Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Lol, clearly sounds like a Trump voter who had a change of heart in the last two months. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Apologies if shipping backups delayed your mug’s arrival until after Xmas. But hey, they made it in time for the GA runoffs (and you might need one tonight). https://t.co/1HtpfFKE5D — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems could make the case that the configuration above is less gerrymandered than the current GOP-drawn map, which packs New Orleans and Baton Rouge together in one 62% Black district (#LA02), while all five other districts have solid White majorities. https://t.co/fTM08ipNDL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Louisiana is poised to enter February w/ two House vacancies, but the big question for 2022 is whether Dems are successful in suing to create a second Black majority district (in the hypothetical below, #LA02 and #LA05 are both 52%+ Black). https://t.co/4yWGrieqLw — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @rollcall: NEW: Iowa Sen. Charles E. Grassley, the Senate president pro tempore, says he and not Vice President Mike Pence will preside… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The counties that really let Barrow (D) down in the '18 runoff? The outer ATL suburban ring: Gwinnett, Cobb, Henry, Rockdale etc. - a more transient/less deeply-rooted Dem vote. That's where tomorrow's races will be won or lost. Ossoff/Warnock can't afford a letdown there. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Obviously the 2018 GA SOS runoff isn't a great comparison b/c it was such low turnout, but Barrow (D) improved his share of 2PV vs. November in Fulton, DeKalb, Clarke, Chatham, Muscogee. Meanwhile, Raffensperger (R) improved his % of the 2PV in 123 of the 154 other counties. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One phenomenon to be wary of tomorrow night as results start to come in: often, runoffs place such a premium on base turnout that red counties get redder than the initial round and blue counties get bluer. It could take a while to determine what's transpiring. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Translation: we're not going to have reapportionment numbers for at least another month. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

*There are no upsides for democracy in the absurdity of all of this. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One upside* for Biden in certification votes: by driving a wedge in the congressional GOP, they'll highlight off the bat which Rs he *might* be able to work with, and which ones he can pretty much write off for the next four years. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And here's the share of U.S. voters who cast ballots in "landslide counties" that gave one party's presidential nominee at least *75%* of all major party votes... 1992: 4% 1996: 5% 2000: 6% 2004: 7% 2008: 11% 2012: 12% 2016: 21% 2020: 15% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And here's the share of U.S. voters who cast ballots in "landslide counties" that gave one party's presidential nominee at least *70%* of all major party votes... 1992: 7% 1996: 11% 2000: 13% 2004: 16% 2008: 20% 2012: 23% 2016: 30% 2020: 29% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Was 2020 a "big sort" ebb? Here's the share of U.S. voters who cast ballots in "landslide counties" that gave one party's presidential nominee at least 60% of all major party votes... 1992: 39% 1996: 42% 2000: 45% 2004: 48% 2008: 48% 2012: 50% 2016: 61% 2020: 58% — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JessicaTaylor: I’ve been hearing worry from GA GOPers about Trump’s rhetoric/antics for months, but on Sunday it hit a crescendo. All e… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@TadeuszMrozek2 See my example here... https://t.co/bBjx8eCCkZ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW: Who are these people? We're glad you asked. @CookPolitical has teamed up with @The_Almanac of American Politics to publish detailed profiles of 70+ new members of the House & Senate. Available to subscribers now. https://t.co/SmuJNR2pDE https://t.co/WHU8XlZ9yK — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, Garcia won by 0.1% in a district Biden carried by 10.1%. #CA25 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I get the obsession, but if we should've learned anything from November it's that comparisons of the early vote to past elections don't hold a ton of predictive value as to the eventual outcome. Wish I had more to say now, but just going to wait for tomorrow night. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: Nancy Pelosi wins vote for speaker, w/ AOC among final Dems putting her over the top. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: These are some rather conservative representatives. And for that matter folks like Mitt Romney and Ben Sasse are pretty… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

No matter what happens w/ the Hart challenge, it's going to be even tougher to convince 218 House members to vote to throw out the state-certified #IA02 result after Miller-Meeks is seated. https://t.co/xPpGf39Rrd — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

2020: I’ve seen enough — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

#NY22: all time record for December lead changes? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @WinWithJMC: RIP Congressman Elect Luke Letlow (besides being someone I've worked with/for since 2014, when he was Ralph Abraham's camp… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@guster TFW when your favorite band follows you for election season then drops you in December. So go on, if it makes you happier. You owe me a fiddle solo on Either Way next time you hit Wolftrap — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Brindisi takes the unofficial lead w/ more Oneida Co. ballots reviewed, but still a long way to go in #NY22. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Minnesota loses a seat as expected, another possibility would be for courts to merge Minneapolis & St. Paul (#MN05 & #MN04), resulting in something like the 4R-3D example below. This would make some sense b/c the Twin Cities are a lot alike and always get along just fine. https://t.co/HjMaKe7FU9 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Based on my handful of conversations w/ House Ds, the idea of denying seating to Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) on 1/3 or overturning Iowa's certified results is going over like a lead balloon. Keep in mind, Dems would eventually need 218 votes in the House to seat Hart (D). #IA02 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A continuing mess in #NY22... — PolitiTweet.org