Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

These two things are simultaneously true: 1) pretty much everything, including swing state polls, looks great for Biden right now 2) the likeliest Electoral College "tipping point" states are still behaving a few points to the right of the nation The end. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Taniel Could just as easily make the case MI/PA are bluer than AZ/WI (which they arguably are), so works both ways. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@neeratanden Neither does Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, this NBC/WSJ poll included five Clinton states (CO, ME, MN, NV, NH) in its "battleground" subset. I asked what the result was just in the "core battleground:" AZ, FL, MI, NC, PA, WI. Biden led 48%-44%, three points *narrower* than national result. https://t.co/QcuZTyp9uX — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One thing that likely *hasn't* changed as Biden's lead has grown: the pro-Trump gap between the Electoral College *tipping point* states & the national vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Little doubt an election held today would be a Biden landslide/GOP wipeout. But the amount the world has changed in the past five months should caution us how much could look different five months from now. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A few things Trump campaign would like the 2020 election to be a referendum about: 1) defunding the police 2) looting/arson 3) “I want to reopen” vs. “Dems rooting for schools/businesses to stay closed” If it remains a referendum on him, he loses decisively. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: One thing I'm unapologetically "both sides" about is that both sides engage in massive amounts of motivated reasoning an… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

How much trouble is Engel in? Bronx/Westchester state Sen. Alessandra Biaggi (D), whose grandfather preceded Engel in the seat, just retracted her support for Engel & endorsed Bowman. But as of today, Engel still had Biaggi's endorsement listed on his website. #NY16 https://t.co/dl5lvU20Ro — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CookPolitical: House Foreign Affairs Chair & #NY16 Rep. Eliot Engel (D) is in serious danger of losing his 6/23 primary to progressive challenger Jamaal Bowman (D). https://t.co/DaDJQ37RD3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

p.s. In case it wasn't clear, this tweet was a sarcastic reference to why 100k+ people hit "like" on this #IA04 call. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The next House incumbent in serious danger of losing a primary might be Rep. Eliot Engel (D) in #NY16 on 6/23. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Biden+11 in Monmouth adds to a growing body of high-quality national polling showing that Biden's lead has grown quite a but… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@ChrisPack716 Not bad! — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow...just overwhelmed by the enthusiasm for the accuracy of my election night calls. Thank you. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: Ratings Change: #IA04 moves from Likely to Solid R following King's defeat. https://t.co/EkhlEqey9D — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Just think about it: now that he’s free from the shackles of needing to win re-election, Steve King can finally say what he really thinks. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Didn't know @Alyssa_Milano was an Iowa Republican. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough. Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) wins the #NM03 primary to succeed Rep. Ben Ray Lujan (D), defeating former CIA agent Valerie Plame. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In 2018, 37k voters cast ballots in the #IA04 GOP primary and Rep. Steve King (R) won with 75%. So far tonight, over 76k ballots have been counted in the #IA04 GOP primary and King has lost, taking just 36%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The AP count is missing Sioux & O'Brien counties, which are landslides for Feenstra. It's over, King is out. #IA04 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rating change: #IA04 OPEN (King) moves from Likely R to Solid R at @CookPolitical. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Of all weeks for this to happen...it did. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In other news, Yvette Herrell (R) wins the primary to earn a rematch against #NM02 Rep. Xochitl Torres Small (D). This is a setback for Republicans, who privately plotted to stop Herrell after she blew the 2018 race in a district Trump won by 10%. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is a rare election result that delights both parties' House leadership. Dems will view it as a rejection of white nationalism. But state Sen. Randy Feenstra (R) defeated King by calling him an ineffective ally to Trump after he was stripped of his committee assignments. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough. Rep. Steve King (R) has been defeated in #IA04. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Sioux Co. reports all 5k of its votes. Randy Feenstra (R) beats Rep. Steve King (R) there 83%-14% (!). Wow. King in absolutely dire shape now. #IA04 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ElectProject: A lot of chatter about Steve King. Don't forget Iowa is a state that by law continues to accept mail ballots postmarked b… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's some modest evidence King is doing better w/ election day votes than absentees, but it may not be enough. #IA04 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems: what would you prefer? 1. King wins the primary, preserving a slight chance for the Democrat, J.D. Scholten, to win #IA04 in the fall. 2. King loses the primary, ensuring the seat remains in GOP hands but King is gone from Congress. — PolitiTweet.org