Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Rep. Nancy Mace (R) defeats Trump-endorsed Katie Arrington (R) in the #SC01 GOP primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Beaufort Co. has finally started to report, and Rep. Nancy Mace (R) is holding her own there, up 52%-46% so far vs. Katie Arrington (R). #SC01 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: pro-impeachment Rep. Tom Rice (R) has lost the #SC07 GOP primary to Trump-endorsed Russell Fry (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@nathanlgonzales @ryanmatsumoto1 @ercovey @stephanieakin @JacobRubashkin Tfw you're not invited to the cool kids party... 🤷‍♂️ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This special election was held under the old #TX34 lines, which are Biden +4. In November, she'll face Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D) in the redrawn #TX34, which is Biden +15. @CookPolitical November rating: Lean D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Mayra Flores (R) defeats Dan Sanchez (D) in the #TX34 special election, flipping an 84% Hispanic Rio Grande Valley seat red. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Mayra Flores (R) has crossed the all-important 50% threshold vs. Dan Sanchez (D) w/ more of deep-red DeWitt Co. reporting. She's at 50.7% now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #SC07, Russell Fry (R) just crossed the 50% threshold vs. Rep. Tom Rice (R) and isn't likely to relinquish it now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow, Mayra Flores (R) just took the lead vs. Dan Sanchez (D) in Cameron Co., an almost entirely Hispanic county that voted Biden +13 in 2020. Would be an exclamation point on flipping the seat red. #TX34 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #SC01, Rep. Nancy Mace's (R) lead over Katie Arrington (R) down to 52%-46% w/ more EDay votes reporting. Beaufort Co., which still hasn't reported any votes, holds the key to this one. 6/28 runoff still possible. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #TX34, Mayra Flores (R) is at 49.5% (half a point shy of an outright win), and DeWitt & Gonzales counties should be enough to put her over the top. Dan Sanchez's (D) only hope is that the last few Cameron Co. precincts are uniquely strong for him, but unlikely. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Interesting that Arrington (R) won the tiny corner of Jasper Co. in #SC01 by 61%-37% - perhaps an omen that Beaufort Co. might not come in as strong for Rep. Nancy Mace (R) as its moderate GOP reputation. It's going to be close. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #SC07, Trump-endorsed Russell Fry (R) now up to a 49%-25% lead vs. pro-impeachment Rep. Tom Rice (R), within a point of avoiding a runoff. It could all be over tonight... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In addition, #TX34 is a *really* low-turnout race as competitive special elections go. So even though a GOP flip of a Biden-won Rio Grande Valley seat would be a huge "statement" win, I'm not sure how much we can extrapolate it for the fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #TX34, Mayra Flores (R) is likely on track to hit 50% once more votes are reported from deep-red DeWitt & Gonzales counties in the north. But it's not such a dominant lead that we'd revisit our assessment Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D) is the fall favorite under the new lines. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #ME02, despite a few towns voting for far-right Liz Caruso (R), former Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R) is now firmly in control w/ a 59%-41% lead. He's poised for a rematch vs. Rep. Jared Golden (D) in the fall. @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #SC01, Rep. Nancy Mace (R) holding a 55%-43% lead in early going vs. Trump-endorsed Katie Arrington (R). Mace's lead has been tightening w/ more EDay reporting, but still nothing from Beaufort Co., which could be Mace's best turf. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No surprise in #SC07, as Trump-endorsed Russell Fry (R) leads pro-impeachment Rep. Tom Rice (R) 46%-25% in early going. A 6/28 runoff looks likely, and Rice has already campaigned in runoff mode vs. Fry for weeks - though Fry would be the clear favorite. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far in the #TX34 special, Mayra Flores (R) leads Dan Sanchez (D) 48%-45% (50% needed to avoid a runoff). But given that Sanchez only leads by 2 pts in Cameron Co., Flores has a great path to get past 50% tonight. Would be watershed flip for GOP. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: It's primary day in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota and South Carolina. Don't miss our latest previews: @Redistrict on the… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @grace_panetta: Reminder that a big driver of the "red mirage"/"blue shift" being discussed in the Jan 6. hearing rn is a few key swing… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It looks as if Sarah Palin (R) 33%, Nick Begich (R) 17% and Al Gross (I) 15% are definitely advancing to the top four general election in #AKAL, with Mary Peltola (D) 8% currently edging out Santa Claus (I) 5% for the fourth slot. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @MattGrossmann: So far, participation in Democratic primaries is down 3% from 2018, while participation in Republican primaries is up 36… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Elaijuh: PA just announced the final recount results: Oz 419,999 votes McCormick 419,048 votes Difference: 951 votes — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With what's left out, it looks like Ryan Zinke (R) will eventually prevail over Al Olszewski (R) in the #MT01 GOP primary. But it's an unimpressive showing for the former Interior Secretary/congressman. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #CA42, Long Beach Mayor Robert Garcia (D) and John Briscoe (R) advance to the general election, assuring Garcia a ticket to Congress. @CookPolitical November rating: Solid D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the "old" #CA22, former Assemblywoman Connie Conway (R) wins the special election to fill the unexpired term of Rep. Devin Nunes (R). This district has been eliminated by redistricting. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A quick note that the early returns we're seeing in CA are way skewed towards Dems. We'll see their vote shares come back down to earth when more EDay and other votes are counted. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow: former state Sen. Al Olszewski (R) just took the lead over Trump-endorsed Ryan Zinke (R), 40.5%-40.2% in the #MT01 GOP primary. Olszewski has a big lead in his base of Flathead Co., which Zinke also claims as his residence. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In Kern Co., Rep. David Valadao (R) leads Chris Mathys (R) 23%-13%. That's a good sign for his prospects of winning the second runoff slot to face Rudy Salas (D). @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org