Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I'm guessing whatever the new commission does, it's not going to end up as gerrymandered as the current VA map... https://t.co/6ojcOv6yIC — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I have no idea what VA's new bipartisan redistricting commission will do, but one possibility is that #VA07 could pick up Charlottesville & Albemarle Co., giving Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D) a safe district and locking in a 7-4 Dem edge in the delegation. https://t.co/bhLZkCUvOf — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@jbarro About 6 points in '16 and I'd guess 10 points in '20. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL Republicans could try to get even more aggressive, but would risk courts striking their map down under FL's Fair Districts amendment. This map simply protects every sitting Dem & GOP incumbent and gives Rs both of FL's new seats. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I'd expect Rs to attempt to purge Miami Beach and Brickell from #FL27 to try to shore up Rep.-elect Maria Elvira Salazar (R). It's a safe bet there will also be new, safely R districts (#FL28 and #FL29) in high-growth areas of south & north central FL. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FL is a big problem for Dems in many respects, including redistricting next year. It wouldn't be that hard for Rs to convert the current 15-12 Trump district map into an 18-11 Trump district map, as I've drawn below. https://t.co/E2YTBfx2hM — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @cstewartiii: I will just note that Matthew Brann, who has written a devastating opinion dismissing the Trump suit in PA, was appointed… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And sorry, Fitzpatrick is #PA01 (the pre-2018 lines are still somewhat ingrained in my mind) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For all the talk of ticket-splitting (and sure, it benefitted Rs a lot more than we expected), I think we're on pace for the smallest number of "crossover" districts in modern history. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A running list of "split-ticket" House districts (still in progress)... Biden/GOP #CA21 Valadao #CA39 Kim #CA48 Steel #FL27 Salazar #NE02 Bacon #NY24 Katko #PA08 Fitzpatrick #TX24 Van Duyne Trump/Dem #IA03 Axne #ME02 Golden #MI08 Slotkin #NJ03 Kim #PA08 Cartwright #WI03 Kind — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Nate_Cohn FWIW, St. Lawrence Co., NY just reported their absentees yesterday and it's a modest pro-Trump shift since '16, which still stands out in Upstate NY but will still end up more pink than red. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: the Biden/Harris '20 ticket's popular vote margin (3.8627 points) just surpassed the Obama/Biden '12 ticket's popular vote margin (3.8597 points). It's now the second largest popular victory since 1996. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Washington, DC just reported 11k newly counted votes: Biden 10,058 (94.2%) Trump 414 (3.9%) That brings Biden's margin in DC to 86.8 points, the exact same margin Clinton beat Trump there in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The U.S. just surpassed a record-shattering 156.5 million votes counted: Biden 79,837,186 (51.0%) Trump 73,801,178 (47.2%) And I'd estimate we've got 1.5-2.5 million ballots left to count (mostly in NY). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For some reason, cracking Albuquerque is getting a lot more likes on here than cracking Nashville. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So, are Tennessee Republicans going to resist the temptation to draw eight congressional districts that all voted for Trump by 15%+ in time for 2022? https://t.co/VkAU80311o — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So, are New Mexico Dems going to resist the temptation to draw three congressional districts that all voted for Biden by 10%+ in time for 2022? https://t.co/HkkohtQ1ua — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@tbonier My mistake. So Biden got 102.7% of Clinton's votes in Detroit, not 99.7% - which isn't bad given Detroit's population decline! But the precinct-level data in a variety of cities does suggest Trump made tiny improvements in heavily Black precincts, and I'd say that's noteworthy. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Two facts: 1. Despite turnout skyrocketing just about everywhere else, turnout was relatively flat in heavily Black central city precincts 2. In Detroit, which is 79% Black, Biden won 99.6% of Clinton's '16 votes but Trump won 165% of his '16 votes — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@NateSilver538 But then again, why would you trust anyone on a site called "Election Bettin' Godds" in the first place? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Georgia's biggest anti-Trump swings by county, '16-'20: 1. Henry -16.0% 2. Rockdale -14.8% 3. Douglas -14.4% 4. Forsyth -14.4% 5. Fayette -12.7% 6. Gwinnett -12.3% 7. Paulding -12.1% 8. Cobb -12.1% 9. Columbia -11.9% 10. Cherokee -10.7% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: Biden now leads by 3.86 points nationwide, per @Redistrict popular vote tracker, matching Obama's 3.86 pt win in 2012. He'll… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I have no recollection of this, but am told that last night at 4am, I sat up in bed and exclaimed “They’re about to announce more election results over the loudspeaker!” ...and then collapsed back into bed. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Apologies for my poor list numbering...must mean it’s time to stop staring at numbers and go to bed. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biggest pro-Trump margin swings vs. 2016 in the U.S. so far (excluding NY, where there are still over a million absentees left to count): 1. Hawaii +2.7% 2. Utah +2.4% 2. Florida +2.2% 3. California +0.8% 4. Arkansas +0.7% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biden just surpassed 11 million votes in California. Prior to 2020, no presidential candidate had ever hit 9 million votes in any state. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

All kidding aside, Reps. Xochitl Torres Small #NM02, Ben McAdams #UT04, Max Rose #NY11, Joe Cunningham #SC01 and Abby Finkenauer #IA01 were all among the most impressive members of the '18 Dem freshman class, but the '20 Trump tide in their districts just proved too much. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Exhibit A: #FL27 Rep. Donna Shalala, one term wonder. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another reason it would be kind of silly Biden to tap Dem House members for admin posts, besides Pelosi's extremely narrow majority: there's quite a bit of talent in the ranks of Dems who just lost their seats. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

What do they have in common? So far, all 12 House Dem losses have been to GOP women/minorities. — PolitiTweet.org