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Showing page 185 of 504.
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Perhaps the best number for Biden in this new @MonmouthPoll is his 54%-43% lead among seniors - a reliable voting group that's overrepresented in the core battleground states. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @MonmouthPoll: NATIONAL POLL: #2020GeneralElection matchup for president: REGISTERED VOTERS: 51% @JoeBiden 42% @realDonaldTrump 2% J… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Fact: when Trump took office in 2017, Republicans controlled 41 of the 100 most college-educated House districts in the country. Today they control just 18, and eight of those are currently in @CookPolitical's Toss Up column or worse. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @JMilesColeman: Wow that NE MN number -- their final 2018 poll gave Tim Walz about the same overall lead as Biden now (49-41), but Walz… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Positive result for Biden here. — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Hauser @thauserkstp
KSTP/SURVEYUSA: Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 49% to 40% in our new exclusive poll.… https://t.co/D1TP8d2sug
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Keep in mind: this list has everything to do with proximity to the Electoral “tipping point,” not a state’s current tightness in polls. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's fair to say there's also something of a "core five" battleground that's emerged: AZ, FL, MI, PA and WI. If y… https://t.co/LOWSMvJIer
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Amazingly, Collin Co., TX (Romney +32% in '12) is pretty much a toss up in my book and seemingly on this map too. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Random map of the day: result by county if you take the '16 results and apply the demographic swings in national po… https://t.co/XDL6vlNQCt
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @MonmouthPoll: NATIONAL POLL: Doing a GOOD job handling #COVID19 outbreak @realDonaldTrump: 37% now 40% August 42% May 50% March State… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@fawfulfan This list is about proximity to the EC tipping point, not about the current state polling margins. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FL is exactly the kind of expensive state where Mike Bloomberg's $$ could make a big difference - but where his failure thus far to follow through on his pledge to boost the Dem nominee is quite significant. https://t.co/TzscbNDBqD — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Despite a closer statewide result than some other polls, Biden is up 53%-42% w/ FL Hispanics in this survey - still an underperformance vs. Clinton, but not as severe as in other recent surveys. — PolitiTweet.org
Political Polls @Politics_Polls
FLORIDA Biden 50% (+3) Trump 47% @StPetePolls/@Fla_Pol, LV, 9/7-8 https://t.co/KArEg4GTKt
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's fair to say there's also something of a "core five" battleground that's emerged: AZ, FL, MI, PA and WI. If you wanted to extend it by one in either direction, you'd add MN and NC. If you wanted to extend it by two more on each side, you might add NV/NH and GA/TX. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Not easy to keep track of polling vs. forecast tipping points! — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@Redistrict @FiveThirtyEight Our *polling average* has Arizona as the tipping-point state now, where Biden is +5.1,… https://t.co/wFVayQGlCB
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Translation: this is functionally a 4% race entering the homestretch. You'd clearly rather be Biden than Trump, but this thing is far from a done deal. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The question of whether there will be a pro-Trump gap between the Electoral College & popular vote - at least in a remotely close election - looks settled. Latest @FiveThirtyEight polls average has Biden up 7.6% nationally, but just 4.1% in the tipping point state, Pennsylvania. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @kkondik: Worth remembering about WI -- Libertarian Jorgensen is on the ballot, but not Hawkins (Green) or Kanye West — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Tbh, there’s not much evidence MI/PA/WI/FL have changed much *in relation to each other* since 2016. And this poll seems pretty consistent w/ what we’ve seen elsewhere in recent days. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breaking new @MULawPoll of Wisconsin: Biden 47% Trump 43% Jorgensen 4% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It feels like the appropriate time in the election calendar for Woodward week. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@Nate_Cohn @maristpoll If turnout rates among CVAP remained roughly the same as '16 but you were to account for demographic change since then, my breakdown for PA would be: 46.1% non-college white 35.4% college white 10.6% Black 4.4% Latino 3.4% Other — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@Nate_Cohn @maristpoll no...what would you have it at? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It should be noted this @maristpoll - despite not weighting for education - is pretty close to the proper weight for PA. Non-college whites (who are 60%-38% Trump in the poll) are 44% of their LV sample here; my Census-based estimate is ~46%. — PolitiTweet.org
Steve Kornacki @SteveKornacki
NBC/Marist Pennsylvania poll Biden 53% Trump 44% https://t.co/5NphtJ5Zb9
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @SteveKornacki: NBC/Marist Pennsylvania poll Biden 53% Trump 44% https://t.co/5NphtJ5Zb9 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
From @MarcACaputo's FL dispatch: so far "Trump has outspent Joe Biden’s campaign by about $4 million on TV in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale media market, much of it on Spanish-language ads." https://t.co/kszADy3aep — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @JoeNBC: Cuban-Americans breaking big for Trump by @MarcACaputo “In a poll of likely Miami-Dade voters for The Miami Herald, Biden l… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This @GQRResearch (D) poll shows Biden trailing 41%-59% among FL's Cuban voters and leading 55%-38% among FL's non-Cuban Hispanics. Both are a big underperformance vs. Clinton '16. If Trump boosts his #s with FL whites, Biden will need same w/ Hispanics. https://t.co/cbZXkJdWrV — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @SteveKornacki: NBC/Marist Florida poll (8/31-9/6) Likely voters: Biden 48% Trump 48% ----- Two big shifts from '16: 65+: Biden 49-48%… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
https://t.co/MPLukoZIJg — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Btw, this was pretty much also the Bill Nelson coalition in '18. The big question in my mind: can Trump ultimately pull Rick Scott-like numbers among Puerto Rican voters in the Orlando area? That's where I have big doubts. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Pretty simple: relative to Clinton '16, Biden is polling great w/ white seniors in places like Pinellas, but quite poorly w/ Cuban voters in Miami-Dade. — PolitiTweet.org
Kamanzi @kamanzigkalisa
@Nate_Cohn @GlennKesslerWP How do you explain Pinellas then? Your Miami projection isn’t jiving with big movements… https://t.co/c6qsRFUFE4