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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
And it shows in the results so far. https://t.co/cS04dAgcwm — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I don’t think I’ve ever seen as much occupation-specific clustering around a particular politician as academics’ love of Elizabeth Warren.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
ICYMI https://t.co/RQufiuoVEc — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This. Biden wins SC big, and suddenly he might be viable again in the eyes of a lot more voters. https://t.co/1kOCaMUhdr — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
People may be underestimating the degree of tactical voting in this primary. In NH, where Buttigieg and Klobuchar l… https://t.co/osKLvvFcX2
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Petition to ban Twitter mentions in election outcome modeling. https://t.co/zb6QKn1foI — PolitiTweet.org
Kirk Brown @KirkBrown_AIM
Contrary to pollsters, George Washington University Graduate School of Political Management says @BernieSanders wil… https://t.co/a3sT2WRD1X
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Yes, exactly. And the WJC-DJT voters I’m describing have more cultural commonalities & respect for buyers of $600 Y… https://t.co/NbJrl05t76 — PolitiTweet.org
Christopher Ingraham @_cingraham
@jbouie @Redistrict You should see how many people in northwest MN spend hundreds of dollars on Yeti coolers. Or th… https://t.co/zYOIgU8Wwx
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Another fact: in 2007, Democrats represented 70 of the 100 lowest-income districts in the country. Today, Republica… https://t.co/3vRw1v1niw — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Here's one that might be of interest: in 2007, Democrats represented 54% of all House seats and exactly 50 of the n… https://t.co/YbsW85s1yw
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
There's a non-zero chance Bloomberg fails to win a single Super Tuesday state. Even if he only wins 1-2, it'd be pr… https://t.co/1D7agydpSc — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The keys for Biden to have any chance of catching Sanders on the overall map would be: 1) Biden needs delegate "sh… https://t.co/jDJkehISoy — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
OTOH, these are...really good numbers for Sanders. https://t.co/UQQNd6oBBK — PolitiTweet.org
Steve Kornacki @SteveKornacki
New CNN/SSRS poll CA Sanders 35% Warren 14% Biden 13% Bloomberg 12% Buttigieg 7% Klobuchar 6% TX Sanders 29% Bide… https://t.co/iQC1LhkuI7
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Another factor: even without unlimited $$, Biden likely much better-positioned than Bloomberg to go one-on-one vs.… https://t.co/KgDBc7yQGf — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Yes, early vote mute this somewhat in CA/TX/CO etc., but plenty of other potentially good states for Biden on the… https://t.co/VJFkv9cnQl — PolitiTweet.org
Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11
@Redistrict Discount any CA bump by the 40% who will have voted by Saturday. His win will only resonate with voter… https://t.co/7gxB97KHYT
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If people underestimated how damaging a poor showing in IA could be for Joe Biden’s prospects in NH (33 delegates),… https://t.co/kllUwHSCna — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Here's one that might be of interest: in 2007, Democrats represented 54% of all House seats and exactly 50 of the n… https://t.co/YbsW85s1yw — PolitiTweet.org
Brendel @Brendelbored
@Redistrict Remember when you used to discuss actual evidence and statistics?
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@_cingraham @jbouie I visit Brainerd pretty much every summer and see that firsthand. But I’d argue a much smaller… https://t.co/uSyaYZAVMb — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
(Not that I’m even voting on Tuesday but) help, I don’t think they’re catching my drift... https://t.co/npcARz6X9O — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Bottom line: the story is the same in most of the country. Dems' trajectory continues to be positive in upscale sub… https://t.co/hSlaebQ2az — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FLORIDA Dem presidential raw vote margin among... Voters living within 5 miles of a Whole Foods, Lululemon, Urban… https://t.co/xgkn5XNasK — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
NORTH CAROLINA Dem presidential raw vote margin among... Voters living within 5 miles of a Whole Foods, Lululemon,… https://t.co/5v2nMLY1UE — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
WISCONSIN Dem presidential raw vote margin among... Voters living within 5 miles of a Whole Foods, Lululemon, Urba… https://t.co/OciVSt7ClT — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Fact: in 2016, only 31% of U.S. voters lived closer to a Whole Foods, Lululemon, Urban Outfitters or Apple Store than to a Cracker Barrel, Tractor Supply Co., Bass Pro Shop/Cabela's or Hobby Lobby. Why Dems need to break out of the bubble to beat Trump: https://t.co/3iLXndJwgu https://t.co/mm8t9bm8G7 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@UpshotNYT Fact: Dems continue to gain ground w/ voters who live within 5 miles of a Whole Foods, Lululemon, Urban Outfitters or Apple Store. But those places make up just 34% of the nation's vote (and just 29% in battleground states!) and Dems are losing ground everywhere else. https://t.co/3kiXU54rC6 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
An excellent rundown of post-SC Super Tuesday possibilities. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
WHAT WOULD THE RACE LOOK LIKE AFTER A BIDEN WIN IN SOUTH CAROLINA? I've got a fairly detailed analysis here: https://t.co/uj0vc9X8A7
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Some news: my first-ever, top-secret, months-long, precinct-data collaboration w/ @UpshotNYT is set to drop later this week. And yes...it might involve Whole Foods & Cracker Barrel. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Some news: my first-ever, top-secret, months-long, precinct-data collaboration w/ @NYTupshot is set to drop later this week. And yes...it might involve Whole Foods & Cracker Barrel. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: If you had two self-funding billionaires helping to get Sanders to the nomination, you might get to collect some big winning… — PolitiTweet.org
CBS News Poll @CBSNewsPoll
South Carolina: Biden continues to lead among African-Americans — who make up a majority of the state's Democratic… https://t.co/Fk7HSNde32
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Also: delegate-wise, the Buttichar/Klobugieg brawl increasingly looks like a Super Tuesday mutual destruction pact. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@RyanDeto We (@CookPolitical) actually did poll PA on a fracking ban a few months ago in conjunction with Kaiser. We found 39% favored, 57% opposed. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Fact that might surprise some Dems: Trump lost South Bend, IN, by more than he lost Massachusetts and Vermont. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
2016 Clinton margin over Trump in states/cities most recently represented by... Bloomberg: 59.3% Buttigieg: 31.6%… https://t.co/lKyqJZgmrV
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
2016 Clinton margin over Trump in states/cities most recently represented by... Bloomberg: 59.3% Buttigieg: 31.6% Warren: 27.2% Sanders: 26.4% Biden: 11.4% Klobuchar: 1.5% National margin: 2.1% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Relevant when Buttigieg repeats a version of "it wasn't always easy advocating x/y/z in Mike Pence's Indiana:" Hillary Clinton won South Bend, IN by more than 30%. — PolitiTweet.org