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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Family member who caucused, realizing that the loser was Iowa: "Only upshot is in four years I don’t have to get 8,… https://t.co/2zSM67e8TO — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The assumption that "Biden's more moderate voters defect to Bloomberg when he face-plants" isn't supported by much evidence. Who are Biden's supporters? 1) African-Americans 2) working-class whites 3) moderate affluent whites. Only the third group is a natural Bloomberg fit. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
For everyone on TV hawking the "Bloomberg on verge of supplanting Biden as the anti-Bernie" narrative, a gentle reminder that Biden is still first at 26.7% in national polls and Bloomberg is still fourth at...8.6%. https://t.co/vHhKNhKYD8 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The most likely scenario between now and Milwaukee: — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Ask yourself which is most likely: 1) Sanders wins IA/NH & comes out ahead on 3/3, less left-leaning voters "fall in line" 2) Biden rebounds strongly in SC & 3/3, more left-leaning voters "fall in line" 3) Neither wing caves, multi-way protracted fight all the way to Milwaukee — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Standing by this this AM. There were a lot of reasons to believe a caucus format would play to her strengths, but most results I’ve seen suggest she lacked strength outside DSM/Iowa City. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Still early, but so far not a spectacular night for Elizabeth Warren.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Based on Sanders/Buttigieg memos, there’s virtually no question Sanders won the most caucus support in terms of *in… https://t.co/Bx927xosCH — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: A lot of the changes since '16 in Iowa probably contributed to the mess last night. But one had the potential to bail them o… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Just wait until the contested convention. — PolitiTweet.org
Galen Druke @galendruke
The goal of the Democratic Party in all of this is to convince the American public that it should administer the federal government.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@ThePlumLineGS not denying at all — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Party establishment haters: “DNC conspiracy!” 2016 never forgetters: “Russian hacking/interference!” Doomsayers: “T… https://t.co/XWmX1wx4II — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @CharlieCookDC: Take a look at this in The Atlantic, written Monday, BEFORE the Caucus started. https://t.co/47A7eZfZPx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It would have been much better for Iowa Dems to release partial results so that the media had something (really anything) to say besides calling this the 2020 #fyrefestival — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Why is there such a wide range of outcomes for Buttigieg? Indications he picked up a lot of second choice votes from Biden/Klobuchar groups that weren’t viable. Still some potential for split verdict between first/second alignments and SDEs, further clouding things. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Sorcerer-level https://t.co/8RRtwk1pea — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
We’ve known for ages @jaselzer’s IA poll is scary accurate but this year she’s taken it to a whole new level.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
To my eye, the likeliest (and second likeliest) IA finishers in each spot based on what we know: 1) Sanders (Buttigieg) 2) Buttigieg (Warren) 3) Warren (Buttigieg) 4) Biden (Klobuchar) 5) Klobuchar (Biden) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dems...actually in some #disarray. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
These numbers (from a non-neutral source, of course) suggest Buttigieg got a healthy second choice bounce from Klobuchar/Biden supporters whose groups weren’t viable. — PolitiTweet.org
Hanna Trudo @HCTrudo
New: @BernieSanders campaign has now released their internal caucus numbers https://t.co/pPCFGBHV4b
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @DavidYepsen: Sorry I was right. RIP caucuses. And after the GOP fiasco of 2012, Iowa probably shouldn’t even try. #iacaucus — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Ok time for bed. @JoeNBC see you at 6am for final Iowa predictions — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It was the journey to IA that counted — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
We’ve known for ages @jaselzer’s IA poll is scary accurate but this year she’s taken it to a whole new level. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @jmartNYT: One of the most perplexing developments of last few days: nearly all of the major candidates ceding TV to @PeteButtigieg, who… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Taniel: @matthewferner RESULTS OF IOWA, a crowdsourced spreadsheet that I've just started with @matthewferner & @yfreemark https://t.… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Endorse — PolitiTweet.org
Nathan Gonzales @nathanlgonzales
Can we just start a GoogleSheet and have all the campaigns plug in the numbers from their precinct captains?
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Tom Vilsack explanation for low turnout that has stuck w/ me: sometimes when people have a ton of choices, they have a harder time making a choice. As a Trader Joe’s/Costco shopper this makes some sense to me. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
True story: this was the one election night I forgot to bring my laptop to the @NBCNews studio...and totally relieved it turned out not to matter. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This caucus night is begging for a Dean scream — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Irony: Klobuchar and Biden aren’t going to win IA...but that’s freed them to give some of the sharpest speeches I’ve seen from them...while a few viewers are still awake. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Shorter Biden speech: please wait to release IA and NH results until after the SC primary on Feb. 29th — PolitiTweet.org
