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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’m old enough to remember when late Idaho Rep. Helen Chenoweth (R) was the biggest congressional villain for holding “endangered salmon bake” fundraisers back in the ‘90s. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 30, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @PatLohmann: Just got confirmation regarding the famous ballot with a stain from "blood or chocolate" in #NY22: Tenney's attorneys chal… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 29, 2021 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The good news for Rs? Claudia Tenney (R) is now quite likely to win the 2020 election in #NY22. The bad news for Rs? NY Dems could rather easily redraw #NY22 as a safe Dem seat and/or draw Tenney into Rep. Elise Stefanik (R)'s #NY21 in 2022 (as shown below). https://t.co/5CZOleMDyM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 29, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Long story short: an egregious failure of Oneida Co. election administrators to process new registrations led to disenfranchisement of hundreds of (mostly R) Election Day voters. When the judge ordered a remedy, Tenney's lead expanded. #NY22 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 29, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Terrific news for Tenney (R) in #NY22. It's pretty obvious why Brindisi (D)'s team only wanted to count 69 additional ballots they identified, not the hundreds more the court ruled in favor of counting. — PolitiTweet.org

Patrick Lohmann @PatLohmann

New in #NY22: Tenney (R) picked up 92 votes from the latest count of DMV ballots. That puts her up 121 votes, up fr… https://t.co/Ar1Hy0HFR8

Posted Jan. 29, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The question for '22 is the other side of the equation: how motivated will Ds be to turn out without Trump in office anymore? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 29, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The truth is that since '16, down-ballot Rs have struggled the most when Trump is *not* on the ballot ('18 blue wave, GA runoffs, etc.) From a raw political perspective, there's little incentive to "move beyond" him. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 29, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Brindisi were to get 90% of the primary vote in Oneida, Madison and Chenango and a few Syracuse Dems split the Onondaga vote, sure. — PolitiTweet.org

Claudia Tenney @claudiatenney

@Redistrict You really think that Syracuse Democrats would elect a Utican when they have a huge pool of potential candidates?

Posted Jan. 29, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Excellent redistricting state of play by @allymutnick. https://t.co/JM9GVgiVsp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I can’t decide what’s more reprehensible about the 1-800-Kars4Kids commercial: that it offers no real info on where the proceeds are going, or that none of the kids are actually playing their instruments. Either way, I’ve seen enough. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, this reconfigured #NY11 would've voted for Biden by ~10% overall in '20 despite Staten Island voting for Trump by 15%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hmm, how would Staten Island feel about being in the same district as Park Slope, Cobble Hill and Carroll Gardens? There's a chance we could find out in 2022... #NY11 https://t.co/u9VwgRdJv7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@EvanFer34070238 12th has moved to Upstate — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, even though it's a Dem gerrymander, it could make a lot of NYC districts more compact: #NY14 and #NY06 would be entirely within Queens, #NY10 and #NY13 would be entirely within Manhattan. #NY08 and #NY09 would be entirely within Brooklyn. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @allymutnick: I see a lot of convos today about Marjorie Taylor Greene's past controversial comments, thanks to @CNN & @mmfa McCarthy t… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2021 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@jbarro Yup, the green #NY02 (Massapequa, Smithtown, Lake Grove, parts of Islip) went for Trump by probably 15 points. Garbarino/Zeldin would have to fight over it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NYC closeup: majority-minority districts would be preserved for... #NY05 Meeks (D), #NY06 Meng (D) #NY07 Velazquez (D) #NY08 Jeffries (D) #NY09 Clarke (D) #NY13 Espaillat (D) #NY14 Ocasio-Cortez (D) #NY15 Torres (D) #NY16 Bowman (D) https://t.co/GpZicmVZq8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In this scenario, Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D)'s "Silk Stocking" #NY12 would be eliminated (she's 74 and nearly lost her last primary, so could retire). The Upper East Side would be given to Rep. Jerry Nadler (D)'s #NY10 and Astoria/Greenpoint would go to AOC's #NY14. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NYC/Long Island: Dems could endanger Rep. Lee Zeldin (R) by adding Dem parts of Babylon/Islip to #NY01 and Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R) by adding Park Slope/Red Hook to Staten Island's #NY11. Under the hypothetical below, both go from Trump CDs to double digit Biden CDs. https://t.co/88gkPGrGJV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, longtime NY observers will recall that state Sen. Michelle Hinchey (D)'s dad, late Rep. Maurice Hinchey (D), represented a very similar Ithaca/Binghamton/Ulster district back in the 1990s/2000s. The theory: her last name would carry a lot of appeal in the #NY12 above. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One other feature of this play for Upstate: Dems would put Rep. John Katko (R)'s home in Camillus in a Syracuse-less #NY24 (purple), but keep it winnable for themselves in case Katko retires/loses a primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Upstate: under the scenario (above) I've heard floated... 1. #NY27 Jacobs (R) would be axed 2. A safe new Syracuse/Utica #NY22 for Anthony Brindisi (D) 3. A new Ithaca/Kingston district, #NY12, for state Sen. Michelle Hinchey (D) 4. All current Dem incumbents get Biden +10 seats — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New York is poised to lose a seat. But if Dems end up drawing the map, it could be their biggest weapon of the redistricting cycle. They could merge Stefanik/Tenney (if Tenney's lead holds in #NY22) and severely threaten other Rs, converting a 19D-8R map into 23D-3R (below). https://t.co/zEnqOnxhd9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A few indispensable resources as the 2021 redistricting cycle unfolds: - @_justinlevitt_ 's All About Redistricting: https://t.co/fWkzKQLbQP - @NCSLorg: https://t.co/U4qjPHdRvr - @ballotpedia: https://t.co/fg4RcK7twk I'd also highly recommend @davesredist app for DIY mapping. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Had Democrats not sued to overturn GOP-drawn maps in FL/NC/PA/VA the past few years, they wouldn't still be in the House majority today. But Republicans could conceivably gain enough seats from 2021 redistricting *alone* to erase Dems' thin House majority. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Five big differences vs. 2011 redistricting cycle: - Dems much better prepared and GOP less dominant - New commissions in CO/MI/VA and to lesser extent NY/OH/UT - New post-Shelby VRA implications - Heightened public/court scrutiny - Voters even more geographically pre-sorted https://t.co/U8Z2Fva7nU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: our first (2,500+ word) look at the 2021 redistricting cycle, kicking off in just a few months, is now available to @CookPolitical subscribers. https://t.co/slLuru6HVk https://t.co/469HNq1ufq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Who's ready for my 2021 redistricting overview? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Plus, there's a decent chance Republicans will eliminate Ryan's House district (#OH13) in redistricting. — PolitiTweet.org

Tim Ryan @TimRyan

I’m overwhelmed by supporters who are reaching out to encourage me to run for Senate. I haven’t made a decision yet… https://t.co/LYqXkxAeIa

Posted Jan. 25, 2021
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@abgin1 Sorry, but D+6.54 =/= D+7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 22, 2021