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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's an excellent chance President Trump is headed for the biggest repudiation of a first-term president since Jimmy Carter in 1980 (9.7%) and an outside chance he's headed for the biggest since Herbert Hoover in 1932 (17.7%). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's an excellent chance President Trump is headed for the biggest repudiation of a first-term president since Jimmy Carter in 1976 (9.7%) and an outside chance he's headed for the biggest since Herbert Hoover in 1932 (17.7%). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Deleted Hibernated Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We're at the point where there's more uncertainty about what the post-election period looks like than the election outcome itself (though I'll never say the latter is certain until we see actual results). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: In 2016, final NBC/WSJ poll showed Clinton up 44/40 (16% undecided/3rd party). Final NBC/WSJ poll of 2020: Biden 52/42 (6%… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CarrieNBCNews: Also out this morning, NBC/WSJ/Telemundo oversample finds Biden up with Latino voters, 62% to 29% percent. (Compare to… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Lesson: 15 months later, amid a pandemic/racial reckoning and after an impeachment/SCOTUS fight, we pretty much finish at the same place we started. — PolitiTweet.org

Carrie Dann @CarrieNBCNews

Final NBC/WSJ poll finds Biden up 10, 52% to 42%, in what's been a stable head-to-head contest throughout. Oct 29… https://t.co/LkPRTO7pWu

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Turnout of FL's registrants so far: Dems: 64.3% GOPers: 64.1% NPA/others: 49.7% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @mmurraypolitics: Final pre-election national NBC/WSJ poll among registered voters: Biden 52% Trump 42% Oct 29-31, +/- 3.1% Was Biden… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: as of this last night, 8.7 million FL voters have cast ballots, which is 60% of registered voters and 92% of the total votes cast in the 2016 presidential election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The problem for Trump w/ this map now is that not only would polls need to be very wrong again in PA, but also: - AZ, where polls in recent cycles have undershot *Dems* - #NE02, where 10+ surveys (mostly private) have shown Biden up 5-12 points — PolitiTweet.org

Kristen Soltis Anderson @KSoltisAnderson

There's a scenario where the map looks like this. And this scenario DOES NOT REQUIRE THE POLLS TO BE WRONG. https://t.co/CZuREaQRoz

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the four states likeliest to decide the presidency, according to the final Times/Siena surve… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @LarrySabato: Never in my 60 years around politics have I encountered this many people so tense, so full of dread and foreboding about a… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@swin24 what is an election — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@swin24 ? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@MattMackowiak Yup, 215k. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In 2016, Clinton won the TX counties containing Houston, Dallas and Austin by 541k votes. In 2018, Beto won them by 682k. Biden's likely on pace to win them by 1 million+. And that's not even including San Antonio/El Paso. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @rickklein: NEW polls - Florida - Trump 50, Biden 48 Pennsylvania - Biden 51, Trump 44 https://t.co/dGVSvBS4sH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @kkondik: Possible that the Selzer DMR poll is the pro-R equivalent of the Langer ABC/WaPo wildly pro-D Biden +17 result in Wisconsin se… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you want to play the "unskew Selzer" game, one thing I can tell you is that Republicans are not about to win #IA01 (which flipped blue in '18 by 5%) by 15%. — PolitiTweet.org

Niles Edward Francis @NilesGApol

Selzer's polls in Iowa's 4 U.S. House races... #IA01 GOP: 51% DEM: 36% #IA02 GOP: 41% DEM: 40% #IA03 DEM: 45% G… https://t.co/kjkQoJc7Do

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ryanmatsumoto1: Here's the thing: say that the Iowa DMR poll (a big outlier) is exactly right and Trump wins Iowa by 7 points. That wo… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, the first four targets on this list would get Biden to exactly 270 Electoral votes - without Pennsylvania. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, the first four targets on this list would get Biden to exactly 270 Electoral votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Deleted Hibernated Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Updated rough personal rankings of the Trump '16 turf likeliest to flip to Biden: 1. Nebraska's 2nd CD 2. Michigan 3. Arizona 4. Wisconsin 5. Pennsylvania 6. North Carolina 7. Georgia 8. Florida 9. Texas 10. Maine's 2nd CD 11. Iowa 12. Ohio — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Tbh, would not be shocking to see IA and OH "come home" to Trump at the end (though I'd be surprised if he wins IA by this much) while the Sun Belt doesn't so much. — PolitiTweet.org

Brianne Pfannenstiel @brianneDMR

🚨🚨 IOWA POLL: Donald Trump has taken over the lead as Joe Biden fades Trump: 48% Biden: 41% Someone else: 3% Not… https://t.co/qe9LMGRXS9

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

👀 https://t.co/QYyKYjQuCK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

👀https://t.co/IMpA13CqUs https://t.co/lvZytmrd82 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Deleted Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @CNN polls (LVs)... Arizona: Biden 50%, Trump 46% Michigan: Biden 53%, Trump 41% North Carolina: Biden 51%, Trump 45% Wisconsin: Biden 52%, Trump 44% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ZacMcCrary: You’ll remember I flagged this for you people yesterday - but now it’s in print. Gwinnett's turnout for Tuesday's election… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Georgia finishes its early voting period at 3,880,984 votes cast, 95% of its '16 total votes cast. Notable counties surpassing '16 total votes cast: 1. Forsyth +14% 2. Paulding +8% 3. Henry +6% 4. Hall +4% 5. Fulton +2% 6. Gwinnett +1% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Hibernated
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JessicaTaylor: Speaker Eric Cantor probably has some thoughts, along with current Rep. Barbara Comstock https://t.co/eeKBvwl2oB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2020 Retweet Hibernated