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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
And, there it is: https://t.co/5TgZ1EOtlx — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@NateSilver538 Phew (?) — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Tfw a friend emails you your own article and says "Wondering the potential impact… might be worth writing about?" 🤦 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
To be clear: at the current margins Biden is leading in enough states to win 270 Electoral College votes, this is a drop in the bucket. The registration/ground gap could only start to matter if the race were to tighten significantly. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New for @NBCNews: Trump may be well behind, but he's winning the voter registration battle. Since the primaries, Rs have added a net 444,723 registrants in AZ, FL, NC & PA vs. 225,623 Ds. In 2016, these gains were roughly even. https://t.co/XbwgXsnnM1 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Strong result for Biden in the swingy Lehigh Valley. #PA07 — PolitiTweet.org
Andrew Wagaman @AndrewWagaman
Joe Biden holds a 7-point lead (51%-44%) over Donald Trump among likely voters in PA-7. Looking back at 2016, Hill… https://t.co/GfTkWfUQKl
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Keep in mind, the Clinton campaign barely spent in states that ended up mattering a lot (MI, WI) and was late to PA. The Biden camp has laser-focused its $$ on the core battleground. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
There are many plausible explanations for the apparent narrowing of the popular vote-Electoral College gap over the… https://t.co/phgwhhmRuR
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Top GOP pollster — PolitiTweet.org
Glen Bolger @posglen
Every Republican campaign should be focusing their messaging on Independents and soft GOPers. The GOP base is rock… https://t.co/Q15c3n3mMX
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @NateSilver538: Trump’s chances are dwindling. That could make him (more) dangerous. https://t.co/xA5flUnunM — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Biden now being introduced by 32BJ SEIU shop steward Brian Smith in Johnstown, PA (Cambria Co.), where Clinton held a closed-press event in '16 and didn't even crack 30% of the vote. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @jmartNYT: NEW: Marc Racicot, the former MT governor & RNC chair, tells us why he decided to go public for Biden. “It gnawed at my con… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Yes, Biden's swing through rural eastern PA/western PA is about narrowing Trump's margins there. But even if Biden just held the line and lost Westmoreland Co. by *the same* margin as Clinton '16 (-31%), he'd likely win b/c of gains in Philly/Pittsburgh burbs. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Beto O'Rourke toured all 254 counties in Texas in 2018. Guess where he made the most substantial gains vs. Clinton/past Democrats? Hint: it wasn't rural TX. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The secret Biden strategists probably won't share publicly: being seen in "forgotten" small towns actually helps you the most w/ suburban voters who haven't set foot in these places in years, but are impressed you did. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The secret Biden strategists probably won't share publicly: being seen in these "forgotten" small towns actually helps you the most w/ suburban voters who haven't set foot in these places in years, but are impressed you did. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Fact: if you were to subtract all '16 votes from Westmoreland Co. (PA), Macomb (MI) and Waukesha (WI), Hillary Clinton would be president today. This is some of the most valuable real estate on the political map, and Biden is hitting it in a way Clinton didn't. — PolitiTweet.org
Tyler Pager @tylerpager
Joe Biden greets the largest crowd he has likely seen since March as he exits the train station in Greensburg, Penn… https://t.co/sGPZVJi6Xx
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @jeremyrroebuck: BREAKING: Memory sticks used to program Philly’s voting machines were stolen from elections warehouse w/ @Elaijuh http… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@KeithOlbermann Here's my "data:" last night, Trump came across like he was approximately three. p.s. enjoyed watching you on SportsCenter when I was growing up. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @JuliaTerruso: A look at another key part of PA: Berks County, where Dems hold a voter registration advantage but GOP numbers have grown… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you disliked the punditry after this debate, just wait for the next debate when format changes lead to Trump interjecting/overtalking slightly less frequently and the CW the next day is all about how he "got the message." — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
You've got to love this ad from physician Cameron Webb (D) accusing former Campbell Co. Supervisor Bob Good (R) of *actually* defunding the police. @CookPolitical rating in #VA05 (Trump +11 in '16): Toss Up. https://t.co/xviQYGKkkL — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
You've got to love this ad from physician Cameron Webb (D) attacking former Campbell Co. Supervisor Bob Good (R) of *actually* defunding the police. Our @CookPolitical rating in #VA05 (Trump +11 in '16): Toss Up. https://t.co/xviQYGKkkL — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Largest gap defined as the largest raw popular vote margin for the losing Electoral College candidate. Link/map must be shared on your own timeline w/ hashtag #2020Swingometer. Deadline: 5pm Monday. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Twitter contest: I'm giving away a year's subscription to @CookPolitical ($350 value) to the follower who can use our Demographic Swingometer to create the largest gap (in either direction) between the Electoral College and the popular vote. https://t.co/RAud6tHKVu https://t.co/YAqWubdULX — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The reception to this thread has been so positive that I'm considering quitting data journalism and sticking w/ armchair punditry. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@AmyEGardner With respect, that's absurd. There were 136 million+ votes cast in 2016. We're looking at maybe 150-160 million votes this time, and multiple national polls show voters roughly split between voting early (either mail or in-person) and voting on Election Day. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
p.s. Not sure how anyone can read this as "both sides" or equating their performances. Trump lost. Especially b/c it's Trump who needs to change the trajectory of the race, and last night didn't. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @JonathanTamari: One of insidious things about attacks on mail voting is that there *are* bureaucratic screw ups happening - this is new… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Sorry, but last night was not Biden at his sharpest. He's almost 78 and looked/sounded like it. Fortunately for him, Trump, 74, behaved/sounded like he was 3. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you were a voter who went in w/ concerns about Biden's age, he didn't do much to dispel them. If you went in w/ concerns about Trump's temperament, his tantrums sent them into overdrive. If you were a casually politically-interested voter, you probably changed the channel. — PolitiTweet.org
