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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now the biggest chance for a House upset is in #WA03, where Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) leads Joe Kent (R) 132,161 to 126,279 w/ a long way to go. Kent could still catch up, but he could be yet another MAGA candidate who costs Rs a seat they should have won easily. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now that #CO03 Rep. Lauren Boebert (R) has expanded her lead over Adam Frisch (D) to 1,136 votes with additional ballots counted in blue-leaning Pueblo County, much tougher to see her losing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Could what's left in Pueblo even it up for Adam Frisch (D)? Perhaps, but still a ways to go here. #CO03 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022 Deleted after 49 seconds
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now that #CO03 Rep. Lauren Boebert (R) has expanded her lead to 794 votes w/ more votes from blue-leaning Pueblo County, it's tougher to see her losing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022 Deleted after 3 minutes
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The contrast between the failure MAGA enthusiasts and success of Rs running on bipartisanship/their own brands was even greater than I expected on Tuesday. Plenty of newly elected Rs now w/ strong incentives to break w/ Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Kaitlan Collins @kaitlancollins

Mike Lawler, the New York Republican who unseated the Democratic campaign chair, tells us he wants to see the GOP m… https://t.co/PGlolawV1z

Posted Nov. 10, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

After last night's NV mail ballot trend, excellent chance now that Dems will have 50 Senate seats/control in hand heading into the GA runoff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As of now, out of @CookPolitical's 36 House Toss Ups: 18 won by Ds 7 won by Rs 11 still too close to call So far, not a single Lean/Likely/Solid seat has broken the opposite way, though #CA41, #CO03 and #WA03 are still very uncertain. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is a big win for Dems in a newly drawn seat @CookPolitical rated a Toss Up. #CO08 https://t.co/6Q8bbG3Z4z — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is a big win for Dems in a newly drawn seat @CookPolitical rated a Toss Up. #CO08 — PolitiTweet.org

KirkmeyerforCongress @Kirkmeyer4CO

Just a few minutes ago I call Representative Caraveo to congratulate her on her win in CD8. While this is not the… https://t.co/QMjSK4QPDh

Posted Nov. 10, 2022 Deleted after 25 seconds Just a Typo
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JRubinBlogger Not really that off, tbh. Republicans might end up +10, not far off the lower end of our range (and we conveyed a very high uncertainty). You might want to go after the people predicting 30+ seats. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, anyone who’s proclaimed they’ve seen enough in #CO03 doesn’t know how to interpret election data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Between the thrashings of Dennis Kucinich in ‘12 and J.R. Majewski in ‘22, I think the lesson of Ohio redistricting is: don’t f*** with Marcy Kaptur in Toledo. #OH09 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In a slight reversal of Republicans' recent structural advantage on the House map, they're currently on track to win about 51% of House seats with about 52% of the two-party vote - despite having gerrymandered far more states/districts than Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @NateSilver538: So, I'm glad that one of the takeaways from last night is that candidate quality matters. It matters less than it did be… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Midterm interest/turnout clearly wasn't all it was cracked up to be. We're up to 92.9 million House votes tallied and will easily surpass 100 million, but on track to fall well short of the 114 million cast in 2018. https://t.co/575GB6InE0 https://t.co/Vcr5UQpR8Y — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

And, to be clear, the GOP margin will narrow considerably when we get more vote from CA, OR, WA and plenty of other big cities that take longer to count votes. We've got a long way to go. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A big shoutout to @alflinn and @MattKleinCPR for the outstanding work they've put into building our best tracker yet. We'll be keeping it updated with the latest tallies from official sources until everything's certified. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The 2022 @CookPolitical House Vote Tracker is now live! The craziest thing: Republicans are winning the House popular vote by 6.4% so far but just scraping by in the race for control. https://t.co/YOAzUtsM9F https://t.co/pGICoSCNv9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CharlotteAlter: One good point @Redistrict made: Rs in solid blue states like NY may be overperforming national average, partly because… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: If the Dems end up losing the House, I think it can be said that they lost it in New York: they blew redistricting, and then… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Democrats' Nevada gerrymander looks like it worked out after all. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @npfandos: NEWS: Sean Patrick Maloney, the chairman of the DCCC, just called Republican Mike Lawler to concede his Lower Hudson Valley r… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022 Retweet
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Key point for 2024 👇 — PolitiTweet.org

Kyle Kondik @kkondik

Rs got their Supreme Court victories in OH and NC. Likely has consequences for redistricting next year -- Ds had a… https://t.co/ZE1OWqzzqI

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In retrospect, I think this was key. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's a tendency for forecasters to get caught up in the doom/momentum narrative that takes hold late in a cycle… https://t.co/V0z1tKVLxR

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

That Dem turnout problem in FL? Yes, it was real - and massive. Luckily for Dems, it didn’t really materialize anywhere else. Between Dems crushing competitive OH/MI/NH/PA/TX House races but dragging in FL/NY, this is the most uneven midterm I’ve ever seen. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Republicans wouldn’t be slight favorites to win House control right now if they hadn’t been able to gerrymander far more states than Dems. And, Dems wouldn’t hold the slight majority today if courts hadn’t struck down GOP gerrymanders in FL, NC, PA and VA in the last 7 years. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Well, that was the craziest Election Night I’ve ever seen. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biennial reminder: I'll be dark on Twitter from 6pm-6am tonight as I crunch data at the @NBCNews Decision Desk, as I've done every prez/midterm year since 2008. BEWARE: anyone posting in my name on Twitter during that time period is impersonating me. See you on the flip side. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If the bottom truly drops out for FL Dems, two House races to watch: #FL22 Rep. Lois Frankel (D), a Biden +18 seat, and #FL23 OPEN (Deutch) (D), a Biden +13 seat. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One thing to remember tonight: even though redistricting made lots of GOP-leaning House seats (@CookPolitical PVI Even to R+5) a lot safer, it increased the number of Dem-leaning seats (Even to D+5) from 46 to 48 - adding to Dems' exposure in the event of a big GOP wave. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022