Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough. We're at a Biden 306-232 Electoral vote margin entering any recounts, and I've never seen a recount overturn leads of the magnitude Biden enjoys in AZ/GA/WI. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough. We're at a Biden 306-222 Electoral vote margin entering any recounts, and I've never seen a recount overturn leads of the magnitude Biden enjoys in AZ/GA/WI. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Maricopa incoming and Biden wins the latest batch. Biden's AZ win now likely to remain above a 10k vote margin. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@cmdmgd78 on Hoagland Drive off Belle Mead-Griggstown Rd. in Montgomery. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @ZacMcCrary: Don't forget #NY22 isn't done yet. A ton of VBM still out and, as this batch shows, Brindisi is poised to dominate what's o… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The biggest unknown in #NJ07 is the remaining VBM ballots in the Somerset Co. portion of the district, which happens to be...where I grew up. Trying to poll my childhood sources on this one. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One ray of hope for Dems in uncalled House races: #CA25 Rep. Mike Garcia (R) still up just 219 votes vs. Christy Smith (D) after latest Ventura Co. count. There's still a good chance Smith overtakes Garcia with remaining LA County ballots. We'll see. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The difference makers for Biden in AZ: seniors. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, 50% the 40 Republicans guaranteed to be in the 2020 House freshman class are women and/or minorities (and likely to end up higher). That was true of just 7% of the 29 Republicans in the 2018 freshman class. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems can't catch a break in uncalled House races. In #CA21, Rep. T.J. Cox (D) wins 57% of these newly counted Kern Co. ballots, but that's *probably* not good enough to catch up to David Valadao (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, 100% of the ten Republicans who have flipped Dem House seats have been women and/or minorities. In 2018, that was true of just 7% of the GOP freshman class. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NJ07: the #CA21 of 2020? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the past few hours, the Union, Morris and Somerset portions of #NJ07 have added 6,665 votes for Kean (R) and 4,331 for Malinowski (D), whittling Malinowski's lead to 6,275. That's just above the pace Kean would need in the remaining ballots to win, but we'll see... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Kean needs to win around 59% of the remaining ballots in #NJ07, but it's possible. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Kean's strength relative to Trump in his state senate district (Union, Somerset) is offsetting Malinowski's stronger performances in Hunterdon & Warren. It's down to the wire. Dems' House majority is still safe (at least 221 Ds), but losing #NJ07 would be another big gut punch. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Latest Hunterdon Co. count adds 1,782 votes for Kean (R) and 672 for Malinowski (D). Malinowski's lead overall down to 8,598 w/ 50k left to count. Still a long way to go in #NJ07. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In 2016, the gap between the popular vote (Clinton +2.1) and the Electoral College tipping point state (Wisconsin, Trump +0.8) was 2.9 points. In 2020, Wisconsin is on track to be the tipping point again (Biden +0.6), but the pro-Trump EC bias looks likely to widen to 4 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: the U.S. just surpassed *153 million* votes counted and Biden's popular vote lead is up to 5.29 million (3.5%). https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? https://t.co/oXlovajVnc — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @jeremybmerrill: Trump ran a plain-ol'-false Spanish-language ad on YouTube in late October, baselessly claiming that Venezuela's govern… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@GrassrootsSpeak If you bothered to study KY's voting patterns/history for more than five minutes, you'd realize that your entire thread is BS. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @grace_panetta: This thread is proof that harmful election conspiracy theories are by no means limited to the right. Esp in a place like… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is the first year since 1984 that Colorado's presidential result won't be in the single digits. Biden is currently ahead there by 13.5 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Keep in mind that the House is still safely a Dem majority. The @CookPolitical House tracker counts 221D, 206R and 8 outstanding, most of which are leaning to Rs. https://t.co/giGiDO8S4p? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Some unexpected drama in #NJ07, where Tom Kean (R) has pulled within 9,708 votes of Rep. Tom Malinowski (D) and late-counted ballots have broken heavily R. I still think it's probable Malinowski narrowly hangs on, but the AP may have called the race too soon. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another possibility: Hawaii is simply a working-class, overwhelmingly non-white state where a small segment of voters in real economic distress responded to Trump's COVID message similarly to Hispanic voters in South TX and South FL. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hawaii is on track for both the nation's: 1) largest raw vote increase vs. 2016 (33.8% so far) 2) biggest pro-Trump swing vs. 2016 (-32.2 pts to -29.5 pts) If anything, the move to universal mail ballots might have *helped* Trump by drawing out relatively disengaged voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One state that saw a modest but interesting pro-Trump margin swing since 2016: Hawaii. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough. No path back for Trump in AZ. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Something I'm having trouble quantifying: at what popular vote margin will Biden have followed through on his primary vow to "beat Donald Trump like a drum?" — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@SeanTrende Here's a map with 14 Clinton/Biden districts and 3 Trump/Trump districts, and it's not even that unsightly. https://t.co/DoD8xmWBaz — PolitiTweet.org