Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@WardBaker Lol what if I was talking about Warnock — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Didn't realize candidates were allowed to send bots to stand in for them at the GA runoff debate. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The heavy Dem vote growth in the Philly burbs means a court-drawn map could still probably keep every Philly Dem safe (in this scenario, #PA04 and #PA06 still voted comfortably for Biden). But the real Dems at risk could be Reps. Matt Cartwright (D) #PA08 & Conor Lamb (D) #PA17. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In my example below, parts of #PA09 would be given to five adjacent districts, eliminating a GOP seat (delegation is currently 9D-9R). But the upshot: Reps. Mad Dean (D) #PA04 & Chrissy Houlahan (D) #PA06 could need to take on a lot more of rural Berks Co. https://t.co/Q3eO1ilIp1 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pennsylvania is slated to lose one of its 18 seats, and in a court-drawn scenario a clear candidate for elimination would be Rep. Dan Meuser (R)'s #PA09, which touches seven other districts (as shown on the current map below). https://t.co/bE9TH1gKyb — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I can't imagine why. Actually, it was designed in proportion to the GOP's built-in structural advantage in the Senate/Electoral College. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Whoa: I've seen more than I ever dreamed possible. 300 mugs and we're up to $6,760 for @FeedingAmerica. Who wants to get us to $10,000?? https://t.co/yFydDxv4h8 https://t.co/Ud94tX6gyt — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pretty incredible that Biden only improved on Hillary Clinton's 16% county share by a point, despite winning 15 million more votes (81.2 million to 65.8 million) and double her popular vote margin (4.5% vs. 2.1%). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: Joe Biden won the White House carrying just 17% of America's counties, the lowest share of any winner in history. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Maryland: in 2021, it would be possible to double the number of Black majority districts from 2 to 4. In the example below, #MD03, #MD04, #MD05 and #MD07 are all fairly compact seats w/ 50%+ Black citizen voting age populations. https://t.co/E9KxLIj3rB — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A few traditionally blue counties that flipped red this year: Alamosa, CO Burke, GA Scotland, NC Lorain, OH Mahoning, OH Clarendon, SC Dillon, SC Frio, TX Jim Wells, TX Kleberg, TX La Salle, TX Reeves, TX Val Verde, TX Zapata, TX — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A few traditionally red counties that flipped blue this year: Maricopa, AZ Butte, CA Garfield, CO Duval, FL Seminole, FL Johnson, KS Frederick, MD Kent, MI Morris, NJ Hays, TX Tarrant, TX Williamson, TX Chesterfield, VA Stafford, VA Virginia Beach, VA — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Maryland has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 1,985,023 (65.4%) Trump 976,414 (32.2%) That's a 6.8 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 9.2% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Nebraska's 2nd CD (Omaha) officially swung against Trump more than any swing state. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Nebraska's 3rd CD certified results: Trump 222,179 (75.6%) Biden 65,854 (22.4%) That's a 1.0 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and an 8.8% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Nebraska's 2nd CD certified results: Biden 176,468 (52.2%) Trump 154,377 (45.7%) That's an 8.8 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 15.8% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Nebraska's 1st CD certified results: Trump 180,290 (56.3%) Biden 132,261 (41.3%) That's a 5.7 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 13.4% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Nebraska has certified its 2020 election results: Trump 556,846 (58.5%) Biden 374,583 (39.4%) That's a 5.9 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 12.7% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another possibility: Maryland Dems could magnanimously gift Republicans four solid Trump districts, preserving four districts for themselves (including three Black majority seats: #MD03, #MD04 and #MD07 in the example below). https://t.co/eqvTbwGLl8 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Remember when Dems were bitterly disappointed when 2018's Georgia runoff was won by a guy named Brad Raffensperger? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For comparison, here's Dems' current 7D-1R gerrymander. The 8D-0R hypothetical above actually looks cleaner! https://t.co/H2Y3wFb96k — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And yes, this example would still preserve two Black majority districts, #MD04 and #MD07. It's actually possible to draw a third Black majority district, but that would make drawing an 8D-0R map much more difficult. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Big question in Maryland: will Dems finally go for the jugular and draw an 8D-0R map? The gerrymander below would axe MD's last Republican, #MD01 Rep. Andy Harris: all eight districts would have voted for Clinton/Biden by 15+ points. https://t.co/WPHZJio5Dh — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Washington has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 2,369,612 (58.0%) Trump 1,584,651 (38.8%) That's a 3.5 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and a 21.5% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Illinois has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 3,471,915 (57.5%) Trump 2,446,891 (40.6%) That's a 0.1 point margin swing towards Trump vs. 2016 and a 9.0% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: DON’T MISS this great @annagronewold story on the ballot-counting dysfunction mucking up the #NY22 rematch between Claudia… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There’s all the $$ Dems donors threw away, but don’t forget GOP donors gave $41.9 million to four House candidates who each failed to crack 29% of the vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Missouri: will Republicans seek to eliminate #MO05 Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (D) by cracking Kansas City? In the 7R-1D scenario below, every district except #MO01 voted for Trump by 23+ points in 2016. https://t.co/Jrq2A8GCiQ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Oregon has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 1,340,383 (56.5%) Trump 958,448 (40.4%) That's a 5.1 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and an 18.6% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Mississippi has certified its 2020 election results: Trump 756,789 (57.6%) Biden 539,508 (41.1%) That's a 1.3 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and an 8.6% increase in votes cast. https://t.co/5B8YqduyG3 — PolitiTweet.org