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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Sunday confession: people know me as “that Whole Foods guy” but I’m actually a Trader Joe’s devotee. — PolitiTweet.org
RDThorsett @rdthorsett
@Redistrict Might be interesting to look at Trader Joe's voters counties -- not quite the sign of disposable income… https://t.co/4l7qzuDcvr
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @kkondik: You can draw a half-circle (call it the Trump Belt) from northern Maine down to Tennessee and then up to the Dakotas (you can… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @SHO_TheCircus: Tonight on #TheCircus, don't miss interviews with @redistrcit, @DrTomFrieden, and Frank Fahrenkopf. 8pm ET, only on @Sho… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
These are the voters Whole Foods shoppers priced out of Austin. — PolitiTweet.org
Tim Miller @Timodc
@Redistrict How many Whole Foods in Hays
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Right now, the party breakdown of the 60,984 Sumter voters who have cast ballots: GOP: 57% Dem: 26% NPA/other: 17% And, the party breakdown of the 44,628 Sumter RVs who *haven't* yet cast ballots: GOP: 56% Dem: 20% NPA/other: 24% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
1. Yes it does, w/ 61k votes cast already. 2. I think Trump needs at least 67% in Sumter (maybe 68-69%) to have a shot to win FL. 3. If the first batch of early votes reported is >75k and Trump is only taking ~61%, he'd have a hard time getting to 67% w/ election day votes, imo. — PolitiTweet.org
Santosh Pudupakkam @santoshpud
@Redistrict Sumter looks to be well on track to meet that 75,000 vote threshold you referred to as an early indicat… https://t.co/t3SvwseiM4
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The only one of FL's 33 counties w/ 100k+ registrants where registered Rs have turned out at a higher percentage than registered Ds so far? Miami-Dade. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FL counties w/ highest turnout of registered voters so far: 1. SUMTER: 58% 2. Collier: 55% 3. Martin: 50% 4. Lee: 47% 5. St. Johns: 46% 6. Nassau: 46% 7. Indian River: 46% 8. Monroe: 45% 9. Charlotte: 45% 10. Sarasota: 45% — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
To be clear, 32% at this point isn't terrible by historical standards, including 2016/2018. It just underscores how much untapped potential there is for Dems in that region of the state. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
You know what will have a big impact on TX's outcome? Turnout in the heavily Hispanic border counties, which is currently at ~32% of registered voters compared to 50%+ in TX's major metro suburbs. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Also, tbh the dropbox issue was never going to have that big an impact on turnout b/c a relatively tiny share of TX voters is eligible to vote by mail to begin with. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Look, we're just headed for massive, record-shattering turnout in some places. That *could* help Ds in the fast-growing Sun Belt, maybe Rs in the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes on the margins. — PolitiTweet.org
Cade Elkins @cade_elkins
@Redistrict Most of you blue check election guys keep saying “Don’t pay attention to these early vote hot-takes!”… https://t.co/AfiTBaEFaO
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breathtaking: statewide, Texas just surpassed 80% of its total 2016 votes cast, leading the nation. And there's still more than a week of voting to go. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @amyewalter: Rep. Denver Riggleman (R) on MTP re: Qanon : ‘these are people who think Lord of the Rings is a documentary’ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FWIW, Collin, Comal, Denton and Williamson counties are all now at 96%-98% of their 2016 turnout. Who will be next? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It happened: Hays Co., TX just became the first county in America - to my knowledge - to surpass its total 2016 turnout. Four years ago, it cast 72,164 total votes. With more than a week left, 73,277 people there have already early voted. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Does Biden go to TX in final week? — PolitiTweet.org
Politics1.com @Politics1com
TEXAS (@dallasnews/UT Tyler): Biden 46%, Trump 44%, Jorgensen 2%, Hawkins 1%
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Special prizes for on-topic callers... — PolitiTweet.org
Washington Journal @cspanwj
SUN| @CookPolitical Report House editor David Wasserman discusses Campaign 2020 and key House & Senate races to wat… https://t.co/whugh…
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Have a question about a House race? Tune into @cspanwj between 8-9am and join the conversation. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Maybe because we have solid evidence that votes already cast and those yet to be cast are going to be vastly different. — PolitiTweet.org
Brian Schatz @brianschatz
@NateSilver538 I still don’t understand why some data people don’t believe that a vote that’s already cast isn’t be… https://t.co/nM3wAFON8w
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Breaking: the president voted in Florida this time, a serious blow to his chances in the critical battleground state of New York. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
FWIW, this is a function of population growth as much as increased interest. Hays’s population has boomed more than 50% in the past decade - and most new voters aren’t Republicans. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Odds Trump continues to hold in-person rallies between Nov. 4th and Jan 20th? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Odds Trump holds an in-person rally in the next 10 days?
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Interesting: Hays County, TX just south of Austin is poised to be the first in the U.S. to surpass its 2016 total votes cast. So far, 65,819 voters have cast ballots, vs. 72,164 in all of '16. It's also the likeliest county in TX to flip from Trump '16 to Biden '20. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@matthewjdowd How about these Dem operatives... https://t.co/sOBj5ioOwf — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@lowkell @jaketapper Don't be so sure! https://t.co/sOBj5ioOwf — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
P.S. What do all these Dems have in common? All five are running against Republican women. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@jaketapper The Dems quoted in articles like this one... https://t.co/sOBj5ioOwf — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@jbouie Let me apologize for my phrasing. I’d like to change “Dems are deluding themselves if” to “anyone would be deluding themselves if” Are you allowed to apologize on Twitter? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@jaketapper Let me apologize for my phrasing. I’d like to change “Dems are deluding themselves if” to “anyone would be deluding themselves if.” Are you even allowed to apologize on Twitter? — PolitiTweet.org