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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, #MN05 Rep. Ilhan Omar (D) up just 53%-46% vs. former Minneapolis Councilman Don Samuels (D). Still early, but much closer than her 2020 primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump carried #MN01 54%-44% in 2020. So if Jeff Ettinger (D) were to finish within single digits of Brad Finstad (R) in tonight's special election, it would be a good result for Dems. If Finstad's margin is 5 pts or less, it would be a great result for Dems. We'll see. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Jim_Brunner: BREAKING @HerreraBeutler has conceded in statement. "I’m proud that I always told the truth, stuck to my principles, and d… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2022 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Balint is virtually certain to become the first woman ever elected to Congress from Vermont, the only state left that's never done so. #VTAL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: Sanders-endorsed state Sen. Becca Balint (D) defeats Lt. Gov. Molly Gray (D) in the #VTAL Dem primary. @CookPolitical November rating: Solid D. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

*Gonzalez (#OH16) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Between retirements (Kinzinger, Gonzales, Upton, Katko, Jacobs) and primary defeats (McKinley, Davis, Rice, Meijer, Herrera Beutler), we're watching a slow-motion decimation of House GOP Trump skeptics and election certifiers. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Herrera Beutler is the third pro-impeachment GOP incumbent to lose reelection. Kent, endorsed by Trump, is the clear favorite to win this R+5 seat (@CookPolitical PVI) in the fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough: #WA03 Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) has lost reelection. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) and Joe Kent (R) will advance to November. — PolitiTweet.org

Phil Gardner @gardnerphil

Clark County reports 19,967 additional ballots counted. Kent net gains 1,116 over JHB, putting Kent in 2nd place by 813 votes.

Posted Aug. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: pro-impeachment #WA04 Rep. Dan Newhouse (R) advances to the general election, where he's safe. But he's lucky: his pro-Trump GOP challengers split 49% of the vote six ways, while he scraped by w/ 25%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pro-impeachment Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) needs a miracle. Trump-endorsed Joe Kent (R) now the strong favorite to knock her out of the top two. #WA03 — PolitiTweet.org

Phil Gardner @gardnerphil

Clark County reports 14,573 new ballots counted in WA-03. Kent net gains 741 and is now 966 votes behind JHB. Appro… https://t.co/gqA814bZ1m

Posted Aug. 6, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Four are retiring. Two have lost. #WYAL Rep. Liz Cheney (R) is on track to lose in a landslide. #WA03 Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) is in extreme danger of being locked out of the top two. #CA21 Rep. David Valadao (R) is in a Toss Up race against a Democrat. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Still a long way to go, but it's quite possible #WA04 Rep. Dan Newhouse (R) is the lone Republican of the 10 who voted to impeach Trump who is still a member of Congress in January. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: in Michigan, Republicans nominated three Black congressional candidates. Democrats? Zero. For the first time in 68 years, Detroit won't have a Black member of Congress. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW at @CookPolitical: five House rating changes. Notably, #NE02 Rep. Don Bacon (R) moves from Likely R to Toss Up and #MI03 OPEN (R) moves from Toss Up to Lean D as Dems show signs of life. Full analysis: https://t.co/sFCWBpplJ1 https://t.co/pXM6QIFUbn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW at @CookPolitical: five House rating changes. Notably, Rep. Don Bacon (R) moves from Likely R to Toss Up and #MI03 OPEN (R) moves from Toss Up to Lean D as Dems show signs of life. Full analysis: https://t.co/sFCWBpplJ1 https://t.co/lpx5aoKJHQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022 Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW at @CookPolitical: five House rating changes: #NE02 Don Bacon (R) - Likely R to Toss Up https://t.co/sFCWBpplJ1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Looking closely at the patterns in #WA03, pro-conspiracy Joe Kent (R) might actually be a slight favorite over Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R), but it’s going to be tight. Most #WA03 Dems probably don’t realize that by voting for a Dem instead of JHB, they aided Kent. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’ve seen enough: Andy Ogles (R) wins the #TN05 GOP primary. @CookPolitical November rating: Solid R. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pro-impeachment Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) not out of the woods yet. #WA03 — PolitiTweet.org

Phil Gardner @gardnerphil

With 3 of the 5 counties reporting today in (Clark, Cowlitz, Skamania), JHB's lead over Kent falls to 2,815. Down 1… https://t.co/ZYemVPnoYe

Posted Aug. 5, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In case you still thought Rep. Liz Cheney's goal is to win renomination to #WYAL on 8/16, here's the ad she just launched in a GOP primary in a 70% Trump state. https://t.co/ncTyubOoCl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Although Kansas sent a loud message, the final margins in upcoming special elections in #MN01 (@CookPolitical PVI R+9), #AKAL (R+8) and #NY19 (R+2) will be much more instructive of the post-Dobbs environment for the fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Endorse, w/ caveat that R candidates with out-of-the-mainstream abortion positions (no exceptions) could pay a significant penalty. — PolitiTweet.org

Natalie Jackson @nataliemj10

Narratives that also aren't necessarily accurate are that Kansas means Republicans are in trouble in the fall. Ple… https://t.co/muiOPUi1Dx

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And, total vote share for all Dems/left-leaning candidates adds up to 58%. In other words, looks like a fairly typical WA election. — PolitiTweet.org

Amy Walter @amyewalter

Another bit of good news for D’s out of WA state where Sen. Patty Murray at 54% in all-party primary. Lots of votes… https://t.co/9pE1h7N1PH

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump-endorsed Kari Lake (R) has taken the lead over Gov. Ducey-backed Karrin Taylor Robson (R) by 11,324 votes (1.8 pts) in the #AZGOV GOP primary w/ more EDay ballots counted, and it doesn't look like she's giving it back. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Shri Thanedar (D) defeats state Sen. Adam Hollier (D) in the #MI13 Dem primary, meaning for the first time since 1954 there won’t be a Black member of Congress from Detroit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’ve seen enough: Blake Masters (R) wins the #AZSEN GOP primary and will face Sen. Mark Kelly (D) in the fall. @CookPolitical November rating: Toss Up. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Reality check: Gibbs starts at a huge cash deficit to Hillary Scholten (D) and could have a tough time unifying the GOP, considering Rep. Peter Meijer is on track for 46% in the primary and those are far from automatic Gibbs votes in November. Plus, the new #MI03 is Biden +8. — PolitiTweet.org

Riley Beggin @rbeggin

Gibbs seen here talking to former President Donald Trump. "I'll see you soon. I'm very proud of you, John," Trump… https://t.co/GQNDRfUaHV

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, the "No" vote in Kansas is on track to hit over 90% of Biden's 2020 vote total in the state. The "Yes" side is on track to hit just over 50% of Trump's vote total (to be clear, lots of Trump voters were "No" today, but just a huge Dem turnout). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Meijer is the second pro-impeachment Republican to lose a primary (four others opted to retire). With no realistic primary path for #WYAL Rep. Liz Cheney (R), there will be at most 3/10 pro-impeachment Rs remaining in the House in 2023. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022