Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The past year's results demonstrate Dems' dilemma in trying to crack code in Mississippi: Espy (D) revved up African-American voters and came within 8%. Hood (D) didn't, but won a larger share of rural whites & might finish within 7%. Either way, Republicans win. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Considering this was the first competitive #MSGOV race in years, this may be the biggest surprise of the night to me. Can't be encouraging to Gov. John Bel Edwards (D), who faces a #LAGOV runoff on 11/16. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Actually, there may be another R seat in doubt in the VA House of Delegates. @vpapupdates had a checkmark in #HD83 for Del. Chris Stolle (R), but the final precinct in VA Beach (Baker) put him down *18 votes* to Nancy Guy (D). 54D, 44R, 2 still too close to call. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's 54D-45R right now in the VA House of Delegates, with one race left: #HD27 in Chesterfield Co., where Del. Roxann Robinson (R) leads Larry Barnett (D) by 258 votes pending absentees. Trump carried this seat but these Richmond burbs are undergoing rapid demographic change. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Projection: Tate Reeves (R) has defeated Jim Hood (D) in #MSGOV. GOP hold. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No other way to say it: turnout in Mississippi looks really pathetic. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Part of it depends on the margin in both #VALEG chambers. Dems look likely to take a healthy majority in the House of Delegates, but right now it's looking like their lead in the Senate could be just 21-19. We'll see. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now that Dems have won unified control in VA, will they take advantage of opportunity to redraw districts themselves in 2021 or will they continue to favor an independent process? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Marshall Co. (majority African-American) is 100% in. Espy (D) carried it by 17% last year, Hood (D) wins it by only 7%. #MSGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is going to be closer than last year's #MSSEN race b/c of Hood (D)'s strong roots/performance in Northeast MS, but he's falling short in several other key parts of the state. #MSGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Jones Co. (Laurel) is 100% in. Bad news for Hood (D): Hyde-Smith (R) won it by 32% last fall, Reeves (R) won it by 33.5% tonight. #MSGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Reality check: a <1% Dem win against an unpopular GOP governor is *not* a sign KY is competitive at the federal level in 2020. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Chickasaw, Jim Hood (D)'s home county, is 100% in. Espy (D) won it by 2% last year while losing the state by 8%. Hood (D) carried it by 23% tonight, not a huge surprise. #MSGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

First full county in northeast MS: Union Co. Hyde-Smith (R) won it by 60% last year, Reeves (R) wins it by 41%. But this is an area we'd expect Hood (D) to overperform. #MSGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Projection: Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant (R) hangs on against Debra Rodman (D) in VA #SD12. An earlier reporting error had led many to believe Dunnavant would lose. GOP hold in the Richmond suburbs. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, Hood (D) is underperforming Espy (D) in several black majority counties in #MSGOV. I don't think Hood can afford that and win tonight. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Part of the problem for Dems in MS is that turnout looks quite a bit down from last year's #MSSEN runoff. Kind of opposite of the high turnout we saw in #KYGOV. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In 2020, there will not be a single Republican representing Fairfax County, VA at the state or congressional level. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Projection: Dan Helmer (D) defeats 16-year Del. Tim Hugo (R) in VA #HD40. Hugo was the last remaining GOP legislator representing any part of Fairfax County at the state or federal level. #VALEG — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: Democrats have secured total control in Richmond—the governorship and both chambers of the General Assembly—for the first… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

First full county in #MSGOV is in: Jasper. Espy (D) won it by 13.4% last year, Hood (D) wins it by 12.2%. That's a very good sign for Reeves (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Projection: Democrats have picked up control of the VA House of Delegates. They'll have a majority for the first time since 1999. #VALEG — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Projection: Joshua Cole (D) defeats Paul Milde (R) in VA #HD28 (Fredericksburg/Stafford area). Dem pickup. #VALEG — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #MSGOV, 85% of DeSoto Co. (Memphis burbs) is in: Reeves (R) is leading there by 20%. Hood (D) probably needs to be doing a few points better there to win. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This will be Andy Beshear (D)'s second win by less than 1% in four years. Kentucky's Rick Scott? #KYGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Again, if you're looking for an eagle eye on VA races tonight, be sure to follow @ChazNuttycombe. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Just deleted a call that was in error in VA #SD12. There's a typo at the VA SBE that's giving Debra Rodman (D) an extra 4k votes in Henrico's Lakewood precinct. Still too close to call in that race. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Projection: Debra Rodman (D) defeats Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant (R) in VA #SD12. Another Dem pickup in the Richmond suburbs. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Moving on to #MSGOV now that #KYGOV is done... If Jim Hood (D) is to have any chance vs. Tate Reeves (R), I believe he needs to combine his appeal to ancestral Dems in the northeast w/ overperformance in two key suburban counties: Madison and DeSoto. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Virginia is such a blue state right now it's tough to comprehend George W. Bush (R) carried Fairfax and Henrico counties in 2000. #VALEG — PolitiTweet.org