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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@jbouie Also kind of a straw man to assume I won’t respond to someone whose work I regularly read and went to college with — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@jbouie It’s a turn of phrase, but I have heard quite a few observations this year to the effect that Trump’s denigration of VBM will depress his base turnout, etc. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Dems are deluding themselves if they think rural white voters aren’t going to turn out. It’ll be through the roof. To me, the biggest remaining question mark is rural *nonwhite* turnout - esp. in FL/GA/NC/TX. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
In @CookPolitical's view, the five remaining most vulnerable Dem House incumbents on the map: #MN07 Collin Peterson #NM02 Xochitl Torres Small #NY11 Max Rose #NY22 Anthony Brindisi #OK05 Kendra Horn — PolitiTweet.org
Xochitl Torres Small @XochforCongress
I disagree with VP Biden's statement tonight. Energy is part of the backbone of New Mexico’s economy. We need to wo… https://t.co/zKWuirNnxO
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Update: Medina and Scurry, TX look like obvious errors. https://t.co/u0C6wiXdQX — PolitiTweet.org
Ryan @wegetmessages
@Redistrict There are duplicates in Scurry and Medina reports to SOS, which just counts the total number of rows H… https://t.co/xO8l5cAyWj
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: Republicans hold a narrow lead up and down the ticket in Montana, per new NYT/Siena poll Trump 49, Biden 43 Daines 49, Bullo… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Surprise! (Alaska, Kansas, Montana and South Carolina are all still pretty red states). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@wegetmessages That would make more sense!! — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@markacorcoran Never said that was good for Trump — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Also: not sure if this is an error, but Medina County, TX (Trump +43 in '16) is reporting 24,178 votes cast so far on the TX SOS page (72% turnout). That would be 140% of the *total* 2016 votes cast in the county. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Lowest TX early voting turnout so far (as share of RVs, counties w/ 100k+ registrants only): 1. Webb (Clinton +52 in '16): 21% 2. Bell (Trump +15): 27% 3. Cameron (Clinton +33): 29% 4. El Paso (Clinton +43): 30% 5. Hidalgo (Clinton +41): 31% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Highest TX early voting turnout so far (as share of RVs, counties w/ 100k+ registrants only): 1. Collin (Trump +17 in '16): 48% 2. Williamson (Trump +10): 48% 3. Denton (Trump +20): 47% 4. Comal (Trump +50): 46% 5. Brazoria (Trump +25): 44% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
On one hand, TX isn't (and was never) poised to be a "tipping point" for 270 EVs. On the other, even a modest investment in several smaller, low-turnout TX media markets could now determine which way TX tips. — PolitiTweet.org
Reid Wilson @PoliticsReid
Beto O’Rourke, Julian Castro irritated that Biden and DNC aren’t spending enough in Texas - https://t.co/TsQ2z0VpUw
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
More people have now early voted in Florida (4,771,956) than the number of people who voted for Donald Trump in Florida in 2016 (4,617,886). — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The U.S. just passed 51 million votes cast, per @WinWithJMC. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: And the final 2016 poll was 48% with college graduates. This one is 38%. Doesn't solve everything, but it does help https://… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Early votes cast so far (as share of total '16 votes cast): Falls Church, VA: 73% Arlington, VA: 59% Alexandria, VA: 56% Prince William, VA: 51% Loudoun, VA: 50% Fairfax Co., VA: 42% Pretty clear Fairfax didn't plan adequately to meet huge demand for in-person early voting. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @jmartNYT: Another vulnerable D first-termer. from “little texas” https://t.co/AUXbfo0VPQ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @CharlieCookDC: Good news for the President? He did not hurt himself, unlike first debate. The bad news? He was ten points behind and di… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Will_Bunch: Po' Boys: Stand back and stand by https://t.co/VnLDeFZAoE — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Let it begin... — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If you disliked the punditry after this debate, just wait for the next debate when format changes lead to Trump int… https://t.co/LRM7HgCsFt
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
"I think we're going to win the House." Reality check: Dems on track to expand their House majority by 5-15 seats, per @CookPolitical outlook. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
This is a sharper, crisper Biden than in the first debate - and muted mics are probably a big reason. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
"If you take a look at what we've done in terms of" seems to be the president's go-to when he isn't sure how he's going to fill the rest of two interrupted minutes. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Excellent FL analysis, worth reading the whole thing. — PolitiTweet.org
🦠Matthew Isbell🎃 @mcimaps
Here is an expanded version of the map that made its debut in Sabato's Crystal Ball today. A precinct-swing map fr… https://t.co/u8cyPFq9FV
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @JuliaTerruso: Some Latinos in PA worry Joe Biden campaign outreach is coming too late — but pandemic has had an impact on what campaign… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @Nate_Cohn: Across all the polls we've done so far this fall (n=19000!): Vote 2018 only: Biden 52, Trump 37 Vote 2016 only: Trump 45, Bi… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
As of today, more people have early voted in Georgia than the number of people who voted for Donald Trump in Georgia in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Perhaps the most damning poll stat for Trump, who one GOP strategist described to me as a "lifelong predator brand:" Biden's net favorability has *improved* the more the president has intensified his attacks. https://t.co/9XuIIP2eie https://t.co/HYHJirdHsc — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Sign of the times: the Dem challenger in #TX03 is airing an ad tying the GOP incumbent to Trump - in a suburban district Trump won by 14 (!) points in 2016 but where multiple surveys now show Biden ahead. https://t.co/MBA7mfiMQs — PolitiTweet.org
