Dave Wasserman

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @CookPolitical: Subscribers! Don't forget to register ASAP for Thursday's special #redistricting briefing with @Redistrict & @amyewalter… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @jbalmert: "This rationale is asinine. I should vote no," @FrankLaRose texted his chief of staff about the GOP statement defending its m… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Hearing quite a bit of “if only Dems gerrymander brutally enough, it might compel Republicans to get on board with reform legislation.” Um, no. Rs still have the slightly better end of this deal. The biggest net effect: fewer red state Ds/blue state Rs and more polarization. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@baseballot @capitolfax @FiveThirtyEight Because Davis's house in Taylorville is in the new #IL15 (if you screw up who lives where, @capitolfax will call you out on his site. I know from personal experience). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New: Gov. Greg Abbott (R) has signed his party's 25R-13D congressional map into law, making Texas the sixth state to complete redistricting. Dems are backing a lawsuit alleging discrimination, but post-Shelby (unlike in 2011) the DOJ doesn't have power to block the new lines. https://t.co/vlYyinleNs — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Based on what I'm hearing, NY Dems intend to gerrymander aggressively, but perhaps not w/ the same crazy contortions Upstate that IL Dems used Downstate (e.g., they're still likely to draw a fairly compact CD for Stefanik in the North Country). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The question is whether NY's more secure Dem incumbents will agree to something this aggressive - or whether Albany Dems just overrule them. For example, would AOC/Bowman/Jones be on board w/ taking on hyper-GOP parts of Rockland/Orange/Westchester to help their party? — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New York 2020 presidential data now in @davesredist (h/t @vest_team). It confirms priors that it could be pretty easy for NY Dems to draw a map in which 23/26 seats would've voted Biden +10 or more in 2020 (up from 17/27 today). https://t.co/Tt2SZ4y6UH — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In September, I detailed the situation in Alabama and why #AL07 Rep. Terri Sewell (D) and a growing list of other CBC members now support unpacking their districts to address chronic Black underrepresentation in the Deep South. https://t.co/GyUjmGvaYT — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As expected, the Alabama legislature's proposal continues to pack Black voters into just one seat (#AL07), even though it's pretty easy to draw 2/7 districts w/ Black majorities. Dems will pursue a federal lawsuit, though it's a long shot. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@JackPeter124 Taylorville is in proposed 15th — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've deleted the earlier tweet that misstated the incumbent pairings in this proposal. The correct ones are: #IL06: Reps. Marie Newman (D) & Sean Casten (D) #IL12: Reps. Mike Bost (R) & Mary Miller (R) #IL16: Reps. Adam Kinzinger (R) & Darin LaHood (R) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@danbalz Most of Freeport is with most of Rockford in #IL17, though both are split. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One correction: #IL16 Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R) lives on the Grundy Co. side of Channahon, so he'd technically be paired with #IL18 Rep. Darin LaHood (R) in this proposed version of #IL16, not #IL01 Rep. Bobby Rush (D). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Interestingly, this proposal still leaves #IL13 and #IL17 about two points shy of the top Biden margins possible in hypothetical Rockford-to-Bloomington and East St. Louis-to-Champaign districts. But, these gerrymanders are much closer to "maxed out" than in the first draft. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For one, crazy gerrymanders like these are a nightmare for already-overburdened election administrators to implement. This map splits way more counties than necessary to achieve its desired partisan aim. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's why I'd consider this new 14D-3R proposal a "safer," more brutal partisan play (vs. first draft)... #IL03 Newman (D) - Biden +12 (Biden +6) #IL14: Underwood (D) - Biden +12 (Biden +8) #IL17: Bustos (D) - Biden +9 (Biden +6) — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This version also (very blatantly) merges the homes of Reps. Mary Miller (R) and Mike Bost (R) in a new #IL12, and puts Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R)'s house into Rep. Bobby Rush (D)'s plurality Black #IL01 (!). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As I hinted last Sunday, this version creates a new, much-anticipated Latino seat (#IL03) on the north side of Chicago. But, it would do so by merging the homes of Reps. Marie Newman (D) and Sean Casten (D) in a reconfigured #IL06. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Breaking: as predicted, IL Dems have revised their proposal to a safer, more aggressive 14D-3R gerrymander. It's still about as ugly as before, though. https://t.co/Av1otFjvWl https://t.co/Nydc9mhd4E — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

West Virginia becomes the fifth state to complete congressional redistricting (excluding Arkansas, where the GOP's map is slated to become law soon without the governor's signature). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @DavidIRamadan: @Redistrict Nope: not when Biden approval ratings are 60%+ Dave; and not if @TerryMcAuliffe is the Dem nominee; and not… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Wisconsin Republicans' draft map would shift #WI03 from Trump +5 (left) to Trump +7 (right), locking in a 6R-2D delegation. Gov. Tony Evers (D) will veto it, but it's not clear a court-drawn map will be much better for Ds unless judges split up Madison or Milwaukee. https://t.co/CWRoHYgCYt — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New from me at @CookPolitical: analysis of the latest developments in Iowa, Montana, Ohio and Virginia. https://t.co/kjRvuefU5l https://t.co/O3vNzcevTR — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @amyewalter: I spend a lot of time thinking about how to fix our deep polarization and partisanship. I don’t have the answer, but I have… — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The latest proposal from the nonpartisan LSA has strong potential to lock Iowa Dems out of federal office entirely. Rep. Cindy Axne (D)’s #IA03 would remain a narrow Trump seat, but key suburbs of Omaha/Des Moines would be replaced by more GOP-trending small towns, like Ottumwa. https://t.co/uUK4pdLPOv — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This is a dream GOP map, w/ the state’s four largest Dem vote centers (Des Moines, Ames, Iowa City, Cedar Rapids) split into separate districts. Trump would’ve carried 4/4 seats. In first draft, Biden would’ve won 2/4. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

How terrible is WI's political geography for Dems? Under two of the three maps proposed by Gov. Tony Evers (D)'s non-binding commission tasked with drawing "non-gerrymandered" maps, Rs would likely win 6/8 districts in an evenly divided state. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Lesson from VA's debacle: not all redistricting commissions are created equal - or equipped to succeed. For one to have any incentive to deal, there's got to be some unaffiliated representation (see CO, CA, MI) or a tie-breaker (NJ, AZ, MT). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @vpapupdates: It looks like the entire task of redistricting -- state legislative and congressional maps -- is headed for the #Virginia… — PolitiTweet.org