Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For Biden, winning MI & PA are virtual prerequisites for getting to 270 EVs. From there, AZ & WI remain most likely states to put him over the top (AZ may even > WI). He'll also obviously compete in FL & NC, Trump's two must-win "core battleground" states... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

P.S. If your defense of the strategy/message the Clinton campaign employed in '16 is "But she won 3 million more votes!"...you might want to think of a new argument. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@eamonnbrennan Was skeptical at first glance but starting to think I can get behind it — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

These two things can simultaneously be true: 1) Biden is well ahead and would beat Trump if the election were held today. 2) Clinton was farther ahead of Trump at this point in 2016. It won't be as easy for Biden to hold onto a lead vs. Trump as it looks today. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At some point, Biden is going to need a sharper, more coherent November message for persuadable voters. One Dem strategist's not-so-complicated advice: “'Joe Biden. Because it’s time for change.' Change is the best word in the English language in a wrong track election." — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A lot of Dems bemoan that Biden is at a messaging disadvantage b/c he's trapped in a basement while Trump holds two hour White House briefings. Biden's real problem: if you asked voters what his campaign message is in ten words or less, many would struggle. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For now, all Biden needs to do to maintain his lead - both nationally and in the EC battleground - is stay out of his own way & let the president be his own worst enemy. But there's no guarantee that will be true all of the next six months. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Thread: Biden still seems fixated on his "Battle for the Soul of the Nation" primary message. Tbh it's pretty reminiscent of Clinton's "What kind of nation do we want to be?" moral argument vs. Trump that...didn't work so well in '16. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One key aspect of Biden's nomination: his (surprising?) strength w/ 65+ voters keeps FL firmly in the core battleground. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

To put this in perspective, in April 2018, @CookPolitical rated 56 GOP House seats as vulnerable. The median R in these seats had $956k cash on hand, vs. $705k for the median D challenger. Not only are '20 Rs at a much more severe deficit, they now must catch up in a pandemic. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In Feb. 2019, House Rs announced a target list of 55 Dem seats (they need 20+ to win the majority). Today, the median Dem in these 55 seats has $2.2 million cash on hand, vs. just $366k for the median leading R challenger. That's a 6-to-1 advantage. Pretty devastating for Rs. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JoshNBCNews: Coronavirus Hotspot Hospitals On Verge Of Financial Collapse -- why hardest-hit areas got less money in the first batch of… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pretty clear on the central/west map: meatpacking hubs rapidly overtaking new ski towns as hotspots. Not just Sioux Falls, SD (Smithfield) but Dodge City, KS, Fort Morgan, CO (Cargill), Tama, IA (National Beef), Lexington, NE (Tyson), etc. as more workers tested. https://t.co/xlR9NjeR0V — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@jimpiasecki93 Ok then, good luck finding a time I ever “wrote his obituary.” — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@jimpiasecki93 Actually, I felt like the only guy *not* writing Biden’s obit after IA. https://t.co/BWfVMzROYp — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Kinda skeptical of arguments that certain former D primary contenders would add a "much-needed jolt of energy/enthusiasm/turnout" to Biden's ticket when...those same people failed to generate enthusiasm/expand the electorate when they were in the race. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There is a lot going on in this Dem ad. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

From someone close to me who's a kidney doctor at a NYC hospital & has been sounding alarm on rationing dialysis for weeks: "About 20-30% of severe COVID have acute kidney injury requiring dialysis...survival is abysmal." https://t.co/75og4mWOhK — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @TimAlberta: MICHIGAN -- approve of #COVIDー19 handling: Whitmer 57/37 Trump 44/50 https://t.co/MGlM78aRTA — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@jeffharris13 @MSNBC haha...what's up jeff?? been too long. hope you're staying safe in NJ. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

p.s. Thx to amazing (and sidelined) actual musicians who have given me top notch lessons the last few weeks, esp. @MariBlackMusic, @SeanHeely, @aprilverch, @hannekecassel, @troymacg, @CaitlinW_Violin, Liz Faiella, Sarah Collins, Mike Winch. Worth checking out & supporting. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@sverett @MSNBC next time we'll try some west TX swing!! Thanks dr. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @kasie: @Redistrict @MSNBC Thanks for waiting for us and sorry to miss you, but this is fun! — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's part two of the set: Snowflake Breakdown & White Fish in the Rapids (first two above are Sir Wilfrid Laurier's Reel & the Timbertown Reel), as arranged by Shane Cook & Jake Charron. #weirdhobbies #Quarantunes https://t.co/PMd3G1V4Gm — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump's two hour briefing canceled my @MSNBC hit...so instead, here are a few fiddle tunes. Thx to my amazing friend Heather on keys (all the way from Brighton, UK!) for the transatlantic jam session. #Quarantunes https://t.co/9gAShtgUY3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ofsevit Was also replying to your “extra credit” — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ofsevit Dukes, Nantucket and Chittenden? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My latest for @NBCNews: https://t.co/i13VWx7aWB — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For example, statewide, Karofsky '20 ran 4.5% ahead of Evers (D) '18, but she ran 10.2% ahead of him in La Crosse, 8.2% ahead in Eau Claire, 7.9% ahead in Wausau (and just 0.9% ahead of Evers in Milwaukee). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Is it just me or do WI's technically "nonpartisan" judicial races tend to bring out ancestral liberal strength in northern/western WI not typically seen in WI's recent highly competitive partisan races? — PolitiTweet.org