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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The spreadsheet is coming. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It also seems clear that while Republicans will pick up House seats, Biden will win an outright majority of the nat… https://t.co/EoPgdLjXD6 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
So two things: 1) Biden is well on his way to flipping MI & WI (in addition to AZ & #NE02) and is doing well enoug… https://t.co/PLGTvCa1Mg — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
It's a privilege to work for the @NBCNews Decision Desk tonight, as I've done every major election night since 2008… https://t.co/S9PZqCyfUD — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Have always believed that on election nights as high-stakes and data-intensive as this one, analyzing the data and… https://t.co/IXqUA4M0pd — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
For more on why, here's my story from a few weeks back, ICYMI. https://t.co/uiMK0KPUCR — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Important addendum: if you see Sumter Co., FL (The Villages) eventually report ~95k votes and it's: 66% Trump or l… https://t.co/ANMEgwY4Kz — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Final pre-election tip: if you see Sumter Co., FL (The Villages) report ~84k votes shortly after 7pm and it's: 64%… https://t.co/fMY7GaTblQ — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Seriously folks, instead of pulling your hair out, pour yourself beverage of choice and settle in for the results. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
News: two friends from my fiddle camp, champion multi-style violinist @MariBlackMusic and Cape Breton fiddle/piano… https://t.co/2LrRRRIN6E — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Just in...just got a late-breaking Election Day development you're going to want to hear. Stay tuned. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
The last-minute voters in any election? Disproportionately those without strong partisan attachments. https://t.co/MiZLJddp4p — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
e.g. in Broward County (the rare FL county where Democrats are winning the Election Day vote) From 7am to 1030am,… https://t.co/z8XPFEGoWS
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @NateSilver538: One thing that does seem clear in the Election Day numbers is that the GOP vote came out early but the vote is becoming… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @4st8: Essential map for those following PA tomorrow night. Each county in PA has its own schedule for reporting in person and mail in b… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
I would find this pretty hard to believe. https://t.co/2elYYtSHuX — PolitiTweet.org
Steadman™ @AsteadWesley
Gwen Moore, congresswoman from Milwaukee, says she projects the city will reach 89 percent turnout. (Was 61 percent… https://t.co/VbBus9zzVB
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
So far, thankfully not much chaos. But to the extent there may be longer lines in GOP areas, remember that it's mos… https://t.co/XB9fjhVvFK — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
If anything, I think analysts tend to underrate the chances *Republicans* will be the ones disproportionately facin… https://t.co/wyg38zxM4r
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Right back at ya @amyewalter. https://t.co/ExwduSMJuy — PolitiTweet.org
amy walter @amyewalter
Well, this wasn’t the year we expected. But, here we are. Happy Election Day. I am blessed to work with some of th… https://t.co/bTOIyfRyIt
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RIP notifications... https://t.co/Q96gf4xnvx — PolitiTweet.org
Stewart Bailey @StewB123
@jake_chem @Redistrict Wasserman (for weeks leading up to E-Day): GOP election day turnout is going to be huge comp… https://t.co/DidlRUijz3
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @NateSilver538: You're not going to learn anything useful about the election outcome on here until 7pm, i.e. when they start counting vo… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Sumter Co. FL (The Villages) presidential results in 2016 (Trump carried FL by 1.2%): Trump 68.3% Clinton 29.3% S… https://t.co/dfNHVTE8qG — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@PollsterPatrick I’ve been providing context all month! Sorry if first-timers never saw, so I’ve clarified. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
For context: I think Trump needs at least 67% (and likely 68%-70%) in Sumter to win FL. The few EDay ballots (~12k… https://t.co/OruRvGEPz6 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New: Sumter Co., FL has cast 83,592 early votes (79% turnout, by far the highest in the state). Breakdown: GOP: 49… https://t.co/NQP4LvCEP5 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
RT @cspanwj: @CharlieCookDC responds to a viewer asking about the validity of the election polls: "The fact is that a Democrat probably nee… — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New: FL reporting 8.97 million early votes cast, over 95% of the 9.42 million total votes cast in 2016. Dems had a relatively strong final day of early voting (vs. GOP leads preceding days) - but partially b/c a lot of smaller GOP-leaning counties didn't offer Sunday voting. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
@HotlineJosh The margin was 2.9% in 2018 and the district is poised for an explosive surge of votes. Williamson Co. (most of #TX31) was already past 125% of its '16 vote total in early voting. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical: our FINAL House outlook is a Dem net gain of 10-15 seats, with anything from 5-20 seats well within the range of possibility. View our final ratings: https://t.co/wcfAZ8REga Solid/Likely/Lean D: 229 Solid/Likely/Lean R: 179 Toss Up: 27 https://t.co/WcdnWJLG16 — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
New @CookPolitical: our FINAL House ratings feature eight late-breaking changes, all towards Democrats (including three in TX). Read full analysis here ($): https://t.co/OUqiTVVs9j https://t.co/UUWa9cQFfN — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
So who's ready for @CookPolitical's final House ratings? — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Here's how I roughly think about the map. If Biden wins popular vote by... 3% or less: Trump probably wins AZ/PA, wins w/ 279+ EVs 4-7%: Biden flips AZ/MI/PA/WI/#NE02, wins 290 EVs 8-9%: adds some combo of FL/GA/NC/TX/#ME02, wins 305-389 EVs 10% or more: adds IA/OH, wins 413 EVs — PolitiTweet.org