Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Tudor Dixon (R) wins the #MIGOV GOP primary and will face Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) in the fall. @CookPolitical November rating: Lean D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: I hear a lot of folks talking about a “wave” election helping to put super long-shot races (think WA or VT) over the top, e… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: Four incumbents are at risk of losing their primaries tomorrow night. Don't miss @Redistrict's preview of the House race… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you’re wondering why there aren’t more Republicans in Congress willing to take a stand against Trump/Trumpism, a big reason is: Democrats have beaten them. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@rgvliberty Solid R. For more, check out our #TN05 primary preview: https://t.co/MbwMfonrEl — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It’s now a Biden +9 seat after redistricting (and Grand Rapids is trending Dem), so Hillary Scholten (D) would be the slight favorite over Gibbs (R) in my view. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As many as six House incumbents are at genuine risk of losing primaries next week. And FWIW, #MI03 Rep. Peter Meijer (R) would be the underdog in his primary with or without DCCC meddling. Full analysis: https://t.co/MbwMfonrEl — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: The August 2nd primaries are just around the corner. Four incumbents are at risk of losing their primaries. Read @Redist… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@KeystoneObsrvr @CookPolitical They swept them all - which is still possible — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Parlonmad @CookPolitical It's in Solid D. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Peak DC is believing the #WYAL GOP primary is still competitive or that the current incumbent is a plausible presidential contender in 2024. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We haven't hesitated to move vulnerable House Dems into @CookPolitical's Toss Up column. Still, if the 34 seats in Toss Up were to split evenly between the parties, Republicans would net just 18 seats - at the lower end of our 15-30 seat range. https://t.co/mAdCOtLpRZ https://t.co/lcjGDX8lj6 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Exhibit A: in #MI03, Trump-endorsed former HUD official John Gibbs (R) is the favorite to defeat pro-impeachment Rep. Peter Meijer (R) on 8/2. Gibbs recently told the Detroit News, "There are many great Americans all around the country who were actually conceived from rape." — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Is the "red wave" ebbing? Probably not much. But as Dems show more signs of life and Rs nominate several problematic candidates, we're downgrading our @CookPolitical House outlook from a GOP gain of 20-35 seats to 15-30 seats. Full analysis: https://t.co/LozihjYbQz — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Republicans are enjoying a stronger Electoral College advantage than at any point in the 25-year history of the Cook PVI. I… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JessicaTaylor: NEW ratings change at @CookPolitical this morning: #GAGov moves from Toss Up to Lean Republican https://t.co/Nb1qj0smxB… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Notable Rs in competitive races who voted against codifying same-sex marriage: #AZ01 David Schweikert (R) - Lean R #CA45 Michelle Steel (R) - Lean R #NM02 Yvette Herrell (R) - Toss Up #OH01 Steve Chabot (R) - Toss Up #TX34 Mayra Flores (R) - Lean D — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Two @CookPolitical House rating changes today: #IN01 Frank Mrvan (D) - Lean D to Toss Up #MN01 VACANT (Hagedorn) (R) - Solid R to Likely R https://t.co/pGssRoJtLq — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

By a combination of running out the clock on lawsuits and diluting reform initiatives passed by voters, Republicans have now successfully thwarted redistricting reform measures in FL, OH and UT - accounting for their entire national gain from new maps. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As expected, OH Supreme Court throws out GOP map as an illegal gerrymander - but it’s too late to redraw in time for 2022. Expect Republicans to draw a slightly different gerrymander in time for 2024, when the court’s balance of power could shift right. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: The 2022 Cook PVI is out. Under the new post-redistricting boundaries: #AL04 is the most Republican district (R+33) #C… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW: the entire decline in competitive House seats from redistricting is attributable to GOP gerrymanders (esp. TX and GA), whereas swing seats *increased* in Dem-controlled states and held steady in court/commission-drawn states. Full report: https://t.co/AffIOzAvbV https://t.co/TnherK4HS2 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW: by Cook PVI℠, four more districts shifted from R-leaning to D-leaning in redistricting than vice versa (17 to 13). But because Ds hold most seats in both categories, Rs have more pickup opportunities from revamped lines. https://t.co/AffIOzAvbV https://t.co/eo8W90Y0OJ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Left: the original, hard-copy Cook PVI devised by @CharlieCookDC, published in 1997. Right: our interactive 2022 Cook PVI℠ map (median district: Rep. Dan Kildee's (D) #MI08). Full report: https://t.co/AffIOzAvbV https://t.co/yxuDkcK5Qp — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW: after redistricting, the number of hyper-competitive House seats (Cook PVI℠ between D+3 and R+3) has declined from 51 to 45, our lowest count ever. Full report: https://t.co/AffIOzAvbV https://t.co/9GiB63pcoO — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: We are excited to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠) Not yet a subsc… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Exciting news: the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook PVI℠ will be released tomorrow. Subscribers will get a sneak peek in their inbox this afternoon. Don't want to miss out? Use the code cpvi22 for 22% off your first year. https://t.co/fcpCfzVug7 https://t.co/zqzzjXMcac — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: For R’s to pick up the 50-60 seats like they did in ‘94/‘10, they’ll have to win higher % of seats Biden won by 10+ pts tha… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @baseballot: How likely is it that the Supreme Court will embrace the "independent state legislature" theory, and how would it affect el… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hard to overstate what a radical step this would be, given that many swing-state legislatures are gerrymandered in ways that self-perpetuate GOP control. Would decimate checks and balances. — PolitiTweet.org