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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rep. Ben McAdams (D) ran a good race in #UT04, but couldn't overcome the extraordinary growth in Utah Co.: 2018 Utah Co.: 23,432 R, 8,516 D 2018 rest of #UT04: 110,838 R, 126,448 D 2020 Utah Co. (+77%): 40,595 R, 16,003 D 2020 rest of #UT04 (+26%): 139,093 R, 159,920 D — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Absolutely. And it's a solid bet Biden will hit 81 million. — PolitiTweet.org

Ben Tribbett @notlarrysabato

For those who know what’s left to count- do you think Biden will hit 80 million? 79.2 now.

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is grossly misleading. The recording error during the DeKalb hand count doesn't impact the overall GA margin, because the tally was recorded correctly in the original count. But of course, this post has 8k RTs and 17k likes. — PolitiTweet.org

David Shafer @DavidShafer

One of our monitors discovered a 9,626 vote error in the DeKalb County hand count. One batch was labeled 10,707 for… https://t.co/ozJ481oVKi

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@kylegriffin1 @nick_field90 @NBCNews Not yet. He's at 50.953388% with 79.25 million votes. https://t.co/9dMmSHpCwA? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is why states employ risk-limiting audits: to prevent the kind of situation that unfolded in 2016, when human error in Dallas Co., IA led 5,842 votes to go uncounted in final certification. https://t.co/FoBhLToqnG — PolitiTweet.org

stephen fowler covers Georgia's election! @stphnfwlr

Fayette County elections staff failed to fully upload a memory card from early in-person voting, leaving out 2,755… https://t.co/AznDRAm7IS

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Come for my opening fiddle solo and stay for the in-depth discussion of what went wrong for Dems down-ballot... — PolitiTweet.org

Mike Murphy @murphymike

New ⁦@HacksOnTap⁩ is up! With ⁦@davidaxelrod⁩ ⁦@Redistrict⁩ and yours truly. Check it out below or on Spotify or Ap… https://t.co/2oIbcurC2R

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The House count stands at 221D-209R, and here are my informal ratings of the five outstanding races following today’s developments: #CA21 - Likely R #CA25 - Lean R #IA02 - Lean R (recount) #NJ07 - Likely D #NY22 - Toss Up — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Monroe Co., NY (Rochester) just reported its absentees... Biden 77,533 (76%) Trump 22,295 (22%) Biden's national popular vote lead just climbed to 5.81 million (3.7%). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: if current leads hold in California's uncalled House races, Republicans will have flipped back 4 of the 7 seats Democrats captured in 2018's "blue wave." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @michpoligal: Another vote, this time unanimous, from Wayne County Board of Canvassers to certify the results, but also direct @JocelynB… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The Biden/Harris ticket also just set a new all-time record of 604,175 votes won in Philadelphia, surpassing the previous record of 595,980 set by Obama/Biden '08. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Philadelphia just finished counting what might be one of its final batches of votes... Biden 10,170 (86%) Trump 1,540 (13%) Biden's statewide PA lead climbs to 81,597 (1.2%), almost double Trump's '16 margin of 44,292 (0.7%). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Times change: when I was growing up in Montgomery, NJ, it voted for Bob Dole and George W. Bush. In 2016, it gave Donald Trump just 34%. In 2018, it gave #NJ07 Rep. Tom Malinowski (D) 63%, and it might provide him with his margin of victory in 2020. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Union Co. reports 1,216 more votes in #NJ07 and they break... Malinowski (D) 730 (60%) Kean (R) 486 (40%) That should just about do it. Kean needs over two thirds of what's left, and he hasn't really gotten that anywhere. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: Biden's current margin of victory in Michigan is more than 13 times Trump's margin of victory there in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @kaitlancollins: President Trump fires DHS official Chris Krebs after the agency he ran released a statement rejecting Trump's claims of… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Terrible news for Dems in #CA25, where the biggest outstanding batches of votes in LA/Ventura counties have extended Rep. Mike Garcia (R)'s lead to 422 votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Rob Pyers @rpyers

🚨And now Ventura County updates in #CA25, adding 241 votes that break 60.6%/39.4% for incumbent Republican… https://t.co/8l3YW7KTdp

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This split is just above the threshold Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D) needs from the final 13k-17k ballots to be on track to eventually take the lead. Will it hold? — PolitiTweet.org

Josh Rosenblatt @JRosenblattTV

NEW: 2,432 ballots out of Oneida County. @RepBrindisi (D) gains 1,734 votes, @claudiatenney (R) gains 698 votes for… https://t.co/T9HGNC2q4Y

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: Biden is ahead in MI by almost 150K votes and there has been zero evidence of fraud here or elsewhere. This kind of move do… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In #NJ07, more good news for Rep. Tom Malinowski (D). Morris County counted almost 600 ballots today: Kean (R) 299 (52%) Malinowski (D) 281 (48%) Kean has needed over 60% of the remaining vote to overtake Malinowski's lead, which stands at 4,574. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This isn't the margin Dems were hoping for out of the remaining Broome Co. affidavits. #NY22 is going to come down to remaining Oneida/Chenango absentees, and it's going to be extremely close. — PolitiTweet.org

Josh Rosenblatt @JRosenblattTV

Just got a batch of 662 votes from Broome County: @RepBrindisi picks up 396, @claudiatenney picks up 260 for a 59.8… https://t.co/PS6mzR74BN

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen enough in #NY02, where Jackie Gordon (D) has no realistic path to overtaking Andrew Garbarino (R)'s 42k vote lead for Rep. Peter King (R)'s open seat. House count is now 221D, 209R and we're down to just five uncertain races: #CA21, #CA25, #IA02, #NJ07 and #NY22. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the few Upstate NY counties that have reported final results, Biden is posting some impressive gains vs. Clinton '16. It's a pretty good bet Trump will end up losing New York by more than the 22.5 points he lost it four years ago. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JJAtkinson1776 Those plus FL are the only that have certified, as far as I know. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JJAtkinson1776 which ones? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Florida has certified its 2020 election results: Trump 5,668,731 (51.2%) Biden 5,297,045 (47.9%) That's a 2.2 point margin swing towards Trump vs. 2016 and a 17.5% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's time to start calling baseless conspiracies what they are: libelous attacks on the 500,000+ heroic poll workers & election administrators in every corner of the U.S. who pulled off a successful election amid record-shattering turnout and a global pandemic. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @murphymike: Just recorded a new @HacksOnTap with @davidaxelrod and wizard analyst David Wasserman aka @Redistrict. Lots of good chin m… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

With what's left outstanding, Biden is on pace to cross 80 million votes before Trump crosses 74 million. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This means that the Electoral College/Popular Vote gap will have *widened* since 2016. Biden is on track to win the popular vote by ~4.5 points, while winning the state that provided him with his 270th electoral vote - Wisconsin - by just 0.6 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2020