Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Don’t miss today’s program. Terrific discussion of down-ballot polling w/ @BrendaGianiny and @BrianStryker just now. #IOPCookPolling — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Don’t miss today’s program. Terrific discussion of down-ballot polling w/ @BrendaGianiny and @BrianStryker jus now. #IOPCookPolling — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

You forgot to add you live just *barely* outside of #CO03 in Vail. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JonTesterFan: I am the Democrat running against Lauren Boebert. I am a rancher, farmer, and part time resist lib. I need 5,000,000 retw… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @UChiPolitics: Thank you to everyone who attended the first day of #IOPCookPolling with @CookPolitical! There's still time to register f… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Asked her secret sauce, Selzer: "Well, we publish all of our methodology, so there’s nothing secret about it and I’m not sure there’s anything saucy about it either.” — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now up: @CharlieCookDC interviewing the one and only @jaselzer. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now up: @CharlieCookDC interviewing the one and only @jaselzer. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Incredible discussion of 2020 campaign polling w/ @JohnAnzo, @TonyFabrizioGOP and @amyewalter happening right now. #IOPCookPolling — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Today’s forces of partisan polarization are so strong that if you knew nothing other than that 17 Senate/House members voted for impeachment/conviction of a president of their own party, you’d know something truly egregious must have happened. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Still a live possibility — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's little doubt the verdict would have been quite different if all senators... 1) were retiring (Burr, Toomey) 2) had a full six years ahead of them (Cassidy, Sasse, Collins) 3) came from a jungle primary state (Cassidy, ~Murkowski) 4) voted by secret ballot (obviously) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JessicaTaylor: 7 Republican guilty votes in total: Burr, Cassidy, Collins, Murkowski, Romney, Sasse and Toomey — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Burr and Cassidy. Wow. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Trump was widely perceived to have mishandled a pandemic, faced Dems' most broadly appealing nominee possible, lost the popular vote by 7M+ and still came within 42,918 votes of winning reelection. If you think he's doomed politically post-1/6, you haven't been watching. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Odds Trump is acquitted, runs in four years and wins, and pardons at least some Jan. 6 rioters? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @DaviSusan: When you consider the immense political pressure GOP lawmakers are under from each other and their base to oppose impeachmen… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And to be clear, I'm talking 1-2 votes but probably not anywhere near enough to convict. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's only one thing I can think of that might have shifted a few Senate votes, and that's if Dems had appointed a few House Rs (Herrera Beutler? Kinzinger?) as managers to make the case. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Want to hear what @AshleyKirzinger, @cornellbelcher, @Nate_Cohn and @davidshor have to say about the state of polling? So did I, so I asked them to be on a panel I'll be moderating next Friday. Mark it down. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @UChiPolitics: Have you RSVP'd for our free polling conference with @CookPolitical next week? We've got two days of in-depth conversatio… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Seriously, though, this puts states in an incredibly difficult time crunch to redraw lines. And, it heightens the chance that courts will 1) step in and draw maps when legislatures fail to meet deadlines 2) delay 2022 filing deadlines/primaries. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow. RIP 2021 redistricting cycle... — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

LOL — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The '16 election stats on the hypothetical districts above: - red, Clinton +39 (Latino majority) - blue, Clinton +7 - green, Clinton +7 - purple, Trump +6 That would secure Porter (D), pave a comeback for Rouda (D) and probably end Dems' hopes of ousting Kim (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems would probably prefer an OC configuration like this one below: - a Santa Ana/Anaheim seat, safe D (red, Correa) - an Irvine/Newport/Laguna seat, likely D (blue, Porter) - a Huntington Beach/Garden Grove seat, lean D (green, Steel) - an inland seat, likely R (purple, Kim) https://t.co/0Rq4AFTUei — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Even though CA's commission can't take into account partisanship, it must adhere to the VRA. And it could turn seve… https://t.co/brllKKiCCH — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, LA's Black population has been fading, and it would make some sense for #CA44 to be spared for parts: the com… https://t.co/Q88nEWPxqH — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another Dem at some risk: #CA45 Rep. Katie Porter (D). If all of south OC is united in her district and she loses some of Irvine, her seat could get a lot more tenuous. In '20, she prevailed by just 7% despite a massive spending advantage. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One LA district at risk of getting axed: Rep. Nanette Barragan (D)'s #CA44, which was originally drawn as a Black opportunity district and isn't performing. But she's bordered by three Dem incumbents age 79+, and could easily run for one of their seats if one retires. — PolitiTweet.org