Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another reason Dems shouldn't extrapolate 2018 into 2020: by my math, there were roughly *52 million* eligible non-college whites who didn't vote in 2018 vs. only 13.7 million eligible college whites who didn't vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Why Warren’s latest surge is so meaningful: she’s approaching a level at which she’d be viable (eligible to win delegates) at 15% in virtually every state and district. Previously, could only be said of Biden. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A few other smart analysts who deserve more follows: @kkondik, @rarohla, @nataliemj10, @ChazNuttycombe, @KyleTrygstad, @PoliticoScott, @emilymbadger. Most of the folks on these lists don’t engage in a lot of self-promotion so I’ll try it for them. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

TFW your voters don’t really know who you are but are cool with you anyway: https://t.co/LlB65IR1qp — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Huge news for Dems: Rep. Pete Olson (R) to retire, moving #TX22 from Lean R to Toss Up. This is one of the fastest-diversifying districts in the country. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Ok, fine. https://t.co/X6yw1wIOi6 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

1) Biden has endured a divisive primary (possibly a contested convention?) w/ many on the left displeased 2) Trump has had the chance to weaponize social media to rewrite Biden's biography & attack his baggage from the right *and left* — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Pennsylvania is a bit of a bright spot for Dems in this regard: over the past four years of Census estimates, it's the only state in the nation that added more millennial college grads (+85k) than total voting age residents (+83k). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SteveKornacki: Per @DavidChalian just now, CNN's new poll has the black vote breaking like this post-debate: Biden 36% Harris 24% Warr… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: SCOTUS preserves lower court ruling striking down GOP-drawn VA delegates map as a racial gerrymander. New map dramatically increases odds of a Dem takeover in November. https://t.co/BlQD4gM0g9 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @UChiPolitics: Join us live as we welcome @GOPLeader for a conversation with IOP Pritzker Fellow @Redistrict on political and policy pri… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Great read from @emilymbadger at @UpshotNYT: https://t.co/dyMojdGKs2 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @npfandos: “At this point, where is our Caldwell Butler? Where’s our Bill Cohen? Where’s our Hamilton Fish? Where’s our Tom Railsback?”… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JHagner: Thread alert: There are two really important audiences for the 2020 elections: people who voted for Trump in 2016 but might no… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The problem for Dems is: once you draw two AA-majority Detroit districts, there are four suburban Dem incumbents vying for the limited blue turf in the suburbs: #MI08 Slotkin, #MI09 Levin, #MI11 Stevens, #MI12 Dingell. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The problem for Dems is: once you draw two AA-majority Detroit districts, there are four suburban Dem incumbents vying for the limited blue turf in the suburbs: #MI08 Slotkin, #MI09 Levin, #MI11 Stevens, #MI12 Dingell. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JHagner: Having the chance to talk to UChicago students about redistricting with @Redistrict and @AdamPKincaid was its own reward, but… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, the photo anchoring your tweet/article is literally of the *Dem* drawn NC gerrymander that was in effect from 1993-1998. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, the photo anchoring your tweet/article is literally of the *Dem* drawn NC gerrymander that was in effect from 1993-1998. https://t.co/hJdkYnhMXS — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Prophetic halftime self-pep talk. #hoos #notagain — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Update: has now far surpassed the Gabbard Globule — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @dannybarefoot: Guys this Amy Klobuchar fundraising appeal is wild. https://t.co/WamVwPMDYC — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @SteveKornacki: The NBC News Decision Desk just retracted its previous call of CA-21 for GOP Rep. David Valadao -- who has fallen behind… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @elainaplott: MCCARTHY wins 159, Jim Jordan 43. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @JayCostTWS: NBD just a few weeks away from the midterms and close races in MT and IN haven't been polled in ages. But here's another RV… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

After reading more of the indictment, we've moved #CA50 two columns from Solid R to Lean R at @CookPolitical. https://t.co/mAdCOttOtp — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Fact: if every state/district's result in November were an 8% uniform swing in Dems' favor from the '16 prez result, Dems would simultaneously gain 44 House seats (almost twice the +23 they need), but *lose* 4 Senate seats. https://t.co/qmCDpXyJmY https://t.co/etoYaKfuQp — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Reason 12,345 why 2018 is weird: Trump *won* #WV03's open seat by 50% & *lost* Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R)'s #FL27 by 16%. Today, @CookPolitical rates both races the same: Lean R. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

That leaves 12 Clinton-CD Rs in Toss Up/worse: #CA10 Denham #CA25 Knight #CA45 Walters #CA48 Rohrabacher #CO06 Coffman #IL06 Roskam #KS03 Yoder #MN03 Paulsen #NJ07 Lance #TX07 Sessions #TX32 Culberson #VA10 Comstock (Lean D) Together, that's 20/23 seats Dems need for majority. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

https://t.co/Jn54iAULc6 — PolitiTweet.org