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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @daveweigel: 1. People outside Iowa, you would not believe how widespread the "this woman's nice, can she settle for VP?" sentiment is… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@TheDrewStarr Neither the member of Congress nor I personally benefited from this interaction. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @JHagner: In a super unpredictable year, the forecast I'm most comfortable making is that Trump will not debate the Democratic nominee a… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Can confirm it was *not* Sen. Cruz. — PolitiTweet.org
Simon Dunn @SimonDunn321
@Redistrict Everybody knows it's @tedcruz Dave.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
You’ve been upgraded on your 16 hour flight back from New Zealand by a friendly member of Congress who shall remain anonymous. Please enjoy your first vacation in decades and best wishes in your retirement from teaching. — PolitiTweet.org
rebfalk @fallrey
@Redistrict @AmericanAir @Twitter Auckland to LAX
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New: a benevolent member of Congress (yes they exist!) just emailed me to donate another @AmericanAir upgrade to a deserving traveler. If you’re flying a long distance on @AmericanAir in 2020, you have until midnight ET to reply to me w/ your route...your chances just doubled. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Update: if you're flying a long distance on @AmericanAir during *any month* of 2020, reply below with only your ori… https://t.co/FMwfNvV8kC — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Anyone out there flying a long distance on @AmericanAir before the end of January? Reply below with your origin/des… https://t.co/8sqb1YgEU3
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Thx, @AmericanAir. Any followers interested in the upgrade: reply w/ your route only before midnight ET and I’ll co… https://t.co/DFZKFiIYRV — PolitiTweet.org
American Airlines @AmericanAir
@Redistrict That's super nice! Although, we'd recommend not putting flight info in public view, for privacy reasons… https://t.co/ptVfHyC0xV
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Anyone out there flying a long distance on @AmericanAir before the end of January? Reply below with your origin/destination and I’ll randomly pick a follower for an upgrade as a thank you for putting up with me on @Twitter. Paid tickets only (no award tickets). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@stevesingiser @mlow29 Not really...there just aren’t very many of them (happy to share data on those) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FWIW, I arrived at these estimates based on an amalgamation of the Census's various 2016 CPS data. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
While we're at it... IA: 90 / 612 ME: 34 / 207 NV: 325 / 387 NH: 25 / 220 OH: 580 / 2,051 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
My estimates of eligible citizens who *didn't* vote in 2016, non-whites vs. whites w/o college degrees (in thousands): AZ: 904 / 684 GA: 1,303 / 1,172 TX: 4,274 / 2,665 ------- FL: 2,565 / 2,566 MI: 643 / 1,564 MN: 259 / 786 NC: 834 / 1,105 PA: 695 / 2,290 WI: 306 / 819 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Holding my breath for that seismic polling shift after Steyer pointed out he has 30 years of int'l business experience vs. Buttigieg's 3 years as a management consultant. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Confession: when I became a @cspan nerd at ~11 in '96, I was perplexed why there was a ranting, white-haired lone Independent from VT. A short time after, I checked out Bernie's "Outsider in the House" from the library. Turned out to be a pretty useful read. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Fair to say these debates have hit the point of diminishing returns? Straining to identify much new here. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
1990 #VTAL results: Bernard Sanders (I) 117,522 Peter Smith (R)* 82,938 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The smaller the debate stage, the more Steyer seems out of his league on substance. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
So, Booker/Harris never really gained traction w/ African-American Dems and have exited the race. Sanders/Warren are publicly fighting and bunched closely in polls. So much for the “Biden will fade/implode by January” narrative...he couldn’t have dreamed of a better scenario. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Unfortunately for Warren/Buttigieg/Klobuchar, race varies more by geography - and there are a ton of places where white people aren’t a big segment of the Dem primary electorate. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If the age of the electorate varied more by geography, that would be a big problem for Biden. Fortunately for him, old people are a pretty big segment of primary electorates everywhere. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
No matter who’s ahead, Klobuchar probably isn’t where she needs to be in these last two IA polls. — PolitiTweet.org
Zach Montellaro @ZachMontellaro
New @MonmouthPoll in IOWA Biden 24% Sanders 18% Buttigieg 17% Warren 15% Klobuchar 8% Everyone else at or below 4… https://t.co/OMTqvxKwmc
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It’s easy to overthink fields this big, but here’s the simple truth: Dem presidential primary rules reward candidates with demographically + geographically broad bases of support. Advantage: Biden, and to some extent Bernie. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @iamcardib: I do feel like if I go back to school and focus up I can be part of Congress.I deadass have sooo much ideas that make sense… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Note: I'm using "lean" for the first group and "consistently" for the second group b/c those are about the same distance away from where things stand in those groups now. And these are post-reapportionment EV estimates. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's going to be so crazy in 2028 when TX, GA, NC, AZ (85 Electoral votes) lean blue but IA, ME, MN, NH, MI, OH, PA, WI (84 votes) are consistently red. — PolitiTweet.org
Derek Thompson @DKThomp
The Democrats’ Rust Belt-Sun Belt swap is going to be the most important reshuffling of the American electoral map… https://t.co/wsjOa0GDQG
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
8+ months later, I still stand by this thread. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Beginning to think the CW that "Joe Biden would be such a great general election candidate for Dems if only he coul… https://t.co/ddrCiRxxjV
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @PeterHamby: My usual rant: Newspaper ed boards should stop endorsing candidates, and considering abandoning editorials altogether. Too… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@CookPolitical @JessicaTaylor @jennifereduffy @CharlieCookDC @amyewalter Over the past year, @JessicaTaylor has bee… https://t.co/aEY9zeqVhx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@CookPolitical @JessicaTaylor @jennifereduffy I’ll forever be grateful for the hard work @JenniferEDuffy has put in over the last 31+ years to make @CookPolitical the trusted brand it is today...and I've been really fortunate to count her, @CharlieCookDC & @AmyEWalter as mentors & colleagues the last 12+ years. — PolitiTweet.org