Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

But it's also why CDs w/ big urban/rural divides are especially dangerous for Rs. For example, high D energy in Portland/Spokane/Seattle burbs & low R energy in rurals is a potentially toxic combo for #WA03 Herrera Beutler (R), #WA05 McMorris Rodgers (R), #WA08 Rossi (R). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

That's why I'm skeptical when I hear @SteveSchmidtSES say #OH12 results are evidence districts like Rep. Bob Gibbs's #OH07 are "in play." It's an R+12 seat w/ far more rural areas/far fewer anti-Trump suburbs than #OH12 (R+7). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

That's why I'm skeptical when I hear @SteveSchmidtSES say #OH12 results are evidence districts like Rep. Bob Gibbs's #OH07 are "in play." It's an R+12 seat (#OH12 is R+7) & there are far more rural areas/far fewer anti-Trump suburbs in it. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Actually, Matt Morgan (D) will almost certainly appear on the fall ballot in #MI01 (I was in the district today & saw tons of signs for his primary write-in bid). so *2.* — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @RyanDEnos: The claims in this article are two things: 1) a textbook example of the problem of aggregation in geographic analysis. 2) a… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’d like to point out readers of @CookPolitical first sighted Bigfoot last Friday — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Biggest surprise in GA tonight? How many of its counties begin with T (sorry, random). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Keep in mind, the 60 competitive seats in Lean/TossUp don't include three R seats Dems are near-locks to pick up (#NJ02, #PA05, #PA06) & one D seat GOP will pick up (#PA14). IOW, Dems net +2 seats off bat. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

These tepid showings for Menendez in Hunterdon/Gloucester/Salem make you wonder what shape he'd be in if he were facing a credible primary opponent. #NJSEN — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

So far, 68% of the 55k #AZ08 early voters are 65+ years of age and 85% are 55+, w/ a median age of 71. This will drop on Election Day (4/24), but still explains a big part of why GOP are the heavily favorites in this special. https://t.co/XCY5YBK0yR — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is a great example of how a state's political geography can be biased against one party: in WI, it's possible to draw a map where 6/8 districts are R+6 or higher. But it's impossible to draw a map where 6/8 districts are D+5 or higher, even though the state's PVI is EVEN. https://t.co/QKDdlHs1y — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My latest for @NBCNews: Is Texas turning purple? A look at the midterm numbers. https://t.co/UXESGsqQc5 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The GOP effort to impeach PA Supreme Court justices is likely headed nowhere - in part because the old map was such an outrageous gerrymander, they have little public sympathy https://t.co/8W0yJ5xPsJ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

NEW: Seven @CookPolitical ratings changes for PA (using old district numbers until 3/13 #PA18 special election is over): #PA03 Rep. Mike Kelly (R) - Solid R to Likely R #PA06 Rep. Ryan Costello (R) - Lean R to Toss Up #PA07 OPEN (Meehan) (R) - Lean D to Likely D 1/2 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This piece gets it. -> https://t.co/cAb9SOHqKl — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New #PA08 (old #PA17): Rep. Matt Cartwright (D) Scranton seat gets more GOP, but not by as much as Dems feared. PVI moves from R+1 to R+3. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @bycoffe: Files aren't available yet, but it looks like the PA supreme court has adopted a remedial redistricting plan https://t.co/YiwW… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

P.S. If there's one 2018 race that best sums up the battle for the House, my vote is for #CA25. Why Read full story at @CookPolitical. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hmm...these @CillizzaCNN House ratings look strangely familiar. https://t.co/DgjTcmg6Sx — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SeanTrende: @Redistrict @mcimaps I think the synthesis of the most recent cases is this: You don't have to draw influence or coalition… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wow - you've got to go back 28 years to find the last time a president's party has successfully defended an open House seat the president lost 2 years earlier (0/20 since). Just at terrible omen for Rs trying to hold open Clinton districts in '18. https://t.co/VHvCSo7K6U — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A note on #PA07 retirement: in past 3 midterms, in situations where an incumbent has retired from a district carried by opposite party in most recent prez race, the incumbent's party has held it 0% of the time (0/10). https://t.co/AiYSHaEPGb — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's the truth, whether you like it or not: Republicans haven't really gerrymandered more egregiously/aggressively than Democrats. They just had 4x as much power to do so in 2010, hence our current conversation. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

"Luther Strain," "Dumb Asses," "Nope," "Jesus, Take the Wheel" and "U.R. Mom" among the gems in this #ALSEN write-in appendix for the ages: https://t.co/QdR7VLRNrn — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Sure thing 908 884 9280 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Nate_Cohn: How the new sociological gobbledegook of gerrymandering works https://t.co/UZl2H5snoJ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

no. https://t.co/PiZz5VGg7U — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

They actually ran out!! — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Interesting perspective/straight talk from a smart friend and fellow UVA grad (especially last paragraph) https://t.co/kL16BHXRBr — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

What's made push to take down Confederate monuments possible? The new Dem/progressive domination of the urban South. https://t.co/rGGblWq1Vo — PolitiTweet.org