of losing a GOP primary - including in #MS03 tonight. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Rep. Dusty Johnson (R) defeats Taffy Howard (R) in the #SDAL GOP primary. Notably, Johnson voted to certify the 2020 election and for the Jan. 6 commission. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: state Sen. Zach Nunn (R) wins the GOP primary to face #IA03 Rep. Cindy Axne (D). @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up, but that could change. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Not as big a surprise: #MS04 Rep. Steven Palazzo (R), facing an ethics investigation for misuse of campaign funds, looks headed to a runoff. He's at just 31% to Clay Wagner (R) at 25% and Mike Ezell (R) at 21%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Surprise: #MS03 Rep. Michael Guest (R), who voted for a Jan. 6 commission, trailing challenger Michael Cassidy (R) 48%-40% in early rural returns. Still nothing from Jackson suburbs, but a runoff here (or even a Guest loss) possible. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @davidaxelrod: As Californians meet to vote, and the congressional playing field clariifies, we called in the incomparable @Redistrict,… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In perhaps the least competitive open seat race in the country, Rob Menendez (D) wins the Dem primary in #NJ08, the seat once held by his father. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NJ04 Rep. Chris Smith (R) and #NJ07 Tom Kean, Jr. (R) are on track to comfortably prevail against Trumpier candidates. But, will be interesting to see if they end up below 50%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: New from @Redistrict : New CD lines in NH + grim political environment for D’s nationally + NH’s history of seat flipping i… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The merits of the case for two Black majority districts in Louisiana (example left, vs. struck GOP map, right) are nearly identical to those in Alabama. The difference: given LA's late calendar (Nov. jungle primary), "Purcell" would be a weaker excuse to block the new ruling. https://t.co/LB8Y8ZLI01 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Would be a huge win for Dems/voting rights advocates, but given the makeup of the courts hearing the certain appeal, I'm skeptical it will last. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New (since I returned from vacation): New Hampshire became the final state to adopt a new congressional map, w/ the state's top court approving a least-change plan keeping both #NH01 and #NH02 competitive. @CookPolitical rating for both: Toss Up. https://t.co/b0n8eW9dlm — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: California, Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota hold primaries tomorrow. Don't miss our… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CharlotteAlter: Dems like to focus on the NRA, but the NRA isn't even that powerful anymore. It's the hardcore base of gun rights voter… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Full special master's report (h/t @KlandriganUL). Plan moves just five towns between #NH01 and #NH02 and has a population deviation of one person. https://t.co/CNlJSe8BEB — PolitiTweet.org